In Week 5 a couple weeks ago, I went 2-2 on the PLL, losing 0.76 units. Not the best weekend. Coming out of All Star Weekend, this week the league heads to Fairfield, Connecticut. Let’s bounce back with some nice wins!
Outlaws vs. Waterdogs (7/19 6:00)
This is a pretty interesting matchup. The Outlaws come out of the All Star break with a 2-2 record after a pathetic 17-4 loss in Week 5 in Boston to the powerhouse Atlas. They game brought down their offensive stats a ton, as they’re now averaging 11.5 goals per game as their defense has allowed an average of 14.5. The Waterdogs are struggling this season, with just a 1-4 record, losing twice in overtime in their homecoming weekend, bouncing back with a win in Minnesota and then losing 14-10 in Week 5 in Boston. Statistically the Dogs have been good defensively, allowing an average of 11.8 goals per game, but they’re only scoring an average of 11.2. Last season the Waterdogs beat the Chrome 10-7 in Week 4 in the only matchup between these teams. I like the Philly defense to get them the win here in pretty much a must-win game. I’ll take them for half a unit. I’d slightly lean the under, but not enough to bet it.
Chaos vs. Whipsnakes (7/19 8:30)
Pretty solid matchup here between these two 2-3 teams that have played completely different styles of lacrosse so far this season. The Chaos, who had a bye in Week 5, are coming off a 10-6 loss to the Waterdogs in Week 4 in Minneapolis. They’ve been good defensively, allowing an average of 11.2 goals per game but they’ve been terrible offensively, scoring an average of just 10.6 goals per game. The Whipsnakes are coming off a 16-11 loss to the Archers in Boston. Maryland’s been decent offensively, scoring an average of 12.8 goals per game but horrible defensively, allowing an average of 14.4 goals per game. Last year both games between these teams were tight, with the Whips winning both of them, 17-16 in Week 7 and then 12-10 in Week 9. This game’s a complete toss up to me. I’d lean the Chaos get the win here and the under but not enough to bet it. I’ll stay off this one entirely.
Atlas vs. Cannons (7/20 3:00)
These teams played in Week 1 to open the season with the Atlas making a statement at home, starting the year with a dominant 19-12 win. New York comes into this week after blowing out the Outlaws 17-4 in Boston to improve to 5-1, bouncing back from their Week 4 loss to the Whipsnakes. This team’s an absolute power house. They’ve scored an insane average of 16.7 goals per game and have been decent defensively, allowing an average of 12 goals per game. The Cannons are having a solid season, coming in with a 4-2 record after splitting their homecoming weekend with a 9-7 loss to the Redwoods and a 14-10 win over the Waterdogs. They’ve scored an average of 12 goals per game and have allowed an average of 11.2 per game. I like the Atlas to win here again and I’ll take them for 1.5 units. I also like the over, which I’ll take for half a unit.
Archers vs. Redwoods (7/20 5:30)
Not the best game to close out the weekend. The Archers have been a bit inconsistent to start the season 3-2, coming off a 16-11 win over the Whips in Boston. They’ve scored an average of 12.6 goals per game, while allowing an average of 12.2. The Redwoods have been pretty lousy, and got their first win of the season in Week 5 with a 9-7 win against the Cannons. California’s struggled on both ends of the field, scoring an average of just 10.8 goals per game while allowing an average of 13. Last year the Archers dominated both games between these teams, winning 10-3 in Week 5 and then eliminating the Redwoods with a 14-6 win in the Semifinals. I like the Archers to get a win here and I’ll lay the -195 on them for a unit. I’d slightly lean the under, but not enough to bet it.
Bets
.5u Waterdogs ML (-166)
1.5u Atlas ML (-175)
.5u Atlas/Cannons over 26.5 (-120)
1u Archers ML (-195)
Record: 10-13 (-4.96 units)
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A Town's Zone 