NHL Daily Gambling Preview – 4/3/22

Crushed yesterday’s NHL going 13-2, winning 7.09 units for my third huge winning day in a row! Today we have another huge nine game slate. Let’s run it back with more wins!!

Sabres vs. Panthers (1:00)

On Friday night in front of a sold out crowd in Buffalo for an emotional RJ night, the Sabres fed off the energy in that building for a 4-3 win against the Predators. The Sabres are playing well lately and have a 7-1-3 record in their last eleven games to improve to 25-33-11, showing good signs for the future of the organization. On the season they haven’t been good statistically on either end of the ice. They’ve scored an average of just 2.71 goals per game, eighth fewest in the NHL. Lately they’ve scored though, averaging 3.71 goals per game in their last seven. On the season, they’ve allowed an average of 3.48 goals per game, ninth most in the NHL. The Panthers had an insane game of their own yesterday afternoon in NJ with a crazy comeback. After being down 6-2 going into the third period, they outshot the Devils 23-5 in the third to come back and tie the game up on an Aleksander Barkov goal with 1:24 remaining before Gustav Forsling ended the game 1:45 into overtime to complete the comeback in a 6-5 Florida win. The Panthers are one of the best teams in the NHL this season with a 47-15-6 record and they have an 11-2-1 record in their last 14 games. Florida has the best offense in hockey, averaging an insanely high 4.1 goals per game and they’ve allowed an average of 2.9 goals per game, twelfth fewest in the NHL. Spencer Knight will get the start today in goal for Florida after he came into the third period of yesterday’s game with Bobrovsky getting pulled after allowing six goals. Florida won both previous matchups they played against the Sabres this season, winning 7-4 at home on December 2nd and then in a 6-1 blowout in Buffalo on March 7th. After that hard fought game on the road for Florida yesterday, I think the Sabres pull off the upset for another win at home today as big home dogs. I’ll go with a unit on the Sabres puck line and half a unit on the ML. Along with that, I like the over, expecting both teams to be able to score and I’ll take the 6.5 for a unit. I’ll also take a shot on a small .2u SGP of Sabres ML, Florida TT over 3.5, Barkov and Thompson to each score.

Senators vs. Red Wings (1:00)

Both of these teams blow and they just played each other in the first half of this home and home in Detroit on Friday where the Sens won 5-2 in their rookie goaltender Mads Sogaard’s NHL debut with Mathieu Joseph scoring his first career hat trick in the third period. Ottawa is 24-37-6 on the season, playing pretty bad hockey lately with just three wins in their last ten games. On the season, they’ve averaged just 2.61 goals per game, fifth fewest in the NHL and they have allowed an average of 3.24 goals per game, eleventh most in the NHL. The Red Wings have a better record at 26-33-9 but they’ve played horribly as of late, coming into today’s game on a five game losing streak with just two wins in their last 14 games. They’ve allowed the most goals in hockey, an average of 3.84 goals per game and have only scored an average of 2.82 goals per game. I’d lean the Senators get another win here at home today and would slightly lean the over as well, but neither enough to bet on, so I’ll just skip this game.

Devils vs. Islanders (4:00)

Yesterday the Devils looked great through two periods against Florida, capitalizing on the Panthers sloppy play to go up 6-2 going into the third period…but then they completely collapsed, allowing four third period goals to eventually losing 7-6 in overtime. The Devils have sucked lately with only one win in their last five games and a 24-38-6 record. Offensively they haven’t been horrible, averaging 3.04 goals per game and as we saw yesterday, they’re able to score in bunches. They’ve been horrible defensively, allowing an average of 3.68 goals per game, fourth most in the NHL. The Isles have played well lately, coming into tonight’s game on a three game win streak after beating the Rangers 3-0 in MSG on Friday night. They have a 10-3-1 record in their last 14 games but the success is coming too little, too late for them as they’re only 31-27-9 on the season. The Islanders have been great defensively all season, allowing a fifth fewest in the NHL average of 2.64 goals per game. Their issue has been scoring, as they’ve only averaged 2.76 goals per game, ninth fewest in the NHL. Getting goals hasn’t been a huge issue for them lately though as they’ve averaged 3.33 goals per game in their last six. This will be the fourth and final meeting of the season between these teams and the Isles are 2-1 in those matchups. They lost 4-0 in NJ on November 11th, then won 4-2 at home on December 11th and again at home 3-2 on January 13th. Especially with the Devis on the second half of a back to back after yesterday’s giant collapse, I’d expect the Isles to keep their win streak going today. I’ll go with 1.5 units on the Islanders. I’d slightly lean the over as well but not enough to bet on it.

