I got killed last night on the NHL going 5-6 and losing 8.28 units, all thanks to the fucking Leafs. I’ve officially retired from betting on the Toronto Maple Leafs. Blow Leafs Blow. Today we have a five game slate with some pretty shitty matchups. Let’s bounce back.
Canadiens vs. Sabres (7:30)
The Habs come into this game on their first three game win streak of the season, which is actually the first time they’ve even won consecutive games in their lousy 11-33-7 season, with wins against Toronto (5-2), the Isles (3-2 in a shootout) and Blues (3-2 in overtime). They’re the worst team in the NHL on both ends of the ice, allowing an average of 3.86 goals per game and scoring an average of only 2.25 goals per game. The Sabres aren’t much better with a 16-27-8 record and coming into this game with three straight losses. They’re scoring the tenth fewest goals in hockey, an average of only 2.67 goals per game and they’re allowing the sixth most goals in hockey, an average of 3.55 goals per game. The Canadiens are probably the only team in the NHL that the Sabres have the chance to sweep all season, with three wins against them already this year, a 5-1 win on October 14th at home, a 4-1 win on November 26th at home and a 5-3 win on February 13th on the road. I’d lean the Sabres win this one but not enough to bet on this game. I’d also lean the over.
Red Wings vs. Avalanche (7:30)
The Avs didn’t bother showing up to Boston on Monday afternoon as they got blown out 5-1 by the Bruins for their second win in their last four games. Colorado’s still one of the best teams in the NHL this season at 36-10-4. They have the second highest scoring offense in the league, averaging 3.92 goals per game and they’re allowing an average of 2.84 goals per game, 13th fewest in the NHL. The Red Wings are 23-22-6 on the season with a 15-9-3 record at home and come into today’s game with five wins in their last eight games. Detroit’s averaging 2.82 goals per game and they’re allowing an average of 3.43 goals per game, eighth most in the NHL. The Avs crushed Detroit pretty easily the first time they played with a 7-3 win on December 10ths. I think they should get another win here and I’ll go with a unit each on the Avs in regulation and the Avs TT over 3.5.
Lightning vs. Oilers (7:30)
This should be a fun game to watch. The Oilers are 28-19-3 and coming off a 7-3 loss at home to Minnesota on Sunday night, ending the five game win streak they had been on since firing Dave Tippett. McDavid (71 points, 45 assists), Draisaitl (70 points, 35 goals) and the Oilers are averaging 3.3 goals per game, ninth most in the NHL with most of that offense production coming from those two guys. They’ve sucked defensively and in goal, allowing an average of 3.22 goals per game, tenth most in the NHL. The Lightning have been great this season, with a 32-11-6 record, a 16-4-4 record at home and a 9-2-1 record in their last twelve games. The Bolts are scoring an average of 3.41 goals per game, seventh most in the NHL and they’re allowing only 2.76 goals per game on average, tenth fewest in the NHL. I like Tampa to win this one at home here and will take them for a unit in regulation. I’d slightly lean the over but not enough to bet on it with Vasilevskiy likely in goal for the Bolts.
Stars vs. Jets (7:30)
This is an interesting matchup between two teams in the Central Division that have matched up very closely with both games they’ve played this season needing more than 60 minutes with the home team winning 4-3 with a Jets shootout win on November 2nd and a 4-3 overtime win for the Stars on February 11th. Dallas is having a decent season at 27-20-2 and have a great home record where they are 17-7-1. The Stars are coming off a 3-1 loss in Arizona on Sunday and have four wins in their last six games. They’re averaging 2.86 goals per game and allowing an average of 2.94 goals per game. Winnipeg’s 22-20-8, coming off a 3-1 loss to Calgary on Monday where they gave up the game winning goal with 47 seconds left in the game for their second straight loss. They just have five wins in their last 16 games. Not great. They’re scoring an average of only 2.82 goals per game and they’re allowing an average of 2.88 goals per game. I like the Stars to win this one at home and I’ll take them for half a unit.
Coyotes vs. Kings (10:00)
LA’s playing pretty good hockey lately with the 26-17-7 Kings coming into tonight’s game with a 6-1-2 record in their last nine games. On the season, they’re scoring an average of 2.86 goals per game but they’ve been very good defensively, allowing an average of just 2.72 goals per game, sixth fewest in the NHL. The Coyotes are one of the worst teams in the NHL at 13-33-4, but are coming off a 3-1 win against Dallas on Sunday and have two wins in their last four games. They’re terrible on both ends of the ice, scoring the second fewest goals in the NHL, an average of 2.26 goals per game and allowing the second most, an average of 3.64 goals per game. These teams just played each other on Saturday in Arizona in what was actually a great game, where the Yotes blew a 3-1 lead before the Kings came back to win 5-3 with three goals in the third period. Prior to that, the Coyotes won the first matchup between these teams 2-1 in overtime on November 21st. I like the Kings to win tonight and I’ll lay the juice on the ML for a unit along with half a unit on the Yotes TT under 2.5 in regulation.
1u Avalanche in regulation (-150)
1u Avalanche TT over 3.5 (-137)
1u Tampa in regulation (-125)
.5u Stars ML (-148)
1u Kings ML (-205)
.5u Coyotes TT under 2.5 in regulation (-146)
Record: 482-332-16 (+30.29 units)
Please follow me:
If you like the site and my work, share it with your friends!