After a week off the PGA Tour fall swing continues this week at El Cardonal Golf Course at Diamante in Cabo, a Tiger Woods designed course, for the World Wide Technology Championship.
Course Breakdown
Par 72, 7452 yards, Tiger Woods designed, easy resort course that Tiger himself said was designed for weekend warriors and not designed for championships, three of the Par 5s should be reachable by the entire field, six of the Par 4s are between 450-500 yards, wide fairways with an average width of 60 yards so it should be very easy to hit (last year driving accuracy here was an insane 90%, tour average is just 62%), 48 bunkers, water in play on only one hole, every hole basically has an open front and golfers should be able to run the ball up if you like, very slow giant paspalum greens that last year had a GIR percentage of 81% (tour average is just 66%)
Tournament Notes
- Second year this course has hosted this event. It used to be hosted at Mayakoba before LIV took over that course.
Key Stats
Approach, Birdie+ Gained, Putting
Field
116 golfers – Terrible field strength
Defending Champion: Erik van Rooyen (-27)
Runner Up Last Year: Matt Kuchar, Camillo Villegas (-25)
Players
Doug Ghim: 9600: +2200 – He just needs to have a good putting with but he’s been fantastic on approach and T2G, T15 finish here last year, 27,2,25,33,47,41,24 finishes in his last seven events, 1st in Approach, 14th in SG: OTT, 59th in Driving Distance, 16th in Par 3 Scoring, 10th in Par 4 Scoring, 47th in Par 4 Scoring 400-450 yards, 34th in Par 5 Scoring, 97th in Putting, 2nd in Opportunities Gained, 35th in Birdie+ Gained
Harry Hall: 9200: +2800 – Playing well lately with four T13 finishes in his last seven events with 13,9,35,MC,24,1,12,31,42 finishes in his last nine events, Missed cut here last year, 21st in Approach, 94th in SG: OTT, 44th in Driving Distance, 1st in Par 3 Scoring, 13th in Par 4 Scoring, 17th in Par 4 Scoring 400-450 yards, 19th in Par 5 Scoring, 10th in Putting, 27th in Opportunities Gained, 3rd in Birdie+ Gained
Keith Mitchell: 9100: +3000 – Coming off two MCs after his meltdown to lose the Sanderson Farms but he’s been playing very well during the swing season with MC,MC,3,12,12,46,MC,18,MC,10,37,MC,20,14,MC,17 finishes in his last 16 events, T38 finish here last year, 9th in Approach, 13th in SG: OTT, 3rd in Driving Distance, 4th in Par 3 Scoring, 25th in Par 4 Scoring, 27th in Par 4 Scoring 400-450 yards, 30th in Par 5 Scoring, 71st in Putting, 1st in Opportunities Gained, 1st in Birdie+ Gained
JJ Spaun: 9000: +2800 – He keeps letting me down but I’m back on my old DFS darling again as his iron play is too tough to stay off, T67 finish here last year, 6,34,25,WD,26,3,9,45,23,10 finishes in his last ten events, 3rd in Approach, 45th in SG: OTT, 47th in Driving Distance, 22nd in Par 3 Scoring, 1st in Par 4 Scoring, 14th in Par 4 Scoring 400-450 yards, 2nd in Par 5 Scoring, 31st in Putting, 3rd in Opportunities Gained, 4th in Birdie+ Gained
Rico Hoey: 8200: +3500 – Pops in my model this week, first time playing this event, 22,3,21,68,37,22,67,2,26,6 finishes in his last ten events, 20th in Approach, 9th in SG: OTT, 33rd in Driving Distance, 21st in Par 3 Scoring, 6th in Par 4 Scoring, 9th in Par 4 Scoring 400-450 yards, 27th in Par 5 Scoring, 32nd in Putting, 23rd in Opportunities Gained, 16th in Birdie+ Gained
Model
Approach (20%)
SG: OTT (10%)
Driving Distance (5%)
Par 3 Scoring (10%)
Par 4 Scoring (5%)
Par 4 Scoring 400-450 yards (5%)
Par 5 Scoring (10%)
Putting (15%)
Opportunities Gained (5%)
Birdie+ Gained (15%)
Stats based on past 36 rounds
Bets
Outrights
.5u Doug Ghim (+2200)
.4u Harry Hall (+2800)
.4u JJ Spaun (+2800)
.4u Keith Mitchell (+3000)
.3u Rico Hoey (+3500)
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