Rangers vs. Flyers (7:00)

The Flyers lost again yesterday for their fourth straight loss, losing 6-3 at home to the Leafs. Ending Keith Yandle’s ironman streak while they’re mathematically eliminated from the playoffs worked out well…scumbags. The Flyers have sucked this season at 21-36-1 with just one win in their last six games and just six in their last 23 games. They’ve been bad on both ends of the ice, averaging just 2.57 goals per game, third fewest in the NHL and allowing an average of 3.52 goals per game, seventh most in the NHL. The Rangers are coming off a loss as well, losing 3-0 at home to their rival Islanders on Friday, but the story to their season is much different than Philly’s. The Rags are 44-20-5 on the year with a 22-7-3 record at home and prior to their loss on Friday, they were on a four game win streak with an 8-3 record in their last eleven games. On Igor Shesterkin’s Vezina play in goal this season (2.13 GAA, .934 save percentage) the Rangers have allowed the third fewest goals in the NHL, an average of 2.59 goals per game. They’ve scored an average of 3 goals per game on the season but have scored five goals in two of their last four games. The Rangers have won both previous games this season in this turnpike rivalry with a 4-1 win at home on December 1st and a 3-2 win in Philly on January 15th. I like the Rangers to win again here coming off their loss to the Isles and with the Flyers on the second half of a back to back. The price on the ML at -315 is too expensive for me to bet on but I will take the Rangers in regulation for a unit.

Capitals vs. Wild (7:00)

The Wild are playing great hockey lately, coming off a 3-1 win in Carolina last night (double winner for me on the Wild +1.5 and the under). They have an 8-0-1 record in their last nine games to improve to 42-20-5 on the year. Sitting comfortably in second place in the Central, this team has a chance to win a Stanley Cup. They have the fourth highest scoring offense in hockey, averaging 3.61 goals per game. At points this season they’ve had defensive and goaltending issues as they’ve allowed an average of 3.05 goals per game. In their last nine games, they’ve allowed only an average of 1.67 goals per game. The Caps have been pretty inconsistent this year and they’re 37-21-10. They’ve been off since Monday when they lost 6-1 at home to Carolina. They  have two wins in their last five games but prior to those five games, they were on a stretch of going 7-0-1. Washington’s been good on both ends of the ice this season. They’ve scored a twelfth most in the NHL average of 3.24 goals per game and have allowed just an eleventh fewest in the NHL average of 2.87 goals per game. The first time these teams played this season went to a shootout for the Wild to win 3-2 at home on January 8th. I’d lean the Wild win this game but with them on the second half of a back to back on the road against a well rested Caps team, I don’t see any value in betting on this game. I’d slightly lean the under as well but not enough to bet it so I’ll just completely skip this game. 

Blackhawks vs. Coyotes (7:00)

The Yotes have had a terrible season at 21-42-5 and they’re coming off a 5-0 blowout loss to the Ducks on Friday for their seventh loss in their last eight games. Not only are they a bad team in general but pretty much all of their highest skilled players are out with injury. Arizona has been one of the worst teams in the NHL on both ends of the ice, scoring a league fewest average of only 2.53 goals per game and allowing an average of 3.57 goals per game, fifth most in the NHL. The Blackhawks aren’t a whole lot better. They’re 24-35-10 and on a four game losing streak, coming off a 5-2 loss in Tampa on Friday night (triple winner for me) with only two wins in their last nine games. These two lousy teams at the bottom of the Central Division standings split their two previous games this season with the home teams winning each game, a 2-1 Blackhawks win on November 12th and a 6-4 Coyotes win on January 6th. I’d lean Chicago wins this game, but don’t think this shitty of a team is worth betting on at -210, so I’ll just skip this game completely. I’d also slightly lean the under but not enough to bet on it.

