Last night I stayed off Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals, which felt a little weird but was probably the right move in a fun game to watch. Tonight I’m jumping back in with Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals between the Stars and Oilers. Let’s win!
Game 1 – Stars vs. Oilers (8:30)
Tonight the Western Conference Finals begin with a pretty popular pick with a matchup between the Dallas Stars and the Edmonton Oilers. Both of these teams had very good seasons and we have a very deep team in the Stars that don’t have many flaws going against the best player in the world, Connor McDavid, and his Oilers. I broke down in depth in my blog previewing this series earlier today. Going into the playoffs I said that the winner of the Stars and Golden Knights series in the first round (still such a shame that it was the first round) and I still stand by that. I have great value on them to win the Cup at +850 for four units. I think they pretty easily get through the Oilers. Edmonton’s defense and goaltending blows and they struggled against a team that’s not nearly as deep and talented as Dallas is. The price on this series is cheaper than I expected it to be at -125, and I’m going to double down on the Stars here and take them to win the series for 3 units. McDavid, Draisaitl, and Hyman don’t scare me with Stuart Skinner between the pipes. Expecting Dallas to win the series, I like them to win Game 1 at home, and I’ll take them for a unit, along with half a unit on the puck line. I feel like the totals in this series are pretty close to a crapshoot. These teams have trended in opposite directions. In the three regular season games between these teams, two of them hit the over. The Stars slightly trended over in the regular season, with the over going 42-39-1 but they’ve trended under in the playoffs, with the under going 8-5 in the first two rounds in their games. The Oilers were the opposite, trending under in the regular season, with the under going 43-36-3, but have trended over in the playoffs, with their games going 7-4-1 against the Kings and Canucks. I’d slightly lean the overs, but I’ll stay off the total in Game 1.
Game Bets
1u Stars ML (-130)
.5u Stars -1.5 (+195)
Series Bets
2u Panthers/Rangers series over 5.5 games (-188)
3u Stars to win the series (-125)
Futures
4u Dallas Stars – Stanley Cup Champions (+850)
Regular Season Record: 599-527-12 (-95.22 units)
Round 1 Record: 61-44 (+24.2 units)
Round 2 Record: 17-36-1 (-26.22 units)
Round 3 Record: 0-0 (0 units)
Futures Record: 0-2 (-7 units)
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A Town's Zone 