Lousy night of hockey for me yesterday, going 4-7, losing 2.5 units. Tonight there’s some great spots on the six game NHL slate to win that back! Let’s sweep this slate!!
Red Wings vs. Panthers (7:00)
The Florida Panthers have been the hottest team in hockey, with a fantastic 7-0 start but yesterday lost their head coach Joel Quenneville. Q’s an awesome hockey coach but because of his compliance with the horrible Kyle Beach situation when he was the head coach of the Blackhawks, he should rightfully no longer be a coach in the NHL. No surprise here after all the information on the case came out this past week. I think that’s a huge loss for the Panthers, which sucks for them since the incident happened prior to him coming to Florida, but it had to happen. Florida’s a great team on both ends of the ice, averaging 4.43 goals per game and allowing only 1.86. Detroit’s not very good despite their 4-2-1 record and are averaging 3.29 goals per game and goals allowed per game. Florida should win this game without much issue. How the team bounces back from their coaching situation here worries me a little bit but I’ll still take Florida here for half a unit.
Rangers vs. Blue Jackets (7:00)
Both of these teams have had pretty good starts to their seasons despite being in the middle of the pack statistically. The Rangers are 4-2-1 and the Jackets are 4-2. I’d lean the Rangers win this game at home, with a team that in my eyes has a better overall roster but there’s nothing statistically to really back this up. The Blue Jackets have been better offensively (3.17 goals per game vs. 2.14 per game) and both teams have been pretty much the same defensively (2.5 goals allowed for Columbus, 2.57 for NY). I’ll completely skip this game and likely won’t even watch a minute of it.
Capitals vs. Coyotes (7:00)
Arizona has a terrible defense and goaltending, allowing by far a league worst 4.86 goals per game. They’ve gotten crushed in every game they’ve played this year, with a pathetic 0-6-1 record. Betting against Arizona and betting the TT overs on whoever they’re playing has been a very profitable strategy so far this year. They’re also terrible on offense, with a league worst 1.71 goals per game average, averaging the lowest shots on goal per game in the NHL (26.43) and have the second worst power play percentage in the league, converting on only 10.5% of their chances). Last night, the Yotes got the shit kicked out of them in Tampa where they lost 5-1 (double winner there for me). The Caps have a great offense, averaging 4 goals scored per game lead by the greatest goal scorer in NHL history (Ovi). The Caps should have no problem beating the Coyotes at home tonight, especially coming off of a disappoint 3-2 overtime loss to the Detroit Red Wings on Wednesday night. The ML here is insane at -360, so I’ll take the Caps in regulation for a unit and a half (-210) and a unit on the Caps TT over 3.5.
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks (7:00)
The Hawks organization is such a huge wreck and the entire sexual assault situation that Kyle Beach had to endure gets worse and worse as more information comes out and the tone deaf comments from the current players on the team has made it worse if anything. That dark cloud over the organization I’m sure isn’t great for the team on the ice either, who still don’t have a win this season through seven games (0-5-2). They allowing an average of 4.29 goals per game (second worst in the NHL behind the Arizona Coyotes) while only scoring an average of 2. Most recently they’re coming into this game with a 3-2 loss to the Leafs on Wednesday night with the Leafs coming back from down 2-0 to win in overtime. This team’s awful. Carolina’s quite the opposite and haven’t lost yet this year. They’re a perfect 6-0, averaging 4.17 goals per game while only allowing an NHL leading 1.33 per game. Even with the Canes starting Antti Raanta in goal for the first time this season, I love Carolina in this matchup at home tonight. I don’t see much value in the ML here at -205 but since this should be a good win, I’ll take Carolina in regulation for a unit.
Golden Knights vs. Ducks (8:00)
Both of these teams are coming off of overtime games, with Vegas winning 3-2 on the road in Dallas on Wednesday night and the Ducks losing 4-3 to the Sabres last night at home, in a game that they came back from down 3-0 to force overtime, outshot Buffalo 37-29 and out hit them 23-13. Vegas has been pretty disappointing this season so far with all their injury issues leading them to a 3-4 record so far, with an average of 2.29 goals per game and allowing 3.14 goals per game. The Ducks were expected to be a lottery team this season and are pretty much fitting those expectation with a 2-4-2 record so far, averaging 2.88 goals per game and allowing 3.5 per game. Vegas, even with all their injury issues are the way better team in this game and should win this game in the fortress tonight against a Ducks team on the second leg of a back to back coming into this game with five straight losses. The issue I have with betting this game though is that I don’t see any value to the Knights ML at -225. The Ducks have kept their games close, with five of their six losses only coming by a goal, which scares me away from the Vegas puck line or regulation line. I’ll skip this game entirely.
Stars vs. Senators (8:30)
Betting unders on Dallas Stars games are the best bets in hockey over the last few years. Under 5.5 is 7-0 this season. Ottawa is also 5-1 on the under this season so I will absolutely be continuing to ride this trend tonight and the only game hitting the over was their most recent 7-5 loss to Washington on Monday night. Neither of these teams are good offensively with the Stars and Sens averaging 1.86 and 2.5 goals per game respectively. Both are okay defensively and I don’t really expect too many goals on either side of this game. I’m going to continue betting this unders trend for a unit. In the first game these teams played this year (10/17), Ottawa won 3-2. I’d slightly lean Dallas wins this one at home to even up the season series but not enough to bet it.
.5u Florida ML (-186)
1.5u Capitals in regulation (-210)
1u Capitals TT over 3.5 (-155)
1u Carolina in regulation (-134)
1u Dallas/Ottawa under 5.5 (-110)
Record (Regular Season): 42-41-1 (-5.06 units)
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