NHL Daily Gambling Preview – 10/28/21

The Capitals losing made it a 3-3 night for me last night on a fun slate. Tonight, a huge slate of a ton of NHL games.

Lightning vs. Coyotes (7:00)

After losing 5-1 to the Buffalo Sabres a few days ago, the Tampa Bay Lightning seem to have found their footing with a big 5-1 bounce back win over the Penguins on Tuesday night. Arizona has the worst defense and goaltending in all of hockey, allowing an insane 4.83 goals per game. Betting the TTs and regulation lines against the Yotes has been the most lucrative bet in hockey and this is a great spot to keep riding that. Tampa should have no issue taking care of business against the Coyotes. In addition, Arizona’s starting yet another new goalie tonight, Ivan Prosvetov, called up from the AHL because of Carter Hutton’s injury. The ML is ridiculous at -335, so I’ll take Tampa in regulation for a unit (still pricy at -200) and a unit on the Bolts TT over 3.5 (-136).

Penguins vs. Flames (7:00)

The Penguins have looked good so far this season, with a 3-1-2 record even without all their top players who have been injured to start the year. They’re coming off a surprising 5-1 loss to Tampa on Tuesday night but on the season they’ve been very good offensively, averaging 4 goals per game. Calgary is a tough team for me to gauge. Going into the season I didn’t have high expectations for them at all but they’re coming into this game with a 4-1-1 record on a four game win streak. This could be a good matchup and I’d give the slight edge to Pittsburgh here and I’ll take them at the pick em price at home for half a unit. 

Hurricanes vs. Bruins (7:00)

Carolina is still perfect on the season with a 5-0 record, covering the puck line in four of those games, averaging 4.4 goals per game and only allowing 1.6 goals per game. They haven’t played a tough schedule though and besides the Isles who I expect to end the season with a solid record, they’ve only played the Leafs, Blue Jackets, Habs and Preds. Nothing great there. Tonight when they play the Bruins will be the toughest game they play so far this season. The B’s are a good team with a 3-2 record, averaging 3 goals both scored per game and allowed. I’d slightly lean the Canes win this one at home but would give the Bruins the edge in goaltending, looking for a bounce back win after their 4-1 loss to Florida last night. I’ll skip betting this game. I’d also lean the under.

Blues vs. Avalanche (8:00)

St. Louis still has a perfect record on the season, 5-0 and looking great on paper. What’s interesting though is that their wins came against the Kings twice, Arizona (worst defense in hockey), Vegas who’s without half of their lineup and their best players and the Avs the first time these two teams played. Nothing too impressive considering that in that first game, a 5-3 Blues win, Colorado was missing their two best players in MacKinnon and Landeskog. The Blues are averaging five goals per game and allowing only two, but when you look at who they’ve played, that should be expected. Colorado hasn’t really been great on either end of the ice, allowing an average of 3.83 goals per game while only scoring an average of 2.5. Tonight the Blues will be without their best player in Ryan O’Reilly which is significant for that offense. Colorado has to make things right and start winning because that 2-4 record is not encompassing for the talent on that roster and I’d lean they win this game tonight. I’ll take the over for half a unit as I’d expect both of these teams get the puck in the back of the net.

Canucks vs. Flyers (10:00)

Last night in a very entertaining game, the Philadelphia Flyers gave Connor McDavid and the Oilers their first loss of the season in a 5-3 win. The only team so far this year to be able to outscore them. The Flyers offense has been very impressive so far this year, averaging 4.6 goals per game. The Canucks have been pretty average to me with their most impressive win to me actually coming against the Flyers with a 4-3 shootout win. I think Philly’s the better team here and get a win to even the season series here with Vancouver and I’ll take them at +110 as a road dog tonight even on the second leg of their back to back with Martin Jones in goal. 

Ducks vs. Sabres (10:00)

The Sabres surprisingly have pretty good to open the season and they’re 4-1-1 through six games. The bigger surprise to me though as a Sabres fan that’s been miserable watching his hockey team for the past decade is that they’ve actually been fun to watch. They very well might still end up being a lottery team but in the meantime, I get to enjoy a little Buffalo hockey. The Ducks are another team that I think are likely to be a lottery team and started the season 2-4-1. I’d slightly lean my Sabres win this one but not enough for me to want to bet on it. With Stolarz and Anderson in goal, I’d lean the over but I’m not touching this game.

Kraken vs. Wild (10:00)

Minnesota is 5-1 to start the year with their only loss coming in a surprising game against Nashville that they lost 5-2. They’re averaging 3.33 goals per game and allowing an average of 3. They’re leading the NHL with 36.33 shots per game but haven’t converted on enough of those chances. Seattle hasn’t been great in their short existence, with a 2-4-1 record and averaging only 2.57 goals per game while allowing 3.43. Neither of these teams have played very good competition which actually almost makes them easier to compare. The Wild should get a win here on the road and at their pretty cheap price, I’ll take them for a unit.

Kings vs. Jets (10:30)

Both of these teams come in on opposite sides of streaks with the Jets winning their last three straight (3-2-1 on the season) and the Kings looking to avoid losing six straight games (1-4-1 on the season). Winnipeg has been scoring a good amount and playing good offense, averaging four goals per game. They haven’t been great offensively though, allowing 3.57. To make that worst tonight, instead of having Vezina level goaltending in Connor Hellebuyck, Eric Comrie in goal for the Jets, making his first start of the season. He’s not good, with only nine NHL starts over the last few years, none of which were good. The Kings haven’t been able to put the puck in the back of the net, averaging only 2.33 goals per game but generating a lot of chances with a very high average of 36.3 shots per game. With Comrie in goal, I like the Kings to be able to score tonight and probably win. I’ll take LA TT over 2.5 goals for a half unit and over 3 goals for another half unit. The 2.5 is a little too expensive for me to put a full unit on it so I’d rather split it this way to save some juice.

Sharks vs. Canadiens (10:30)

Montreal has one of the worst offenses in all of hockey, averaging only 1.57 goals per game and besides their 6-1 win against Detroit, they haven’t scored more than a goal in any of those games. Just terrible. They’re also allowing 3.57 goals per game. The Sharks have been pretty decent with a 4-2 record, averaging 3.33 goals per game and only allowing 2.33. I like the Sharks to win here at home and I’ll take them for a unit on the ML, half a unit on the puck line and half a unit on Montreal TT under 2.5 in regulation.

Game Bets

1u Tampa in regulation (-200)

1u Tampa TT over 3.5 (-136)

.5u Penguins ML (-110)

.5u Avalanche/Blues over 6 (-110)

.5u Flyers ML (+110)

1u Wild ML (-110)

.5u LA TT over 2.5 (-177)

.5u LA TT over 3 (-108)

1u Sharks ML (-130)

.5u Sharks -1.5 (+188)

.5u Montreal TT under 2.5 in regulation (-108)

Record (Regular Season): 38-34-1 (-2.76 units)

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