This week the PGA Tour fall swing season heads down to Cabo for the World Wide Technology Championship at the Tiger Woods designed El Cardonal Golf Course at Diamante.
Course Breakdown
Par 72, 7452 yards, Tiger Woods design, easy resort course that Tiger himself said was designed for weekend warriors and not designed for championships, three of the Par 5s should be reachable by the entire field, six of the Par 4s are between 450-500 yards, wide fairways with an average width of 60 yards so it should be very easy to hit (driving accuracy here was an insane 90%, tour average is just 62%), longer than average driving distance (298 yards vs. tour average 284) since guys can just bomb it without having to worry about missing the fairways, 48 bunkers, water in play on only one hole, every hole basically has an open front and golfers should be able to run the ball up if you like, very slow giant paspalum greens with a 79% GIR percentage (tour average is just 66%)
Tournament Notes
- Third year this course has hosted this event. It used to be hosted at Mayakoba before LIV took over that course.
Key Stats
Approach, Birdie+ Gained, Putting
Field
116 golfers – Horrendous field strength
Defending Champion: Austin Eckroat (-24)
Runner Up Last Year: Justin Lower, Carson Young (-23)
Players
Ben Griffin: 10500: +1300 – Playing great golf and gaining strokes in pretty much every statistical category since May, first in my model, won earlier this season at the Charles Schwab with 2,12,9,11,MC,MC,13,14,10,2,1,8 finishes in his last twelve events, T24 and T23 finishes here the last two years, 3rd in Approach, 27th in SG: OTT, 27th in Distance, 2nd in Par 3 Scoring, 5th in Par 4 Scoring, 36th in Par 4 Scoring (450–500 yards), 1st in Par 5 Scoring, 2nd in Putting, 36th in Opportunities Gained, 12th in Birdie+ Gained
Max Greyserman: 9800: +2200 – Has been very inconsistent lately coming off his 2nd place finish at the Baycurrent Classic but with five missed cuts in his last seven events with 2,MC,32,MC,MC,MC,MC,2,36,23,25,22,33,54,27,32 finishes in his last 16 events, finished 4th here last year, RECENT FORM, 27th in Approach, 26th in SG: OTT, 12th in Driving Distance, 50th in Par 3 Scoring, 56th in Par 4 Scoring, 24th in Par 4 Scoring (450–500 yards), 35th in Par 5 Scoring, 21st in Putting, 99th in Opportunities Gained, 7th in Birdie+ Gained
Michael Thorbjornsen: 9500: +2500 – Right back to him as he’s been very good on approach and off the tee, 37,3,29,13,38,MC,21,4,41,54,33,MC,39 finishes in his last 13 events, first time playing this event, 4th in Approach, 8th in SG: OTT, 4th in Driving Distance, 87th in Par 3 Scoring, 28th in Par 4 Scoring, 53rd in Par 4 Scoring (450–500 yards), 9th in Par 5 Scoring, 50th in Putting, 9th in Opportunities Gained, 8th in Birdie+ Gained
Garrick Higgo: 9300: +2800 – Pops in my model this week, finished T6 here last year, playing fantastic lately in the fall with 4,2,7,MC,39,27,MC,55,68,12,42,53,17,6 finishes in his last 14 events dating back to this event last year, 40th in Approach, 36th in SG: OTT, 16th in Driving Distance, 1st in Par 3 Scoring, 13th in Par 4 Scoring, 20th in Par 4 Scoring (450–500 yards), 7th in Par 5 Scoring, 4th in Putting, 84th in Opportunities Gained, 21st in Birdie+ Gained
Model
Approach (20%)
SG: OTT (10%)
Driving Distance (5%)
Par 3 Scoring (10%)
Par 4 Scoring (5%)
Par 4 Scoring 400-450 yards (5%)
Par 5 Scoring (10%)
Putting (15%)
Opportunities Gained (5%)
Birdie+ Gained (15%)
Stats based on past 36 rounds
Bets
Outrights
.8u Ben Griffin (+1300)
.5u Max Greyserman (+2200)
.4u Michael Thorbjornsen (+2500)
.4u Garrick Higgo (+2800)
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