Rocket Mortgage Classic – Gambling/DFS Preview 2020

Since we got the PGA back four weeks ago, we’ve had fantastic fields in super entertaining golf tournaments. I’ve been on fire with my picks hitting Top 5s all three tournaments with Dustin Johnson getting us a win last week! Let’s stay hot and keep making money. Hit me up if you’re sharing the success from these blogs and let me know. And share it so more people could get in on the fun! This week the PGA goes to Detroit for the Rocket Mortgage Classic with a lousy field compared to the last few weeks but that won’t stop me from picking winners.

Detroit Golf Club – Detroit, MI

Course Breakdown

Par 72, 7334 yds, 4 of the Par 4s under 400 yds, 4 of the Par 4s over 450 yds, 2 of the Par 3s over 200 yds, 2 of the Par 5s are reachable by most of the field with another one reachable by some, Donald Ross designed course, birdiefest, tree lined fairways, fairway bunkers in the landing zones, undulating fairways and greens, less than driver on about half of holes but most guys still bomb it and average drives here last year were 13 yards longer than average mitigating any advantage of driving it long, mainly straight holes (not many doglegs on Donald Ross designs), slightly below average fairway widths, 3.5 inch rough, barely less than average sized greens, bunkers surrounding the bunkers, greens slope heavily from back to front with heavy undulation, Bluegrass greens (mix of mostly POA with around 20% bentgrass)

Tournament Notes

  • Last year was the first year that this tournament was held, replacing the Quicken Loans National and was the first PGA event at Detroit Golf Club
  • Everyone in the T20 last year here gained strokes putting. Putting matters here but its the one stat thats so variable that its not worth even looking at on a week to week basis

Key Stats

SG: Approach, Ballstriking, Par 4 scoring

Main proximity distance on approach: 125-150 yds, 150-175 yds

Corollary Courses

East Lake Golf Club (Tour Championship), Sedgefield Country Club (Wyndham Championship) – both similar Donald Ross design courses

Field

156 players in the field, definitely the worst field since the return of golf

Defending Champion: Nate Lashley (-25)

Runner Up Last Year: Doc Redman (-19)

One and Done: Rory Sabbatini

Alternate: Viktor Hovland

One and Done Considerations: Hideki, Hovland, Sabs 

Players

Hideki: 10200: +1500 – T13 here last year, 1st in Approach, 2nd in Ballstriking, 2nd in SG: T2G, 14th in Eagles, 11th in Par 4 scoring 450-500 yards, 7th in Par 5 scoring, 2nd in opportunities gained, 4th in birdies+ gained over last 24 rounds, 1st in approach, 1st in ballstriking, 3rd T2G on Donald Ross courses over past 24 rds

Hovland: 10000: +1500 – T13 here last year, been fantastic with his irons, 12th in SG: Approach this year, T11, T21, T23 his last 3 events

Rory Sabbatini: 8800: +5500 – T3 here last year, T21 and T14 his last 2 events, 1st in SG: Total, 1st in SG: T2G, 3rd in Ballstriking, 7th in SG: OTT, 7th in approach and 2nd in DK pts on Donald Ross courses over the last 24 rounds

Glover: 8400: +6000 – T20, T21, T23 his last 3 events since coming back from the break and over those 12 rounds: 2nd in Birdie+%, really good at Par 4 scoring, Par 4 efficiency from 450-500 yds, 8th in proximity 150-175 yds, 16th in proximity 125-150 yds, gained almost 16 strokes on approach over last 3 events

Betting Notes

I’m not betting Hideki and Hovland at their +1500 price and I’m leaving my betting card pretty light since I think anyone in the field has the chance to win this event. It’s the type of event that maps for any scrub to be able to win on a hot putting week. 

Bets

$10 Rory Sabbatini: WIN +5500

$10 Rory Sabbatini: T5 +800

$9 Lucas Glover: WIN +6000

$9 Lucas Glover: T5: +1000


Please follow us on Instagram @atownszone!

And follow me on Twitter:

@anther93

@atownszone

Leave a Reply

Please log in using one of these methods to post your comment:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s