Finally crushed a night on Wednesday’s huge NHL slate going 10-2 for +3.68 units. Let’s run it back on today’s huge 13 game slate after yesterday’s day off for Thanksgiving!
Bruins vs. Rangers (1:00)
These two teams have been playing great hockey this year and they’ve both won four of their last five. The 10-6 Bruins are averaging 3.13 goals per game and allowing a twelfth fewest 2.75 goals per game. The Rangers are slightly better defensively and have better goaltending in Shesterkin, allowing a tenth fewest 2.74 goals per game but are worse offensively, averaging 2.84 goals per game. I’d slightly lean the B’s at home in this game but not enough to bet it. I do like the under though as I expect this to be a slow defensive grind of a game and will take it for half a unit.
Flyers vs. Hurricanes (3:30)
The Flyers come into this game at home today on a four game losing skid, dropping to 8-6-4 on the season. Carolina’s been on a long five game road trip and also dropped their last two games with 2-1 losses to Seattle on Wednesday night and SJ on Monday night. They’re still a phenomenal 14-3-1 on the season. The Canes are tenth in scoring, averaging 3.22 goals per game and second in goals allowed and on Freddy Anderson’s great goaltending and their shut down defense they are allowing only 2 goals per game. Philly is also pretty good on the back end and Carter Hart’s having a great season. They’re ninth in goals allowed, allowing just 2.67 goals per game. Their offense has been missing though as they’re only scoring a seventh fewest 2.44 goals per game. When these two teams played on November 12th, Carolina outshot the Flyers 40-28 but lost 2-1 on two third period goals from the Flyers. I like the Canes to bounce back here and the under, so I will take them for a half unit each.
Blackhawks vs. Blues (3:30)
This is an interesting game to me. The Blues *should* be a bigger favorite here, but this game seems very trappy to me. St. Louis is 10-7-2, averaging an eighth best 3.26 goals per game and allowing a tenth fewest 2.74 goals per game. They haven’t been very good lately though and after their 5-0 start to the season, they’re 5-7-2 since then. Not great. The coaching change for the Blackhawks seems to have given them a pretty big jolt as they have won five of their last seven since then after their miserable 1-9-2 start to the year. Statistically they’re still shit though, averaging a third worst 2.16 goals per game and allowing a sixth most 3.32 goals per game. When these teams played October 30th, the Blues won 1-0. I’d lean the under here and the Blues should win, but I don’t have confidence in betting either side of this with how both of these teams have been playing recently.
Wild vs. Jets (3:30)
Both these teams have been having good seasons but haven’t been so good recently. Minnesota is 12-6-1 and come into this game with three losses in their last five games. Their offense has been fucking buzzing, averaging a fifth best in the NHL 3.42 goals per game but their defense and goaltending hasn’t been good, allowing an eleventh worst 3.16 goals per game. The Jets are 9-6-4 coming into this game on a four game losing streak. They’ve been good defensively and Connor Hellebuyck’s obviously great in goal as they’re allowing a sixth fewest 2.47 goals per game, but their offense hasn’t done a whole lot, scoring a ninth fewest 2.68 goals per game. I’d slightly lean the under but think the flow of this game will determine the winner. If it ends up being a defensive grind of a low scoring game, I’d lean the Jets. If its a higher scoring game, I’d lean the Wild. I’ll skip betting this game.
Ducks vs. Senators (4:00)
Going into this season, I thought both of these teams would possibly be lottery teams, especially the Ducks. I was obviously wrong on Anaheim though (at least this early in the season). They’re 10-7-3 and their offense, lead by Troy Terry’s 22 points and 12 goals, are averaging a ninth best 3.25 goals per game. Their defense and John Gibson’s goaltending has been good enough, allowing a twelfth fewest 2.75 goals per game. The Sens have been a wreck at 4-12-1, they’ve allowed a league worst 3.82 goals per game and they’ve scoring an eighth fewest 2.59 goals per game. I like the Ducks to win this game at home to end their three game losing streak and will take them for half a unit.
Capitals vs. Panthers (5:00)
Both of these teams have been great this year. Florida is 14-2-3, coming into this game on a four game win streak. They’ve scoring the second most goals in hockey (behind the Avs) averaging 3.84 goals per game and allowing a fifth fewest 2.42 goals per game. The Caps, who are without Nick Backstrom, Anthony Mantha, TJ Oshie, Lars Eller and Conor Sheary, all out with injuries have played great hockey as well. They’re 12-3-5, averaging a fourth best 3.5 goals per game and allowing a fourth fewest 2.35 goals per game. I could see this being a great playoff matchup this season. The first time these teams played, Florida won 5-4 in OT and I’d lean the Panthers win again but not enough to bet on it with this game in the nation’s capital. I’ll take the over for half a unit.
