Yesterday, with a lot of action on the NHL, I went 8-8 to win 1.5 units. I’ll take it. Today we have a huge slate of eight games with one starting almost every hour.
Penguins vs. Hurricanes (1:00)
This should be a fun game to start off the day between the two teams tied for first in the Metro Division with 70 points, both having great seasons. The Penguins are coming off a pretty boring 4-1 loss in Toronto on Thursday night that ended their four game win streak. They’re 31-12-8 on the season and have been good on both ends of the ice. They are scoring an average of 3.29 goals per game, tenth most in the NHL and only allowing an average of 2.57 goals per game, fourth fewest in the NHL. Tristan Jarry’s been awesome in goal and was deservedly an All Star, with a 2.25 GAA and .923 save percentage. The Hurricanes are coming off a 5-3 win against Nashville on Friday night but they’ve only had two wins in their last six games. On the season, they’re very good at 33-11-4. The Canes are averaging a sixth most 3.48 goals per game while allowing the second fewest goals in hockey, an average of only 2.4 goals per game. Today they’re starting backup Anti Raanta in goal, who’s been good with a 2.39 GAA and a .909 save percentage but to me is a drop off from Freddy Andersen this year. I’d lean Pittsburgh wins this one at home today, especially with the goaltending matchup but not enough to bet on it. I’d also lean the under, but not enough to bet against these two very good offenses. I’ll just skip this game completely.
Islanders vs. Canadiens (2:00)
This is a pretty shitty matchup between two lousy teams both coming off wins on Thursday night. The Habs are the worst team in the NHL with a 9-33-7 record and on Thursday they screwed me big time with a 5.5 unit swing as they tied up their game against the Blues with less than ten seconds left in the game, before they went on to win 3-2 in overtime. That was just their first win in their last eleven games and just their second in their last 18. Montreal’s the worst team in the league on both ends of the ice, scoring an average of only 2.2 goals per game, the fewest in the NHL while allowing the most in the NHL, an average of 3.94 goals per game. They’re starting Andrew Hammond today in goal, who’s making his first start since the 2018 season. He’s had some decent games for Ottawa in 2014-2016 and has a career GAA of 2.31 with a .923 save percentage. So starting him today’s a bit of a question mark of what we’ll get out of him. I’m expecting not much though. The Isles haven’t been great at 18-20-6, but they’re significantly better than the Canadiens and coming off a 4-1 win against the Bruins Thursday. Their offense has sucked all season (but better than the Habs obviously), averaging only 2.45 goals per game, fourth fewest in the NHL but they’ve been really good defensively, allowing an average of just 2.73 goals per game, sixth fewest in the NHL. The first time these teams played this season in Montreal on November 4th, the Isles blew out the Habs 6-2. I think the Islanders win this one again pretty easy, as I don’t expect the Canadiens can win two straight, especially with how horrible their offense is against the great Isles defense. I’m not gonna lay the -300 on them, but I’ll take the Islanders in regulation for a unit along with a unit on a same game parlay of Montreal TT under 2.5 in regulation with the Isles in regulation for a cheaper -127 price.
Blackhawks vs. Panthers (3:00)
This is probably my favorite game on the slate from a betting perspective. Florida’s incredible this year and after their 6-2 win in Minnesota on Friday night (double winner), they’re 34-10-5 on the season with only one loss in their last seven games. They have the top scoring offense in the NHL, averaging 4.1 goals per game and they’re allowing an average of 2.86 per game. The Blackhawks are coming off a 1-0 double shutout loss in a shootout to Dallas on Friday night that took six rounds to determine a winner. They’ve sucked this season at 18-25-8 and have just three wins in their last 13 games. Chicago’s struggled greatly on both ends of the ice this season, scoring an average of only 2.37 goals per game, third fewest in the NHL while allowing an average of 3.31 per game, ninth most in the league. I like the Panthers to continue to win without much effort today. I’m not laying the -250 on the ML but I’ll take Florida in regulation for 2 units along with 1.5 units on the Florida TT over 3.5. I’d lean the over here, but not enough to bet on the 6.5 that’s already juiced to -120 and don’t think its worth buying down to 6 at -165.
Senators vs. Rangers (5:00)
This one’s another bit of a lopsided matchup between the very solid 31-13-5 Rangers and the lousy 18-25-5 Senators. The Rangers are coming off a 3-2 shootout loss at home to the Red Wings on Thursday night, which was their second straight shootout after beating the Bruins 2-1 on Tuesday and ended their three game winning streak. On the season, they’re scoring an average of 2.96 goals per game and winning games on their defense and Igor Shesterkin’s Vezina level goaltending (2.05 GAA, .938 save percentage) as they’re allowing a third fewest in the NHL average of 2.53 goals per game. The Sens are on the second half of a back to back after losing 3-2 in overtime to the Bruins (double winner on the B’s and the under) and come into today’s game with just two wins in their last six games. They’re scoring an average of only 2.82 goals per game, ninth fewest in the league and have been just as bad defensively, allowing an average of 3.19 goals per game. The first time these teams played this season on October 23rd in Ottawa, the Rangers won 3-2 in a game that they scored three goals in the final six minutes of the game. With Shesterkin confirmed in goal, I’ll go with a unit each on the Rangers in regulation, under 6 in regulation and the Senators TT under 2.5 in regulation.
