PLL Weekly Gambling Preview – Week 3 – 2021

After a 4-0 start in Week 1, went 3-4 for a slight loss in Week 2 but I’m still up on the season! Last week was a week off for the PLL due to NBC’s broadcast schedule but we’re back at Homewood Field in the lacrosse hotbed of Baltimore, MD this week for Week 3! 

Whipsnakes vs. Atlas (6/25 8:00)

The Whips are sitting atop the league standings tied with the Archers at 2-0 through two weeks of the season after a close 15-14 overtime win in Week 2 over the Cannons. After losing in an 18-6 blowout to the Archers in Week 1, the Atlas pulled off an upset in Week 2, beating the Redwoods 12-9. Last season when these teams played, the Whipsnakes dominated the Atlas, winning 15-8 in group play and they’re 3-0 all time against the Atlas. I think the Whipsnakes, who got a little too close for comfort in their game in Week 2, come out firing tonight and get a big win over the Atlas and since the moneyline on this game is way too expensive, I’ll take the Whips -2.5 for a unit. I’ll take the under for half a unit as well.

Redwoods vs. Chaos (6/26 5:15)

The Chaos has looked awful through two weeks this season and sit dead last in the PLL with an 0-3 record and a huge -12 scoring differential. The Redwoods started the season pretty well, going 2-1 by winning both games of their doubleheader on Opening Weekend and then dropping one to the Atlas last week. Historically these teams are 2-2 against each other. I think the Redwoods bounce back with a win this week. I wish the price on this game was cheaper but I don’t love laying the -2.5 as much so I’ll just take it for half a unit. I’d lean the under in this game but the total is low at only 21.5 with both of these teams trending well over that this season, so I’ll just lay off that. 

Waterdogs vs. Archers (6/26 8:00)

After losing 13-7 to the Cannons on Opening Weekend, the Waterdogs rallied for two wins in their doubleheader in Week 2, beating the Chaos 14-12 on Friday night and then the Chrome 14-9 on Sunday. Neither of those teams have the talent that the first place Archers do, who are 2-0 with a huge +16 scoring differential. On the other end of the field, the Archers also have stellar goaltending with a league leading 73% combined save percentage from Adam Ghitelman and Drew Adams. Last season when these teams met in group play, the Archers won 9-7. Both of these teams have improved in the offseason and I think the Archers get a big win here. I’ll take the Archers for a unit on the ML.  

Cannons vs. Atlas (6/27 12:00)

With #1 overall draft pick Jeff Teat (son of former Buffalo Bandit, Dan Teat) making his PLL debut on Friday night for the Atlas, their new look offense stuck around with the Whipsnakes to go into halftime with a big 8-5 lead, giving the Whips their first difficult start to a game of the season. They looked impressive but ended up giving up that lead, scoring only 3 points in the second half and eventually losing 12-11 in OT on the game winner from Matt Rambo. I expected them to lose to the Whips on Friday night but they put up a WAY better game than I had expected they would. On the second half of their double header this week, the Atlas look to split the weekend with a win against the expansion Cannons. I though the Cannons looked great on the first two weekends of the season and I’m backing them on Sunday with a unit on the Cannons ML. At -167, I think thats cheap enough to not be worth laying the 1.5 goals for just 33 cents of juice.

Chrome vs. Whipsnakes (6/27 2:45)

The Whipsnakes had a battle on Friday night against the Atlas, which I didn’t expect at all but they still pulled out a win with a 12-11 overtime winner from Matt Rambo to keep their two year winning streak rolling. On the back of their weekend doubleheader, they play the Chrome. The Chrome are 0-2 on the season losing 14-11 on opening weekend to the Redwoods and 14-9 to the Waterdogs in Week 2. After a very close game that especially in the first half the Whips struggled in, I think they come out firing in this matchup. The moneyline is SO expensive at a ridiculous -435 on the Whipsnakes, but I think the -167 on the -2.5 points line isn’t bad so I’ll back that for a unit here.

Bets

1u Whipsnakes -2.5 (-143)

.5u Whipsnakes/Atlas under 24.5 (-125)

.5u Redwoods -2.5 (-121)

1u Archers ML (-225)

1u Cannons ML (-167)

1u Whipsnakes -2.5 (-167)

Record: 9-5 (+0.68 units)


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