Predators vs. Devils (6:00)
These teams have been decent this season but no one’s picking either of them to win the Cup. I’d guess they both end the season around .500. Nashville comes into this game at 10-8-1, with three losses in their last four games. They’re scoring a ninth fewest 2.68 goals per game and allowing an average of 2.9 goals per game. The Devils are 8-5-4 and they’ve lost four of their last five. They’re averaging 2.88 goals per game and also allowing 2.88 goals per game. I’d slightly lean Smashville at home in this game but not enough to bet on them.
Sabres vs. Canadiens (7:00)
Both of these teams blow and they’ve both lost four of their last five. The Sabres are 7-10-2, with a slightly better offense, averaging 2.79 goals per game. The Habs are 5-14-2, averaging a fourth fewest in the NHL 2.24 goals per game. Both are at the bottom of the league in goals allowed with Buffalo allowing a fifth most 3.47 goals per game and Montreal giving up. a third most 3.62 per game. The first time these teams played early this season, the Sabres won 5-1 in the midst of their hot start to the season. I’d guess this game tonight ends up being a bit closer but I have no interest in betting any sides to it. I’d lean the Sabres win it.
Lightning vs. Kraken (7:00)
The Kraken has been such trash to start the year. They’re 6-12-1 and especially bad on the road with a 1-6-1 record away from Seattle but are surprisingly coming into this game off back to back wins against Carolina (2-1) and Washington (5-2). They’ve allowing a second most 3.63 goals per game and are averaging 2.84 goals per game. Tampa’s 11-4-3, coming into this game with five wins in their last six games. They’re averaging a decent 3.17 goals per game and allowing 2.83 goals per game. I like Tampa to win this one and will take them for a unit. Ten of Seattle’s 13 losses have come by more than a goal, so I’ll take the puck line for half a unit as well.
Blue Jackets vs. Canucks (7:00)
Vancouver has been atrocious on both ends of the ice this year. They’re 6-12-2 and come into this game with only one win in their last eight games. They’ve scored the fifth fewest goals in the NHL (2.3 goals per game) and allowing the eighth most goals per game, an average of 3.25. Thatcher Demko’s been good in goal but the defense has been non existent in front of him. Columbus has exceeded a lot of people’s expectations for them. They’re 11-6 and come into this game with four wins in their last five, averaging a sixth most 3.41 goals per game. And they’ve allowed 3 goals per game on average. I like the Jackets here and will take them for a unit.
Islanders vs. Penguins (7:30)
The 9-6-4 Penguins who are now pretty healthy seem to be figuring it out, as they’ve won their last four straight games with two shutouts in those four games. They’re averaging 3 goals per game and allowing 2.63 goals per game. Pretty decent on both of those sides. The Islanders have been the biggest disappointment of this NHL season and 5-9-2, with losses in their last seven straight games. Their lineup is decimated by COVID (even though they’re all vaccinated), their offense has only scoring a second worst in the NHL, 2 goals per game and they’ve allowed an average of 3.13 goals per game. I like the Pens here and will take them for a unit.
Stars vs. Avalanche (7:30)
These teams have been playing great hockey lately, especially the Colorado Avalanche who come into tonight’s game on a six game winning streak. Their offense is the biggest powerhouse in the league, even without Nate MacKinnon in the lineup and they’re averaging a league best 4.06 goals per game, even though they’re also allowing 3.19 goals. Dallas comes into this game 8-7-2 with four wins in their last five games. They are a bit better defensively, allowing 3 goals per game but their offense hasn’t done much, averaging 2.71 goals per game. I think the Avs keep the win streak going here in Dallas. I’ll take them for half a unit as well as the over for half a unit.
Sharks vs. Maple Leafs (10:30)
The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of the hottest teams in hockey with a 12-2 record in their last 14 games after their 2-4-1 start to the season. Even though they are only scoring an average of 2.71 goals per game, their back end makes up for it. A shocker when you look at the Leafs lineup. They’re allowing the third fewest goals in the NHL (2.24 per game) with fantastic goaltending from Jack Campbell. Joseph Woll is in goal for the Leafs tonight though, who hasn’t been bad in his two starts this season. Both wins with a 2.00 GAA and .915 save percentage. He’s not as good as Campbell though and a step back for them. The Sharks aren’t terrible at 10-8-1, averaging 2.74 goals per game and allowing 2.79 goals per game. I’d lean the Leafs here but not enough to bet on the road in SJ at the price of -150 with their backup goalie confirmed in net.
.5u Bruins/Rangers under 5.5 (-110)
.5u Carolina ML (-155)
.5u Carolina/Philly under 5.5 (-110)
.5u Ducks ML (-165)
.5u Panthers/Capitals over 6 (-110)
1u Lightning ML (-180)
.5u Lightning -1.5 (+130)
1u Blue Jackets ML (-140)
1u Penguins ML (-155)
.5u Avalanche ML (-130)
.5u Avalanche/Stars over 5.5 (-120)
Record (Regular Season): 112-110-4 (-16.72 units)
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