Blue Jackets vs. Sabres (6:00)
Columbus after a stretch of pretty bad hockey are playing pretty good recently, winning six of their last eight games. They’re now 24-23-1 on the season, coming off a 7-4 win in Chicago on Thursday (crushed the over on that game for a 3 unit win). They’ve been good offensively this season, averaging 3.19 goals per game, 13th most in the NHL but they’ve been awful defensively and have bad goaltending, as they’re allowing an average of 3.67 goals per game, third most in the NHL. To make their goaltending situation even worse, the Blue Jackets are starting yet another new goaltender today, Jean-François Bérubé, who hasn’t started an NHL game since 2018 and sucked when he did. The Sabres are coming off a 5-3 loss to Colorado at home yesterday, a game that they actually played decent in for two periods. They’re 16-26-8 and have only two wins (against the Islanders and Montreal) in their last seven games. The Sabres have struggled on both ends of the ice, averaging just 2.66 goals per game, eighth fewest in the NHL and allowed a sixth most average of 3.48 goals per game. Columbus won both of the previous two games these teams played in Buffalo this season with a 7-4 win on November 22nd and a 4-3 overtime win on February 10th. I’d slightly lean Buffalo could pull off the slight upset here with goaltending situation for the Jackets, but not enough to bet on it since the Blue Jackets are the generally better team. I do really like the over here though and I’ll pay up to the alternate over 6 for a unit along with the 6.5 for half a unit.
Coyotes vs. Stars (7:00)
This is another pretty lopsided game on today’s slate. The Stars have been very good as of late, with four wins in their last five games, coming off a 1-0 double shutout win in a shootout against the Blackhawks on Friday night. They’re 27-19-2 on the season, scoring an average of 2.9 goals per game while allowing an average of 2.94 goals per game. Nothing spectacular but they’re winning games and they’re significantly better than the 12-33-4 Arizona Coyotes that they’re playing tonight. The Yotes have just two wins in their last eleven games and are on the second half of a back to back after blowing a 3-1 lead and losing 5-3 at home to the Kings yesterday (split that game, won on the Kings, lost on the under). They’re the second worst team in hockey on both ends of the ice, only better than Montreal in each category, averaging just 2.24 goals per game while allowing an average of 3.69 per game. In both of their previous matchups this season the Stars won with a 3-2 win in Arizona on November 27th and a 4-1 win at home on December 6th. I think the Stars get a win here without much issue, especially on good rest and with the Yotes on the second half of a back to back. I’ll take the Stars in regulation for 2 units and the Yotes TT under 2.5 for a unit.
Oilers vs. Wild (8:00)
Yesterday the Oilers almost blew a 3-0 lead going into the third period to the Winnipeg Jets but ended up going on to win 4-2 for their fifth straight win and they’ve been good lately, with a 10-2-1 record in their last 13 games. McDavid (71 points, 45 assists) and Leon Draisaitl (69 points, 35 goals) lead the league in those categories and as a whole the Oilers offense is scoring an average of 3.31 goals per game, ninth most in the NHL. They’ve been bad defensively though, allowing an average of 3.14 goals per game, eleventh most in the NHL. The Wild are having a great season at 30-13-3, but coming into tonight off back to back losses to Florida (6-2) and Winnipeg (6-3). Prior to those two games they had an 11-1-1 record in their previous 13 games. Minnesota has the third highest scoring offense in the NHL, averaging 3.74 goals per game but they’ve struggled a bit on the back end, allowing an average of 2.98 goals per game. I’ll take the over for a unit here and the Wild ML for half a unit.
Sharks vs. Golden Knights (8:00)
The Golden Knights are coming off a 4-3 overtime loss at home in a great game against the Kings on Friday night that I’m glad I skipped betting on. The Knights are on a three game losing streak but are a decent 28-18-4 on the season, especially considering all of their injuries. They have the twelfth highest scoring offense in the NHL, averaging 3.22 goals per game while allowing an average of 2.96 goals per game. The Sharks are 22-21-5 on the season but they’ve been terrible lately, coming into tonight’s game on a five game losing streak with just two wins in their last eleven games. In that span, four of those losses came in overtime, so they’re keeping it close but just not getting it done. They’re struggling to score, averaging only 2.69 goals per game, tenth fewest in the NHL while still allowing a twelfth most 3.1 goals per game on average. I like Vegas to end their losing streak and the Sharks to continue to lose, especially with how much of a rivalry has become of these two teams. I’ll take the Golden Knights for a unit.
1u Isles in regulation (-175)
1u SGP: Isles in regulation/Montreal TT under 2.5 in regulation (-127)
2u Florida in regulation (-155)
1.5u Florida TT over 3.5 (-145)
1u Rangers in regulation (-139)
1u Rangers/Senators under 6 in regulation (-148)
1u Senators TT under 2.5 in regulation (-162)
1u Sabres/Blue Jackets over 6 (-148)
.5u Sabres/Blue Jackets over 6.5 (-114)
2u Stars in regulation (-162)
1u Coyotes TT under 2.5 in regulation (-195)
1u Wild/Oilers over 6.5 (-118)
.5u Wild ML (-104)
1u Vegas ML (-165)
Record: 461-316-16 (+39.15 units)
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