Went 2-2 last night on the small three game NHL slate, pretty much breaking even. Tonight we have a ten game slate (unless more games get cancelled).
Canadiens vs. Flyers (7:00)
The Habs are one of the worst teams in the NHL at 6-21-3 and they’re on a seven game losing streak. This team is brutal. They’re averaging a second fewest in the NHL, 2.13 goals per game and they’re allowing a third most 3.57 goals per game. The Habs are likely even worse tonight with Cayden Primeau confirmed in goal instead of Jake Allen. The Flyers are now on a three game win streak after their ten game losing streak to now go to move to 11-12-4 on the season. They’re only scoring an eighth fewest 2.63 goals per game and allowing a tenth most in the NHL 3.22 goals per game. I like the Flyers to win this one and I’ll take them for half a unit.
Lightning vs. Senators (7:00)
The Bolts have been great all season at 18-6-4 on the season, coming into this game with six wins in their last seven games. They’re averaging a tenth most 3.21 goals per game and allowing an average of 2.64 goals per game, tenth fewest in the NHL. Ottawa is 9-16-1 and SHOCKINGLY have won five of their last six games. And they’ve been against good teams, including Florida, Tampa, Colorado and Carolina. On the season, the Sens are averaging 2.85 goals per game and allowing the most goals in the NHL, an average of 3.65 goals per game. I like the Lightning to bounce back here at home, especially after losing to the Sens 4-0 five days ago. I’d expect this game to go closer to the first time they played on 11/6 where Tampa won 11/6. I’m not betting against the Sens at the ridiculous ML of -240 on the Lightning tonight, but I still think Tampa wins this one so I’ll take them for half a unit in regulation.
Panthers vs. Kings (7:00)
Florida is coming off a shocking 8-2 loss to Ottawa on Tuesday night for their third loss in their last four games. They’re now 18-6-4 and still one of the best teams in the NHL. The Panthers are averaging 3.64 goals per game, third best in the NHL and allowing an average of 2.89 goals per game. Tonight they have five guys out of the lineup on covid protocol. None of those players are key factors but its still a significant loss. The Kings are 12-10-5, winning three of their last five games. They’re only scoring a sixth fewest in the NHL 2.56 goals per game but they’ve been very good defensively, allowing a fourth fewest in the league 2.48 goals per game. I’ll take Florida for half a unit.
Devils vs. Golden Knights (7:00)
Now that Vegas is pretty much completely healthy, they’ve been cruising with fives wins in their last six games to improve to 17-11 on the season. They haven’t been great on the back end, allowing an average of 3.07 goals per game but they’ve been on fire offensively, averaging a fourth best in the NHL 3.5 goals per game. The Devils have fucking sucked this season. They’re 10-12-5 and only have one win in their last eight games. They’re missing several players tonight with injuries and on COVID protocol which makes them even worse, but on the season they’ve been pretty bad in general. They’re averaging just 2.72 goals per game and allowing 3.26 goals per game. I really like Vegas to get the job done on the road here tonight and I’ll take the Knights for two units.
Hurricanes vs. Red Wings (7:00)
Carolina’s another team with a bunch of covid problems, missing six guys from their lineup for it tonight. They’ve been one of the top teams in the NHL this season with a 19-7-1 record and four wins in their last five games. They’re averaging an eleventh most 3.15 goals per game while allowing the fewest goals in the league, an average of 2.15 goals per game. Detroit’s definitely better than they were last year at 14-12-3 but they’re nothing great. They’ve lost three of their last five games and are averaging 2.72 goals per game while allowing a sixth most 3.35 goals per game. Even with the covid problems, I’ll take the Canes here for half a unit.
Islanders vs. Bruins (7:30)
The Bruins have probably the most significant covid issues with Marchand and Bergeron both out of the lineup. We saw how much Marchand being out while he was suspended effected them since they don’t have depth so taking 2/3s of the Perfection Line out is going to be significant to a team that already struggles to score, averaging just 2.76 goals per game. The rumors out of Boston are that the B’s locker room is in disarray to a point that Bruce Cassidy might get fired soon after a confrontation with Patrice Bergeron this week. Boston hasn’t been spectacular as it is, with a 14-9-2 record and three losses in their last five games. Their bright spot has been defensively, as they’ve allowed an eighth fewest 2.6 goals per game. That takes a bit of a hit tonight too though with Linus Ullmark in goal since Swayman is another one on covid protocol. The Islanders have been the biggest disappointment of this NHL season at 7-12-5. They have two wins in their last four games and are mostly healthy besides their best player Matthew Barzal, out on covid protocol. They’re allowing 2.92 goals per game on average but only scoring 2.13 goals per game, second fewest in the NHL. I’ll take the Isles at home here for a half unit since without Marchand and Bergeron, I don’t see the Bruins scoring much tonight and I’ll take the under for a unit.
