Yesterday I went 5-5, losing 0.74 units. Not the worst day. Tonight we have a decent Sunday hockey slate with seven NHL games.
Lightning vs. Wild (5:00)
Both of these pretty good teams are coming into this game off of losses yesterday. The 9-4-3 Tampa Bay Lightning lost 5-3 at home to New Jersey yesterday where they allowed four unanswered goals in the third period and outshot the Devils 34-27. Their offense is averaging 3.06 goals per game and they’re allowing 2.94 goals per game. Not bad. Minnesota lost 5-4 in Florida last night in a game they never really had a chance to win. They’re 11-6 and have the fifth best offense in hockey, averaging 3.47 goals per game. Their defense and goaltending sucks though, allowing the eighth most goals in the league, an average of 3.18 goals per game. I like Tampa to win this game at home but not enough to bet on it with both teams coming off losses yesterday and both backups in goal.
Rangers vs. Sabres (6:00)
The Sabres are 7-7-2 on the year but haven’t been playing good hockey lately. They’re averaging 2.75 goals per game and allowing 3.06 goals per game. The Rangers are a very good team and currently sit at 10-4-3. Their defense and great goaltending just drains out games and they control the pace of slow low scoring wins, allowing an average of 2.77 goals per game (eleventh fewest in the NHL). Their offense is pretty abysmal though, averaging just 2.65 goals per game. I like the Rangers to win this game at home, but the ML at -250 is too expensive to have any value to betting it. I’ll take the Rangers in regulation for half a unit.
Bruins vs. Flames (7:00)
Both of these pretty good teams won games yesterday. The Bruins beat the Flyers 5-2 on the road and the Flames beat the Isles opening their new arena 5-2. The B’s are on a three game win streak and at 9-5, they have the tenth best offense in hockey, averaging 3.21 goals per game and are allowing an average of 2.79 goals per game. Calgary is 10-3-5 with what’s tied for the best defense in hockey with Carolina, allowing only 2 goals per game on average. They’re also scoring the eighth most goals per game at an average rate of 3.28 per game. I’d slightly lean Calgary here and the over but not enough to bet either of them. I’ll skip this game.
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs (7:30)
Last night the Islanders opened their new arena with a 5-2 loss to Calgary. They have a ton of guys out on covid protocol. The Leafs lost yesterday as well, 2-0 to the Penguins, ending their long win streak of ten wins in their last eleven games before last night. Toronto hasn’t been able to score this season and despite their 12-6 record, they’ve scored the seventh fewest goals in the NHL, averaging just 2.53 goals with an abysmal 7.5% shooting percentage. Their defense and Jack Campbell is bailing them out of games and they’re allowing the fourth fewest goals per game at 2.37. Tonight they won’t have Jack Campbell in goal though, with Joseph Woll confirmed in net on the second leg of this back to back. The Islanders have been awful lately, coming into this game on five straight losses with a bunch of key players out. They’re allowing 3.07 goals per game and scoring the third fewest goals in the league at an average of just 2.21 goals per game. I would lean the Leafs win this game since their offense should be able to pick up the pace against a pretty decimated Isles team but with the goaltending, I’ll skip this game.
Canucks vs. Blackhawks (8:00)
Both of these teams blow. Last night the Oilers kicked the shit out of the Blackhawks 5-2 and hung four goals on them in the first period alone to end the Hawks four game winning streak. The Canucks did the opposite, ending their five game losing streak with a 3-2 win over Winnipeg on Friday night. Both of these teams have been in the basement of the league statistically. Defensively they’re both quite bad, with Vancouver allowing a seventh worst 3.33 goals per game and Chicago allowing a fifth worst 3.41 goals per game. Both offenses blow too, with the Canucks averaging a sixth worst 2.5 goals per game and Chicago’s scoring a fourth worst 2.24 per game. I’d lean the Canucks at home here and the over but not enough to bet either in this shitty game.
Kraken vs. Capitals (9:00)
Last night Ovi (29 points, 14 goals, 15 assists) extended his scoring streak and his 11-2-5 Capitals got a 4-0 win in SJ last night for their second straight shutout. The Caps have the sixth best offense in hockey averaging 3.44 goals per game and allowing a third fewest 2.17 goals per game. This team could win a Stanley Cup. The Kraken are having an awful start to their franchise, at 4-12-1 and allowing the most goals per game at an average of 3.88 per game. Their offense hasn’t done a whole lot either averaging 2.76 goals per game. Even with them coming off a win last night on the road, I love the Caps in this game. I’ll take them for a unit on the ML, half unit on the puck line and half unit on the Caps TT over 2.5. They’re just way too cheap to pass up in this matchup.
Kings vs. Coyotes (10:00)
The league worst 3-12-2 Arizona Coyotes pulled off their third win of the season last night at home in a 2-1 overtime win against the Detroit Red Wings. They forced OT with 7:29 left in the game and then won the game with Clayton Keller’s goal just 25 seconds into OT. They still significantly have the worst offense in hockey, averaging only 1.78 goals per game. They also have the second worst defense in the NHL, allowing 3.67 goals per game. LA is 8-7-2 and has an abysmal offense as well, scoring just 2.53 goals per game, the seventh fewest in hockey. They have a great defense and goaltending though, allowing a fifth fewest 2.41 goals per game. I can’t see Arizona winning two games in a row and like LA a lot here at home. The problem is the -235 price on the Kings. Instead I’ll scale back on it a little bit with LA in regulation for half a unit and the Yotes TT under 2 in regulation for a half unit as well. I don’t expect Arizona to be able to score.
.5u Rangers in regulation (-150)
1u Caps ML (-120)
.5u Caps -1.5 (+210)
.5u Caps TT over 2.5 (-175)
.5u LA in regulation (-148)
.5u Arizona TT under 2 in regulation (-117)
Record (Regular Season): 95-100-4 (-19.1 units)