PLL Weekly Gambling Preview – Week 6 – 7/30/21

It’s been a three weeks since we’ve seen any PLL action that besides a very fun All Star Weekend two weeks ago. This week we’re back as the league heads to Weidner Field in Colorado Springs with only two weeks left in the regular season.

Atlas vs. Chrome (7/30 9:00)

The Altas new look offense lead by rookie all star Jeff Teat has been fantastic since he made his debut in the PLL and they’re now 4-2 on the season. The Chrome haven’t been nearly as good and they’re 2-4 on the year. This week, coming off the long break these teams meet for the second time this season after the Atlas beat the Chrome 16-10 in Week 4 where Bryan Costabile’s had 3 goals, a two bomb and an assist. I’d expect the Atlas win this game again. I think the -182 on the ML is a bit too expensive but I’ll take the -1.5 on this game for half a unit. I have no lean on the over/under since the Atlas have trended over all season where the Chrome have trended under. 

Archers vs. Redwoods (7/31 7:15)

After a fantastic 3-0 start to the season, the Archers have since dropped their last 3 games and are coming into this game off of the break 3-3. The Redwoods sit at the top of the PLL standings at 4-2. Historically, in the 2019 regular season, these teams were 1-1 against each other with both games decided by a goal. In the playoffs that year, the Woods knocked off the Archers in a 16-12 game in the first round. This is their first game since then, since they didn’t meet in the bubble in 2020. I think the Archers are the better team in this matchup and would lean that they win this one but with how inconsistent they’ve played and both teams coming off a three week break, I’m laying off this game. I’d lean the under here but wouldn’t bet on it.

Waterdogs vs. Whipsnakes (7/31 10:00)

This is the first meeting between the Waterdogs and Whipsnakes since they never played each other in the bubble last year. The Waterdogs come into this game 4-3 after a perfect 2-0 weekend in Week 5 where they crushed the Cannons 19-7 and the Chrome 12-6. The Whipsnakes are 4-2 and coming into this game off a 13-7 loss to the Redwoods. The Waterdogs offense has been unbelievable lately and now lead the PLL in scores at 90. This is going to be the toughest matchup so far of the season for the Waterdogs though against the back to back champs. I’d lean the Whips and the over in this game, but not confident enough in either of those picks to bet them so I’ll just lay off this game.

Chaos vs. Chrome (8/1 2:00)

This might be the worst game of this weekend’s slate. The Chaos have struggled this season and are 2-4 coming into this week’s game off a 16-10 loss to the Atlas last week. The Chrome also aren’t good and after their 19-10 loss on Friday night to the Atlas, they’re 2-5. This actually should be a pretty even game and these teams both match up close across each statistical category. Last season, the Chaos won 19-14 when these two teams played. I’d lean the Chrome win this one and the under, but I’m not betting either. 

Atlas vs. Cannons (8/1 4:45)

On Friday night the Atlas got a huge 19-10 win over the Chrome to become the first team to clinch a playoff spot in this season’s PLL playoffs. The Cannons started off the season strong but are now just holding on for dear life at 2-5. The Atlas are on fire, with four straight wins since Jeff Teat was inserted in the lineup. Earlier this season, the Atlas beat the Cannons 18-17 in a great, high scoring game. The key to that game was Michael Rexrode keeping the best player in the world, Lyle Thompson off the scoresheet for the first time since 2016. I’d expect that Lyle has a better game but the Atlas beat the Cannons. I’ll take the Atlas for a unit and the over, which I think is way too low at 23.5 for a unit. 

Bets

.5u Atlas -1.5 (-127)

1u Atlas ML (-159)

1u Atlas/Cannons over 23.5 (-118)

Futures

3u PLL Champions: Archers (+190)

Record: 11-18 (-14.78 units)


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