Last night I went 2-2, losing 1.36 units. I crushed the two earlier games and then was dead wrong on the later two. I fell right into the trap on a Toronto line that was too good to be true. ESPN was showing Woll out injured and I didn’t bother checking Left Wing Lock for the goalie confirmations (by far the best source to know who’s in goal every single night…a HUGE key part in betting hockey) on that game. Knowing he was starting I likely would’ve bet that game anyway but it would’ve likely just been for half a unit instead of the full unit lol bet assuming a Jack Campbell start. Then the Oilers decided to take the night off against LA. Oh well, not gonna fester on those games. Let’s bounce back on tonight’s six game NHL slate!
Flyers vs. Avalanche (7:00)
This morning the Flyers fired head coach Alain Vigneault after taking their eighth straight loss last night in a 7-1 blowout against Tampa Bay. At 8-10-4 this team sucks and their roster is good enough as we saw earlier in the season to be a good contender during the playoffs so to me, that all comes down to coaching. Philly’s been pretty pathetic on both ends of the ice, averaging a fifth fewest 2.32 goals per game and allowing a ninth most 3.18 goals per game. They’ve been bad so hopefully a coaching change fixes things with Mike Yeo taking over. Although his St. Louis Blues were in dead last in the NHL and after he got fired they went on to win the Stanley Cup that same season, so I don’t much out of that coaching hire (if it’s permanent), but who knows. The Avalanche are one of the top teams in the NHL with a 12-7-2 record, leading the NHL in goals per game, scoring an average of 4 goals per game. They’ve struggled in goal this season, allowing a sixth most 3.38 goals per game. With Darcy Kuemper out injured, they’ve struggled even more their last few games with Johansson starting in goal and they’ve lost three of their last four. Tonight they’re going with their third string goaltender Justun Annunen in goal. Also, the Flyers are starting Martin Jones. I’d slightly lean Colorado here but not enough to bet the Avs with the goaltending situation. I love the over 6 here though and will take it for a unit.
Capitals vs. Ducks (7:00)
The Capitals have been phenomenal this season and look in shape to be able to win the Cup with Ovi (39 points, 20 goals) showing no signs of slowing down. They’re 15-4-6 and have won four of their last six games. They’re averaging a fifth most 3.52 goals per game and allowing a fourth fewest average of 2.44 goals per game. The Ducks have been overachieving the expectations most people had for them this season at 13-8-4 with three wins in their last five games. They’re averaging a seventh most 3.32 goals per game and allowing 2.88 goals per game. The first time these teams played on 11/16, the Ducks won 3-2 in a shootout. The Caps are the better team here and I expect them to answer back with a win in what I expect to be a close game. I’ll surprisingly lay the heavy juice and take the Caps for half a unit since I think they win but this is a spot where I don’t want to limit myself to just 60 minutes. I’d lean the over but not enough to bet on it.
Devils vs. Senators (7:00)
Ottawa comes into this game as one of the worst teams in hockey at 6-15-1 but shockingly come in with back to back wins where they got lucky in one goal wins against backup goaltenders vs. Carolina and Colorado. Not thinking too far into that game cause this team still blows. They’re averaging a seventh fewest 2.59 goals per game and allowing the most goals in the NHL, an average of 3.91 goals per game. The Devils suck lately too. They’re 9-9-4 but they only have two wins in their last ten games. They’re averaging 2.91 goals per game and allowing a seventh most 3.32 goals per game. I’d slightly lean the Devils here but not enough to lay the -185 on this shitty team. I’ll take the alternate over 6 for half a unit.
Stars vs. Coyotes (8:30)
This is a hugely lopsided matchup. Dallas is playing awesome hockey lately and come into this game with a 12-7-2 record and have won their last six straight games and only have one loss in their last nine. They’re averaging 2.81 goals per game and allowing 2.71. Arizona’s still an atrocious hockey team, with a 5-17-2 record. They’re averaging the fewest goals in hockey, only 1.79 goals per game and allowing the third most goals in hockey, an average of 3.63 goals per game. When these teams played last week (11/27), the Stars won 3-2. I’d expect them to easily win again. The ML here is way too expensive at -345, but I’ll take Dallas in regulation for a unit.
Canucks vs. Kings (10:00)
After their brutal 8-15-2 start to this disappointing season for the Canucks, they fired their head coach Travis Green and hired Bruce Boudreau to replace him. I think that’s a great hire that should be able to help turn this struggling team around that has a lot of good young talent that clearly aren’t producing. Vancouver’s averaging a sixth fewest 2.36 goals per game and they’re allowing an eleventh most 3.16 goals per game. LA comes into this game at 10-9-4 off a huge 5-1 upset win in Edmonton last night. The Kings offense has struggled as well, averaging just a ninth fewest 2.65 goals per game but they have really good defense and goaltending working for them as they’re allowing a sixth fewest 2.57 goals per game. I’d slightly lean LA here and the under but with the coaching change for Vancouver and LA on the second half of a back to back after last night’s huge win, this feels like it could be a let down spot and I’ll just skip this game entirely.
Kraken vs. Penguins (10:00)
This is an interesting matchup to me. The Kraken haven’t had a great season at 9-13-2 but they’re playing good hockey as of late with five wins in their last seven games. They’re averaging a decent 3 goals per game but allowing the fifth most in the NHL, an average of 3.46 goals per game. The Penguins are 11-8-5 and come into this game with just one win in their last four but six wins in their last nine. They’re averaging 2.83 goals per game but have been very good defensively and Tristan Jarry’s playing great in goal as they’ve allowed a seventh fewest 2.63 goals per game. I’d lean the Penguins win this one but not enough to bet on them on the road in Seattle so I’ll just skip this game.
1u Avalanche/Flyers over 6 (-134)
.5u Capitals ML (-215)
.5u Devils/Senators over 6 (-130)
1u Dallas in regulation (-200)
Record (Regular Season): 156-136-7 (-12.66 units)
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