Another profitable week on the PLL for me last week, my third winning week in a row of lacrosse, going 3-2 to win 0.58 units. Both of my losses came by just a goal, one in OT. This week the league goes all the way out West to Tacoma, Washington for late night lax. Let’s keep winning!
Archers vs. Whipsnakes (8/18 9:00)
We have what should be a great game to start off the weekend tonight. The Archers are easily the best team in the PLL with a 7-1 record, coming off a dominant 13-5 win over the Chrome last week in Denver (easy cover on the -2.5 line for me). They’ve been one of the best teams on both ends of the field. They have the second best offense in the league, averaging 13.6 scores per game and the Archers have the best defense in the PLL, allowing an average of just 10.8 scores per game. The Whipsnakes are 4-4, coming into tonight’s game on a three game win streak after their poor 1-4 start to the year, last week beating the Chaos 12-10 (and losing my Chaos +1.5 bet). The Whips offense has been good this season, averaging 13.3 scores per game but their defense has struggled a bit, allowing an average of 12.1 scores per game. When these teams played earlier this season in Week 4 in Minneapolis, the Archers won 15-12. I’d expect another win for them here and will take them for a unit. I’d lean the over but not enough to bet it.
Atlas vs. Cannons (8/18 11:30)
Going into the season, I would have thought these two teams would be on the opposite sides of the standings. The Cannons had their five game winning streak come to an end last week, losing 16-15 in overtime to close out the weekend against the Redwoods. They’re 5-3 on the year and playing great. The bomb squad offense leads the PLL in scoring, averaging 14.3 scores per game and they’ve been really solid defensively too, allowing an average of 11.9 scores per game. The Atlas have been the biggest disappointment this year, dropping to 2-6 with a 14-11 loss to the Waterdogs last week. Their offense has been okay, averaging 12.5 scores per game but they’ve really struggled defensively, allowing an average of 14.3 scores per game. These teams played in a high scoring Week 4 game, with the Cannons losing 19-12. I like the Cannons to bounce back from their loss last week with another win against the Atlas. I’ll take them for a unit. I like the over even more though, which I’ll take for 1.5 units.
Chrome vs. Redwoods (8/19 8:00)
Not the best matchup. Last week the Redwoods ended their three game losing streak with just their second win in the last five weeks, improving to 4-4 on the season after beating the Cannons 16-15 in overtime in Denver to end the weekend. The Woods have struggled offensively, averaging just 11 scores per game and they’ve allowed an average of 12.8 per game. The Chrome have been awful this year and will likely miss the playoffs, coming into this week’s game with a 1-7 record after a 13-5 trouncing by the Archers. Their defense hasn’t been too bad, allowing an average of 11.9 scores per game but their offense has been fucking terrible, averaging only 8 scores per game, easily the lowest in the PLL. Last year these teams played twice, with the Chrome winning both games. They dominated with a 12-3 win in Week 2 and then won 13-12 in the final week of the regular season. I don’t particularly care to watch a second of this game, but I do expect the Redwoods offense to give them the edge in this game and will take them to cover the -1.5 for half a unit to get their revenge. I also like the under here, even with the low 22.5 line, which I’ll also take for half a unit.
Chaos vs. Waterdogs (8/19 10:30)
Pretty fun game to end the weekend with a rematch of last year’s championship game, where the Waterdogs won 11-9. They kept it close the first time they played this season with the Waterdogs defending their title with an 8-7 win in Week 1 to open this season on an overtime goal from Connor Kelly. The defending champs are 5-3 and ended a two game losing streak last week with a 14-11 win over the Atlas. The Dogs have averaged 12.8 scores per game and have allowed an average of 12.1 scores per game. The Chaos are 4-4, coming off a 12-10 loss to the Whipsnakes last week, a goal short of covering my +1.5 play on them. They’ve averaged 12.4 scores per game and have allowed an average of 12 scores per game. I’d lean the Waterdogs and the over in this game, but not enough to bet it as I expect this one to be a close game that goes down to the wire and stays within a goal of the total.
Bets
1u Archers ML (-140)
1u Cannons ML (-166)
1.5u Cannons/Atlas over 25.5 (-125)
.5u Redwoods -1.5 (-135)
.5u Redwoods/Chrome under 22.5 (-120)
Record: 16-14 (+2.26 units)
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A Town's Zone 