Workday Charity Open – Gambling/DFS Preview 2020

With the John Deere Classic cancelled this year, it’s being replaced with this one year only event, the Workday Charity Open taking place at Jack’s Place, Muirfield Village. So for the first time ever we’re having back to back PGA tournaments on the same course. A gambler’s dream.

Muirfield Village Golf Club – Columbus, OH

Course Breakdown

Par 72, 7456 yds (typically 7392 yds for Memorial), Jack Nicklaus designed, bent grass fairways and greens with a little bit of poa mixed in, tree lined very easy to hit fairways (~69%) with deep fairway bunkers that are penal (only about 40% of golfers that hit fairway bunkers make par, 73 bunkers, 13 water hazards that are in play on 11 holes, water is placed in tricky spots with creeks running through the course with some on entire holes, less than driver course that favors placement for approach shots, difficult to hit out of thick 3 inch rough, harder than average greens to hit (~62%), extremely fast small greens with heavy undulation, many of the greens slope back to front, water and greenside bunkers in play, lot of rain in the area lately should make it a bit softer and easier

Tournament Notes

  • This one time tournament will take the place of the John Deere Classic with that event not held this year
  • Muirfield Village is the usual home of the Memorial Tournament every year, including next week this year so there will be two events in a row here
  • This week will have a full 156 man field, next week will go back to the standard 120 invitational field of Memorial
  • There will be different pin placements and tee boxes used for this tournament compared to the setup for Memorial and the greens should run slower (11 on stimpmeter vs. usual 13) and the rough won’t be as penal as usual as they are growing it up for Memorial next week so it can’t be mowed this week

Key Stats

SG: Approach, Ballstriking, SG: T2G

Main proximity distance range on approach: 150-175 yds, 175-200 yds.

Field

156 Players – Pretty good field strength

Defending Champion (The Memorial): Patrick Cantlay (-19)

Runner Up Last Year (The Memorial): Adam Scott (-17)

One and Done: Marc Leishman

Alternate: Viktor Hovland

One and Done Considerations: Hovland, Leishman

Players

Hovland: 9500: +2200 – 8th in Approach, 6th in Par 4 efficiency 450-500 yds, T1 in proximity 150-175 yds, T9 in proximity 175-200 yds

Leishman: 8700: +3300 – 1st in Approach, T19 in proximity 150-175 yds, Gained strokes T2G and on approach in every event he’s played this year, good history here with 4 T15s including a 5th here last year in the last 5 years

Niemann: 8400: +3000 – 19th in Approach, 11th in Par 4 efficiency 450-500 yds, 3rd in proximity 175-200 yds, T27, T6 the last 2 years here

Hadwin: 8200: +4000 – 9th in Par 4 performance, 8th in Par 4 scoring, 3rd in proximity 150-175 yds this year, 2nd in Par 4 450-500 yds scoring, 19th in Approach, 6th in sand saves, 8th in proximity 150-175 yds over last 50 rounds

Betting Notes

I’ll mainly be using this week more as research for next week since it’ll give us a pretty good preview to crush the Memorial with the first time back to back tournaments have ever been held at the same location. We’ll also have much better numbers with a WGC strength field next week (and probably Tiger!) so I’ll be going hard betting wise next week and much lighter this week.


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