I crushed an insane Game 4 of the Cup Finals on Thursday night, as the Oilers came back in insane fashion, cashing my big series play and going 5-3 to win 5.62 units, staying hot in these Finals! Tonight we have Game 5 back in Edmonton, let’s win again!
Game 5: Oilers vs. Panthers (8:00)
These Stanley Cup Finals have been insane, with four fantastic games and three of them being decided in overtime in crazy fashion as this series is now tied 2-2 going back to Edmonton tonight for Game 5, guaranteeing another classic series that’s at least going six games, and it wouldn’t shock anyone in the slightest if we get a Game 7 this year again. In Game 1, Leon Draisaitl opened the scoring just 1:06 into the game, but the Panthers, who I thought were the better team going into the series, came roaring back, with two Sam Bennett goals and a Brad Marchand goal to go up 3-1 just 2 minutes into the second period. Then it was the Oilers comeback, with Viktor Arvidsson getting the Oilers back within one just 1:17 after the second Bennett goal, and Mattias Ekholm tying the game 6:33 into the third period. Then after a long overtime with good chances on both sides, Draisaitl scored with 31 seconds left in the first overtime to win it 4-3 for the Oil. Solid win and the game essentially went as I expected, with Edmonton being the slightly better team at home in a close, entertaining game. The Oilers outshot the Panthers 46-32, with some shaky goaltending on both sides, and the game looking a little slow at time with the week off for both teams. Game 2 was even more electric, going to overtime once again. The first period was very high scoring, with five goals in the first 12:37 of the game, and the scoring starting early once again, as Sam Bennett opened the game up with a power play goal just 2:07 in. Florida got out to a 4-3 lead in the second period on Brad Marchand’s short handed goal, but late in the third period, with just 18 seconds left in regulation, Corey Perry tied it up at 4-4, sending the game to OT for the second game in a row of these Stanley Cup Finals. This time it was the Panthers that got the win on the road, tying the series and taking home ice, as Brad Marchand snuck the puck past Skinner to give Florida the win 8:05 into the second overtime. The Panthers dominated Game 3 on Monday when the series shifted down to Lauderdale. Brad Marchand scored just 56 seconds into the game, and it was all Florida after that, as they cruised their way to an embarrassing 6-1 win, completely shutting down Edmonton and chasing Stuart Skinner out of the net. Game 4 didn’t look great early for the Oilers, looking like it was going to be another blowout in Sunrise, as the Panthers got out to a 3-0 lead in the first period at home, with Matthew Tkachuk scoring twice on the power play and Anton Lundell scoring late in the period to go up 3-0 with Skinner getting pulled out of the goal for the second game in a row. The game flipped though in the second period, with the Oilers tying up the game heading into the third period, getting the momentum back in their favor. Jake Walman gave Edmonton their first lead of the game with 6:24 left in regulation as Cal Pickard didn’t allow a goal until just 19.5 seconds left, with Sam Reinhart tying the game up 4-4 in the midst of a bunch of chaos in front with Bob on the bench (cashing my Sam Bennett point prop). In overtime though, Leon Draisaitl completed the comeback, scoring to win it 5-4 and knot up the series on his third point of the game, scoring after not winning the Hart Trophy earlier in the day. It’s a whole new three game series now and the Oilers have home ice back. With this series back home, I like the Oilers to win Game 5 tonight, and I’ll take them for half a unit. I like the over again, which I’ll take at 6 for 2 units. I’ll go back to my same handful of props as Game 4 with a unit on Goal in First Ten Minutes, which has hit in three of the four games so far. Then a bunch of player props with half a unit each on: Connor McDavid over 1.5 points, Leon Draisaitl over 1.5 points, Sam Bennett over 0.5 point, and Brad Marchand over 0.5 point, just like I had in Games 3 and 4. I’m going to add Bobrovsky over 28.5 saves for a unit, which has hit in every game this series.
Game Bets
.5u Oilers ML (-108)
2u Panthers/Oilers over 6 (-134)
1u Goal in First Ten Minutes (-166)
.5u Connor McDavid over 1.5 points (-125)
.5u Leon Draisaitl over 1.5 points (+110)
.5u Sam Bennett over 0.5 point (-135)
.5u Brad Marchand over 0.5 point (-110)
1u Sergei Bobrovsky over 28.5 saves (-130)
Records
Regular Season: 567-497-14 (-58.18 units)
Round 1: 40-39 (-1.19 units)
Round 2: 24-20 (+1.39 units)
Round 3: 15-14-1 (+4.68 units)
Finals: 12-6 (+10.9 units)
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A Town's Zone 