Capped off my incredible weekend on the NHL yesterday going 8-1 to win 7.8 units. Would’ve swept the board but the Wild needed overtime to beat the Sharks instead of ending it in regulation. Amazing weekend, going an insane 27-3 and winning over 22 units! Tonight we have a six game slate, let’s keep rolling!!
Blackhawks vs. Flames (8:00)
After allowing the first goal of the game just thirty seconds in, the Flames put up nine unanswered goals to obliterate the Coyotes 9-1 on Saturday (triple winner for me to win over 4 units). Calgary’s been fantastic this season. They lead the Pacific Division with a 46-20-9 record and have six wins in their last seven games. The Flames have allowed the third fewest goals in the NHL, an average of only 2.49 goals per game. They’ll likely be going with Jacob Markstrom in goal again tonight who has been fantastic with a 2.22 GAA, .923 save percentage and 9 shutouts this year. They’ll have a pretty easy matchup today as they head to Chicago to face off against the Blackhawks. Chicago’s horrible with a 25-39-11 record and have just one win in their last ten games. This team is pretty brutal on both ends of the ice. Their defense has been horrible and they’ve tanked even more since trading Fleury at the trade deadline, now allowing an average of 3.55 goals per game, seventh most in the NHL. Kevin Lankinen is one of the worst goalies in the league this season with a 3.68 GAA and .887 save percentage. The Blackhawks offense has been abysmal as well, averaging just 2.63 goals per game, sixth fewest in the NHL. The Flames won both games these teams played earlier this season with ease, winning 5-2 at home on November 23rd and then 5-1 on the road on January 2nd. I’d expect the same result. I’ll go with the Flames in regulation, Flames TT over 3.5 for a unit each along with half a unit on the Blackhawks TT under 2.5 in regulation. In addition, I’ll put in a SGP parlay for a unit on the Flames -2.5 with the Flames TT over 3.5 and Blackhawks TT under 2.5.
Avalanche vs. Capitals (9:00)
This game has the potential to be a lot of fun with the way these two teams are playing right now. The Avalanche have the top seed in the Western Conference all locked up officially and they have a two point lead over the Florida Panthers in their President’s Trophy race. They’re 55-14-6 with an even more impressive 31-4-3 record at home this season and are coming into tonight’s game on a nine game win streak with a 14-1-1 record in their last 16 games. They are coming off a big 7-4 win over the Hurricanes on Saturday. Colorado has the second highest scoring offense in the NHL, averaging 3.87 goals per game and they’ve been pretty good defensively as well, allowing a seventh fewest in the NHL average of 2.73 goals per game. Darcy Kuemper’s been great for them this season with a 2.41 GAA, .925 save percentage and five shutouts.
The Capitals officially clinched their spot in the playoffs yesterday with the Islanders loss in Toronto last night so the entire Eastern Conference is now set. Washington’s played great lately and coming off an 8-4 blowout win in Montreal on Saturday night, they’ve gone 14-5-1 in their last 20 games to improve to 42-23-10 on the season. They are averaging 3.4 goals per game, eighth most in the NHL and have allowed an average of 2.95 goals per game. When these teams played in DC back on October 19th, the Caps won 6-3. I think the Avs are the better team though and get a win here tonight at home. That being said, the ML I don’t think has any value in this matchup at -200 but I do like the Avalanche to end it within regulation time which I’ll take for a unit. I like the over even better, expecting both teams to be able to score with how potent both offenses have been. I’ll take the over 6.5 for 1.5 units.
Coyotes vs. Hurricanes (10:00)
In a night that has three games priced over -300, this is the biggest mismatch on this slate. The Hurricanes haven’t played great lately. They’re coming off back to back three goal losses in Colorado on Saturday (7-4) and to the Red Wings at home on Thursday (3-0) and they only have seven wins in their last 18 games. Not great to limp into the playoffs. Carolina has had a good season though with a 48-20-8 record sitting tied with the Rangers at the top of the Metropolitan Division. They’ve allowed the fewest goals in the NHL, an average of just 2.43 goals per game and they’ve scored an average of 3.29 goals per game, tenth most in the NHL. The Coyotes are the worst team in the NHL with a 22-48-5 record and coming off a 9-1 blowout loss in Calgary on Saturday, they’re on a six game losing streak with only two wins in their last 15 games. The Yotes have the lowest scoring offense in the NHL, averaging just 2.43 goals per game and they’re not much better defensively, allowing an average of 3.77 goals per game, third most in the NHL. Karel Vejmelka’s been bad this season with no defense in front of him and has a 3.64 GAA and .898 save percentage. These teams played in Carolina back on Halloween where the Hurricanes grinded out a 2-1 win. This should be an easy get right spot for the Canes but -400 isn’t a price I’m ever laying on a game, especially for the way they’ve played lately. I don’t expect the Coyotes to be able to score and I’ll lay some juice here with 1.5 units on the Coyotes TT under 2.5 in regulation (regulation line is only ten cents more than the full game). I’ll also take Carolina -1.5 and Carolina TT over 4 for half a unit each. I looked at some SGPs on this game, but none of them have any value worth betting on.
