Memorial Tournament – Gambling/DFS Preview 2021

Muirfield Village Golf Club – Columbus, OH
“Jack’s Place”

Course Breakdown

Par 72, 7550 yds, Jack Nicklaus designed, the Par 5s are reachable in 2, 6 of the 7 most difficult holes are Par 4s between 450-500 yards, bent grass fairways and greens, tree lined very easy to hit fairways (~69%) with deep fairway bunkers that are penal (only about 40% of golfers that hit fairway bunkers make par), the fairways get more narrow around the 300 yard mark, 73 bunkers, 13 water hazards that are in play on 11 holes, water is placed in tricky spots with creeks running through the course with some on entire holes, less than driver course that favors placement for approach shots and this course ranks in bottom 10 courses on tour in driving distance but high driving accuracy vs. tour average (~69% vs. 62%), difficult to hit out of thick 3 inch rough, harder than average greens to hit (~62% vs. tour average 66%), scrambling is very difficult at this course (~53% vs. tour average 58%). extremely fast small greens with heavy undulation, many of the greens slope back to front, water and greenside bunkers in play (this course has the longest proximity on tour from shots out of green side bunkers), rain softening the course can make it play much easier, in 2016 at -1 was the only year since 2003 that the cut line was under par

Lots of renovation to the course for this season with all of the grass on the fairways and greens redone, adjusted bunkers, changed contours to the greens, added a bunch of new trees and new tee boxes that when maxed out can lengthen the course around 100 yards. The only significant changes to these is the greens and the resodding of the greens will make them very firm for the first few years. The new contours of the greens makes course history slightly less of a factor since reading the greens will be new for everyone.

Key Stats

SG: Approach, Ballstriking, SG: ARG

Main proximity distance range on approach: 150-175 yds (23.3%), 175-200 yds. (22.1%)

Note: 175-200 yards range might be more important with the lengthening of the course and the more difficult holes on the course being longer Par 4s that leave a longer approach shot

Field

120 player invitational field

Defending Champion: Jon Rahm (-9)

Runner Up Last Year: Ryan Palmer (-6)

One and Done: Charley Hoffman

Alternate: Hideki Matsuyama

Players

Collin Morikawa: 10400: +1600 – 2nd in approach (1st over last 24 rds), 19th in SG: OTT (14th over last 24 rds), 2nd in Par 4 scoring 450-500 yds (1st over last 24 rds), 39th in sand saves, 2nd in opportunities gained (1st over last 24 rds), 5th in fairways gained (3rd over last 24 rds), 5th in Par 3 scoring 175-200 yds, 1st in SG over last 2 years at Jack designed courses (1st in SG: T2G, 1st in ballstriking, 1st in approach, 8th in SG: OTT, 1st in DK pts)

Viktor Hovland: 9900: +1400 – MC,T27,T6 the last three years here, 16th in approach (11th over last 24 rds), 3rd in SG: OTT, 9th in Par 4 scoring 450-500 yds, 10th in Par 5 scoring (5th over last 24 rds), 17th in sand saves, 26th in putting (18th over last 24 rds), 4th in opportunities gained (3rd over last 24 rds), 34th in fairways gained, 26th in Par 3 scoring 175-200 yds (21st over last 24 rds), 17th in SG over last 2 years at Jack designed courses (14th in SG: T2G, 5th in ballstriking, 4th in SG: OTT, 14th in approach, 1st in DK pts)

Corey Conners: 9300: +2500 – T22,T65 the last 2 years here, 3rd in approach, 5th in SG: OTT (4th over last 24 rds), 17th in Par 4 scoring 450-500 yds (8th over last 24 rds), 18th in Par 5 scoring, 20th in sand saves over last 24 rds, 2nd in opportunities gained, 2nd in fairways gained, 6th in Par 3 scoring 175-200 yds

Joaquin Niemann: 8800: +3300 – 15th in approach, 4th in SG: OTT, 31st in Par 4 scoring 450-500 yds, 23rd in Par 5 scoring, 15th in putting, 24th in opportunities gained, 39th in Par 3 scoring 175-200 yds

Charley Hoffman: 8300: +4500 – 7th in approach (3rd over last 24 rds), 14th in SG: OTT, 25th in Par 4 scoring 450-500 yds, 15th in Par 5 scoring (1st over last 24 rds), 26th in sand saves over last 24 rds, 23rd in putting, 6th in opportunities gained, 36th in SG: ARG over last 24 rds, 1st in Par 3 scoring 175-200 yds, 23rd in SG over last 2 years at Jack designed courses

Keegan Bradley: 8000: +4000 – 5th in approach, 16th in SG: OTT, 35th in Par 4 scoring 450-500 yds (20th over last 24 rds), 21st in Par 5 scoring, 34th in sand saves (30th over last 24 rds), 12th in opportunities gained, 29th in SG: ARG (9th over last 24 rds), 3rd in fairways gained, 4th in Par 3 scoring 175-200 yds

Cameron Tringale: 7600: +8000 – 21st in approach, 33rd in SG: OTT, 7th in Par 4 scoring 450-500 yds, 13th in Par 5 scoring, 8th in sand saves, 18th in putting, 29th in opportunities gained, 22nd in SG: ARG (5th over last 24 rds), 31st in fairways gained (12th over last 24 rds), 22nd in SG over last 2 years at Jack designed courses

Kyle Stanley: 6100: +12500 – T2 where he lost in a playoff to Bryson here in 2018 and T6 here in 2017, lead the field in approach at Colonial last week

All stats based on last 50 rounds unless otherwise noted

DraftKings/Betting Notes

  • I’ll be looking at SG: Approach leaders live after Round 1 and 2 for Live Betting opportunities with how important that stat is on this course.
  • 6/6 percentage on DK should be higher this week than most since the field is smaller.

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