Last night was alright going 3-2 and losing less than a unit on juice. Both losses came in overtime as Carolina lost in 2OT and Edmonton lost in OT. Four games spread out today to win!
Game 4: Lightning vs. Panthers (12:30)
On Thursday night as the series shifted to Tampa with the Bolts leading 2-0 in the series, Florida got off to a hot 2-0 start before this game became a thriller as Tampa scored five goals in the second period to make it 5-3. The Panthers tied the game up in the third period before going on to win in overtime to stay in the series. I think the Bolts are the better team in this series and bounce back with a win at home today. I’m on the Tampa moneyline and the over has this series has been a scoring clinic through three games.
Game 4: Islanders vs. Penguins (3:00)
In an awesome Game 3 with the series tied going from Pittsburgh to Long Island, the Penguins got a 5-4 win in an awesome game to take a 2-1 lead in the series. I think the Pens are a much better team but the Islanders have played pretty well in this series. I’d lean Pittsburgh wins this game to take a commanding 3-1 for a chance to close it out at home in Game 5, but with how close these games have been with all three decided by a goal, I’m staying off this game betting wise. I have pretty good sized futures on the Penguins to win this series so I’ll just ride that out this game. I also don’t mind the over (which is 2-1 in this series) but I’m not betting it. I love the Penguins +1.5 cause I don’t see them losing by more than a goal if they do lose, but at almost -300, I just can’t see the value in laying that kind of juice when it could be ruined by an empty net goal (although the Isles are dead last in the NHL on empty net goals).
Game 2: Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens (7:00)
The North Division blows. In a boring game 1, the Habs beat the Leafs 2-1 on a shorthanded goal in the third period from Paul Byron. The Leafs are the better team and should tie this series up at home tonight, but at -190 and how inconsistent every team in Canada is this year, I’m not betting that. Fuck the Leafs.
Game 4: Wild vs. Golden Knights (8:00)
The Vegas Golden Knights finally started scoring in this series as they won 5-2 on Thursday night for the franchise’s first regulation win in Minnesota to take a 2-1 lead in this tight series. I think Vegas is the better team but the Wild scare me against them. Minnesota’s a very good team but Vegas has done a great job of keeping Kaprizov off the score sheet and Marc Andre Fleury has been incredible in goal. I’d lean the Knights win a close low scoring game here but I could also easily see the Wild tying up the series at home so I’ll lay off this game too. I’d lean the under but could see a late spark in the third period of empty netters to make it go over, just like it did in Game 3.
1u Tampa ML (-150)
1u Tampa/Florida over 5.5 (-125)
4u Bruins (-155)
4u Penguins (-140)
3u Carolina to win series in 6 or less games (-150)
2u Colorado to win series in 6 or less games (-190)
1u Colorado to win series 4-0 (+450)
1u Colorado to win series 4-1 (+300)
1u Colorado to win series 4-2 (+400)
3u Oilers (-175)
2u Stanley Cup Champions: Vegas Golden Knights (+700)
2u Stanley Cup Champions: Colorado Avalanche (+650)
1u Stanley Cup Champions: New York Islanders (+1300)
1u Stanley Cup Champions: Washington Capitals (+1600)
1.5u Stanley Cup Champions: Boston Bruins (+900)
1u Stanley Cup Champions: Pittsburgh Penguins (+1300)
2u East Division Champions: Boston Bruins (+180)
2u East Division Champions: Pittsburgh Penguins (+235)
Record: 321-238-2 (-15.92 units)