Sentry Tournament of Champions – Gambling/DFS Preview 2021

The PGA Tour kicks off with the first event of the year at 2:30pm EST today with the Sentry Tournament of Champions. Due to the coronavirus pandemic, the field this year is expanded. I break it down from a gambling/DFS perspective.

Kapalua Resort Plantation Course – Hawaii

Course Breakdown

Par 73, 7518 yds but at a higher elevation so it plays shorter, resort course, lot of elevation changes and uneven lies as the course was built on the side of a mountain, most of the Par 5s are reachable in 2, huge very wide fairways with very little rough (over 70% of Fairways Hit), if tee shots are ridiculously wild players will have to deal with very tall grass, huge and slow Bermuda greens with a lot of undulation (but they were a little quicker last year and had more bounce due to resodding), some greens have been flattened this year to make the course a little more difficult, 90+ bunkers on the course, right on the Pacific Ocean and wind will be a factor here

Tournament Notes

  • Expanded field this year due to covid shutdown last year, everyone that won last year as well as any player that played in the Tour Championship last year is invited
  • No cut event
  • The last ten winners have all been from the USA
  • Only 5 non-US golfers have finished T3 since 2011: Day, Rahm, Hideki (x2), Laird, GMac
  • Winners the previous year here have done very well the following year
  • In the last 7 years, 20 of the 27 T3 finishers have been T25 in the World Golf Rankings and 23 of those 27 were American
  • No first time player has won since 2008 (Daniel Chopra)
  • Since 2014, only seven golfers have finished T5 in their first appearance here, including Spieth, Hideki, Rahm, Rory and Brooks (so the elite)
  • Only two first timers came in the T10 last year, Morikawa (T7) and Niemann (T5)

Key Stats

SG: Approach, SG: T2G, SG: OTT

Main proximity distance range on approach: Less than 150 yds. (~40% of approach shots), Over 200 yds. (~40% of approach shots)

Corollary Courses

  • TPC Deere Run (John Deere Classic) – 4 of the last 11 winners also won the John Deere Classic (Spieth, ZJ, Stricker and Jonathan Byrd)
  • Augusta National (The Masters)

Field

42 Players including 6 of the top 7 in the world (No Rory)

Defending Champion: Justin Thomas (-14 in playoff)

Runner Up Last Year: Patrick Reed, Xander Schauffele (-14)

Players

JT: 10700: +700 – Last 5 years here 1,3,T22,1,T21, 1st in approach, 1st in SG: T2G, 3rd in ballstriking, 2nd in SG: ATG, 1st in opportunities gained, 2nd in Par 4 scoring, 5th in Par 4 scoring 350-400 yds, 5th in proximity 100-125 yds, 5th in DK pts

Morikawa: 8800: +2200 – T7 in his debut here last year, 3rd in approach, 5th in ballstriking, 6th in SG: T2G, 14 in SG: OTT, 2nd in Par 4 scoring 350-400 yds, 5th in opportunities gained

Neimann: 8300: +4000 – T5 in his debut here last year, 6th in ballstriking, 7th in Approach, 10th in SG: OTT, 14th in SG: T2G, 14th in opportunities gained, 7th in proximity 100-125 yds, 13th in Par 4 scoring


Please follow us on Instagram @atownszone! That’s the key social media aspect that will help me grow this thing. If you like the site and my work, share it with your friends.

And follow both my personal and site Twitter:

@anther93

@atownszone

Leave a Reply

Please log in using one of these methods to post your comment:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s