Canucks vs. Golden Knights (7:00)

Vegas is right in the thick of the Western Conference playoff race, currently a point behind Dallas for the final Wild Card spot in the West (and two points behind Nashville for the first). Every point matters for this team and they’ve capitalized lately with four straight wins in their last four games and six wins in their last eight games to improve to 38-28-4. Somehow they were able to activate veteran two time Stanley Cup champion defenseman Alec Martinez on Friday in Seattle and he contributed with an assist on Jack Eichel’s first goal of the games. The Knights have averaged 3.14 goals per game on the season and although they’ve definitely struggled offensively without Mark Stone in the lineup (who due to cap issues, they won’t be able to activate until the playoffs IF they get in). They’ve been able to score lately, averaging 4.75 goals per game in their last four games and 3.63 in their last eight games. Defensively, they’ve allowed an average of 2.96 goals per game on the season. The Canucks are coming into today’s game off back to back losses in their home and home with the Blues last week on Monday and Wednesday last week. They’re 32-28-9 on the season and have struggled lately with just three wins in their last eleven games. They have been good defensively this season, allowing an average of 2.84 goals per game, tenth fewest in the NHL. Their struggles have been much more on offense though, as on the season they have scored just 2.8 goals per game on average, eleventh fewest in the NHL. The first game these teams played this season in Vegas on November 13th, the Golden Knights won 7-4. Both teams were playing much different hockey at that point in the season though. Tonight I think Vegas continues their playoff push with a win on the road and I’ll take them for half a unit.

Ducks vs. Oilers (8:00)

The Ducks ended their eleven game losing streak with a 5-0 win on the road in Arizona on Friday night where Trevor Zegras scored the Michigan lacrosse style goal for the second time this season. Electric. They’re 28-30-12, a big drop off from their hot start to the season with just five wins in their last 23 games. Anaheim has scored just an average of 2.77 goals per game, tenth fewest in the NHL and they’ve allowed an average of 3.13 goals per game. The Oilers are playing well lately, coming into tonight’s game on a three game win streak. On Friday night, they got out to a 4-1 lead in the first period at home against the Blues where they blew that lead and needed a Connor McDavid goal to win it 6-5 in overtime, their second game in a row that needed extra time after they beat the Kings 4-3 in a shootout on Wednesday. They’re in third place in the weak Pacific Division with a 39-25-5 record and have 9-2-1 record in their last twelve games. Connor McDavid (102 points, 63 assists) and Leon Draisaitl (99 points, 49 goals) are incredible and although they don’t have much offensive depth behind them, these two guys are so good that Edmonton is averaging 3.46 goals per game, seventh most in the NHL. The Oilers haven’t been great defensively and their goaltending has lacked for them, as they’ve allowed an average of 3.25 goals per game, tenth most in the NHL. The Oilers won both games these teams have played so far this season with a 6-5 win on October 19th and a 7-3 win on February 17th, both at home. I’d expect them to win this one again on the road today. I don’t think the Oilers are ever worth over -200, so I’ll take them to win in regulation for a unit. This game should be an easy win for them anyway. I’ll also take the over for a unit.

Kraken vs. Stars (9:00)

The Dallas Stars come into tonight’s game on the road on a three game win streak with six wins in their last seven games to improve to 39-25-3 on the season, on the second half of a back to back after beating the Sharks 5-4 on the road in SJ last night. They sit in the second wild card spot in the tight Western Conference, just a point back from Nashville and a point ahead of Vegas. On the season, the Stars have averaged 2.93 goals per game and have allowed an average of 2.96 goals per game, pretty close to NHL league average for both of those categories. The Kraken haven’t gotten even close to the inaugural season they had hoped with a 21-41-6 record, coming off back to back losses at home to the Golden Knights with just one win in their last four games. They have four wins in their last eight games but just five wins in their last 20 games. They’ve been atrocious on both ends of the ice, scoring an average of only 2.59 goals per game, fourth fewest in the NHL and allowing an average of 3.53 goals per game, sixth most in the NHL. The first time these teams played, the Stars won 5-2 at home on January 12th. I’ll take the Stars to keep the win streak going on the road tonight and keep their playoff push alive. I’ll take them for a unit to close out my night.

Game Bets

1u Sabres +1.5 (-125)

.5u Sabres ML (+190)

1u Sabres/Panthers over 6.5 (-143)

.2u SGP: Sabres ML & Florida TT over 3.5 & Barkov over .5 goals & Thompson over .5 goals (+3000)

1.5u Islanders ML (-150)

1u Rangers in regulation (-190)

.5u Golden Knights ML (-104)

1u Oilers in regulation (-130)

1u Oilers/Ducks over 6.5 (-104)

1u Stars ML (-152)

Record: 656-476-26 (+11.98 units)


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