Golden Knights vs. Devils (10:00)
The Golden Knights didn’t help their playoff push, getting shut out 4-0 in Edmonton on Saturday afternoon. With a 41-30-5 record, they are three points behind the Kings for third place in the Pacific and four points behind Dallas and Nashville for the two Wild Card spots in the tight playoff race in the West. Vegas has played well lately with a 7-2-1 record in their last ten games and I think if they end up getting in the playoffs they can go on a run, but they have to get in first. They have scored an average of 3.16 goals per game and have allowed an average of 2.96 goals per game. The Devils suck, so this should be a nice matchup for the Knights at home in the Fortress. New Jersey is 26-42-7 and they have just four wins in their last 16 games. They’ve averaged 3.04 goals per game, which isn’t horrible but they’ve been one of the worst teams in the NHL offensively, allowing an average of 3.64 goals per game, fifth most in hockey. The Knights beat the Devils 5-3 in Jersey on December 16th and I’d expect a similar result tonight. I think the price of -360 is too expensive to bet on the Golden Knights ML but I do really like the Vegas TT over 3.5 which I’ll take for 1.5 units along with the over for half a unit.
Kraken vs. Senators (10:00)
This is a lousy game between two lousy teams. The Kraken are coming off a 4-3 overtime win at home against the Devils on Saturday, but they haven’t had a good inaugural season with a 24-44-6 with three wins in their last eight games. They’ve been pretty bad on both ends of the ice, scoring an average of just 2.57 goals per game, third fewest in the NHL and allowing an average of 3.47 goals per game, ninth most in the NHL. The Senators are only a marginally better team at 28-40-7. They’re coming off a pretty entertaining game where they lost 5-4 at home to the Leafs in overtime on Saturday (winner for me on the over). Ottawa has only been a bit better on both ends of the ice than Seattle. They’re scoring an average of 2.71 goals per game, seventh fewest in the NHL and allowing an average of 3.23 goals per game, tenth most in the NHL. The first ever meeting between these teams in Ottawa on March 10th needed overtime for the Senators to win 4-3. I’d slightly lean the Sens and the over in this game but neither worth betting, so I’ll just lay off this game completely.
Canucks vs. Stars (10:30)
This is an interesting matchup to me. Vancouver’s hot coming into today’s game on a five game win streak after blowing out the Coyotes (huge winner for me) 7-1 on Thursday night. They’ve been inconsistent this season with a 37-28-10 record, playing great at times and then going on slumps. The Canucks have been quite good defensively, allowing an average of 2.77 goals per game, ninth fewest in the NHL. They’ve struggled offensively at points this year and on the season are averaging 2.95 goals per game but in their last five games they’ve scored an impressive average of 5.2 goals per game. The Stars are 43-27-5 and currently tied in points with the Nashville Predators for the two Wild Card spots in the West, with Vegas hot on their tail. They’re coming off a 2-1 grind of a win (winner for me) against the Sharks on Saturday and have played well with a 10-3-2 record in their last 15 games. Statistically Dallas hasn’t been particularly great on either end of the ice, averaging 2.87 goals per game and allowing an average of 2.92 goals per game but they keep winning, so really those stats don’t matter. They haven’t been great on the road either, where they hold a 19-17-2 record. The Canucks are 2-0 this season against the Stars with a 6-3 win at home on November 7th and a 4-1 win in Dallas on March 26th. I feel like although Vancouver isn’t officially eliminated from playoff contention, they’ll need a miracle to get in and will be trying to play spoiler for the Stars here, who are playing to control their own destiny. I’d expect this game to stay closer than those other two three goal wins and could see the Stars get a win on the road here. I don’t see any value to betting anything on this game though and will skip it. This is easily the best matchup on tonight’s slate.
1u Flames in regulation (-182)
1u Flames TT over 3.5 (-170)
.5u Blackhawks TT under 2.5 in regulation (-140)
1u SGP: Flames -2.5 & Flames TT over 3.5 & Blackhawks TT under 2.5 (+315)
1.5u Avalanche/Capitals over 6.5 (-144)
1u Avalanche in regulation (-125)
1.5u Coyotes TT under 2.5 in regulation (-200)
.5u Hurricanes TT over 4 (-125)
.5u Hurricanes -1.5 (-160)
1.5u Golden Knights TT over 3.5 (-195)
.5u Golden Knights/Devils over 6.5 (-120)
Record: 753-545-30 (+38.01 units)
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