Wild vs. Sabres (8:00)
The Sabres are coming into tonight’s game off a surprising 4-2 win in Winnipeg on Tuesday night, which ended their seven game losing streak for just their second win in their last 14 games. This team blows at 9-15-4, averaging 2.71 goals per game and allowing a fifth most in the NHL average of 3.5 goals per game. The Wild, who have been one of the best teams in the NHL this season at 19-8-1 come into this game off of back to back losses to Vegas and LA after an eight game winning streak. They’re allowing an average of 2.89 goals per game, but their offense is electric, averaging 3.68 goals per game, second best in the NHL. They haven’t lost more than two games in a row since hiring Dean Evason and I definitely don’t expect that to happen tonight against the terrible Sabres. No chance I’m laying -335 on any team, but I’ll load up on Minnesota here for two units on the Wild in regulation.
Predators vs. Avalanche (8:00)
Both of these teams have been on fire lately, both on five game winning streaks coming into tonight’s game. Colorado’s 17-7-2 and have got the best offense in hockey by far, averaging 4.31 goals per game and far outscoring their defensive and goaltending issues, allowing a seventh most 3.31 goals per game. The Preds are 17-10-1 but tonight are without their entire coaching staff and missing several of their players, all out on covid protocol. Nashville’s averaging 2.86 goals per game but on Juuse Saro’s great play in goal, they’re allowing an eleventh fewest 2.68 goals per game. The first time these teams played this season, the Avs won 6-2 on 11/27 and I’d expect a similar result tonight. I don’t like betting overs against Saros but I’d lean that tonight and with all the covid problems that Nashville is having, I like Colorado to win this one. I’ll take the Avalanche ML for a unit.
Oilers vs. Blue Jackets (9:00)
McDavid, Draisaitl and the 16-11 Oilers have struggled as of late, losing their last six straight games and not scoring more than two goals (only 1 goals in four of those) in their last five games. Their offense has dropped off lately and they’re averaging a seventh most 3.3 goals per game, which clearly isn’t out scoring their back end problems as they’re allowing an eleventh most 3.15 goals per game. Along with their struggles recently, the Oilers are without head coach Dave Tippet, out on covid protocol. The Blue Jackets haven’t been much better, with a 14-12-1 record and two wins in their last five games (and last nine games for that matter). They’re terrible on the back end as well, allowing an eighth most 3.3 goals per game while averaging a ninth most 3.22 goals per game. I’d slightly lean the Oilers at home here to get things right but no shot I’m laying the -205 on them. I don’t particularly like the +165 on Columbus either. I’d lean the over here but since I’m not betting the 6.5, I’ll buy it down to 6 for half a unit.
Sharks vs. Canucks (10:30)
After Tuesday night’s 4-3 win over Columbus, the Canucks are now on a five game winning streak since hiring Bruce Boudreau as their head coach to improve to 13-15-2 with an impressive seven wins in their last eight games. They’re still not great statistically, averaging a fifth fewest 2.43 goals per game and allowing 2.9 goals per game. The Sharks are decent at 15-13-1, with two wins in their last five games. They’re averaging just a seventh fewest 2.62 goals per game and allowing 2.72 goals per game. I like the value on the Canucks here and will take them for half a unit along with the under for half a unit.
.5u Flyers ML (-175)
.5u Tampa in regulation (-152)
.5u Florida ML (-160)
2u Vegas ML (-175)
.5u Carolina ML (-180)
.5u Islanders ML (-135)
1u Islanders/Bruins under 5.5 (-110)
2u Wild in regulation (-190)
1u Avalanche ML (-190)
.5u Oilers/Blue Jackets over 6 (-143)
.5u Canucks ML (+100)
.5u Sharks/Canucks under 5.5 (-110)
Record (Regular Season): 192-162-9 (-17.44 units)