Not the best night yesterday, going 6-7 to lose 1.29 units. Tonight we only have a four game NHL slate of mainly late games. Let’s get a few wins!
Oilers vs. Stars (8:30)
The Oilers have played really good hockey lately with a 14-3-2 record in their last 19 games. They’re coming off two 4-0 shutout wins in a row, beating Vegas on Saturday and Nashville on Thursday. Edmonton’s in second place in the Pacific Division with a 44-26-6 record. Connor McDavid (110 points, 68 assists) and Leon Draisaitl (105 points, 54 goals) are two of the best offensive players in the NHL and even without much depth behind them the Oilers are averaging 3.42 goals per game, seventh most in the NHL. They haven’t been great defensively this season and have had some pretty lousy goaltending, allowing an average of 3.08 goals per game. Mike Smith’s been great in goal lately though as he’s allowed only 0.8 goals per game in his last five starts. The Stars got beat 6-2 in Vancouver on Sunday night but they’re still right in the heat of the Western Conference playoff race, sitting in that Wild Card spot with a four point lead and a game in hand over Vegas and Vancouver. They have a 43-28-5 record and have played well lately with 10-4-2 record in their last 16 games. Dallas isn’t a great team on either end of the ice. They’re averaging 2.86 goals per game and allowing an average of 2.96 goals per game but when they win, those stats don’t really mean anything. I’d assume that if the Stars do end up getting into the playoffs, they’ll be a pretty easy opponent for the Avs or Flames in the first round. Dallas won both games they played at home against the Oilers earlier this season, winning 4-1 on November 23rd and 5-3 on March 22nd. I think the Oilers get a win tonight at home against them though and will take them for half a unit. I’d lean the over but not enough to bet on it.
Coyotes vs. Blackhawks (10:00)
This game is a horrible matchup between two real lousy teams. The Coyotes are one of the worst teams in the NHL with a 22-49-5 record and they come into tonight’s game on a seven game losing streak with just two wins in their last 16 games. They have the lowest scoring offense in the NHL, averaging just 2.43 goals per game and they’re only slightly better defensively, allowing a second most in the NHL average of 3.79 goals per game. The Blackhawks aren’t much better of a team at 25-40-11. They only have one win in their last eleven games. They’re just slightly better on both ends of the ice than the Coyotes. Chicago has scored an average of just 2.62 goals per game, sixth fewest in the NHL and they’ve allowed an average of 3.57 goals per game, seventh most in the NHL. The only reason they’re not worse than that defensively is because for most of the season they had Marc Andre Fleury between the pipes, which hasn’t been the case since the trade deadline. Arizona is 2-1 against the Blackhawks this season, losing 2-1 in Chicago on November 12th, winning 6-4 at home on January 7th and then winning 3-2 in overtime on April 3rd. I want nothing to do with betting this game but I’d slightly lean the under and for the Blackhawks to win at home.
Golden Knights vs. Capitals (10:00)
This game has the potential to be a great one…or be very disappointing. The Capitals clinched their spot in the playoffs with a 43-23-10 record. They’re currently in the second Wild Card spot in the East but just a point back from Pittsburgh for third place in the Metro Division. Washington’s played great lately with a 15-5-1 record in their last 21 games and just one loss in their last seven games, coming off a big 3-2 win in Colorado on Sunday (double loser for me on the Avs and over). Ovi (87 points, 48 goals) and the Caps have the eighth highest scoring offense in the NHL, averaging 3.39 goals per game and they’ve been decent defensively, allowing an average of 2.93 goals per game. The Golden Knights are in danger of missing the playoffs with a 41-1-5 record, currently four points back from the Stars for the second Wild Card spot in the West and five points behind LA for third place in the Pacific. On Sunday they ran into pretty much bad luck, losing 3-2 at home against the Devils in a game that they had 44 shots on goal and hit four posts. Vegas only has one win in their last four games but have seven wins in their last eleven games. They have scored an average of 3.14 goals per game and have allowed an average of 2.96 goals per game. The first time these teams played this season in Washington on January 24th, the Golden Knights won 1-0 shutting out the Caps in their own building. I’d lean the Caps stay hot and win this game but the Knights are playing for way more and are at home, which makes me stay off a side on this game. Even though the first game between these teams stayed way under, I like the over in tonight’s game and will take the over 6 for a unit.
Kraken vs. Avalanche (10:00)
This is a huge mismatch to close out the night. The Avalanche have first place in the Western Conference locked up and they’re tied with Florida in the President’s Trophy race with a 55-15-6 record. They’re coming off a race home loss, losing 3-2 to the Capitals on Sunday (double loser for me) that ended their nine game win streak but they’ve been great lately with a 14-2-1 record in their last 17 games. Colorado has the third highest scoring offense in the NHL, averaging 3.84 goals per game and they’ve allowed a seventh fewest in the NHL average of 2.74 goals per game. The Kraken have been horrible in their inaugural season with a 25-44-6 record but they’re coming into tonight’s game with two wins in a row, against the Sens and Devils. They’re abysmal on both ends of the ice, scoring a fifth fewest in the NHL average of 2.59 goals per game and allowing a ninth most in the NHL average of 3.45 goals per game. Philipp Grubauer faces his old team tonight and has sucked this season with a 3.11 GAA and .891 save percentage. The Avs are 2-0 against Seattle, winning 7-3 in their first ever trip to Seattle on November 19th and then 4-3 at home on January 10th. They should sweep the Kraken on the season with a road win tonight. I’ll go with 2 units on the Avalanche in regulation, a unit on the Avs TT over 3.5 and half a unit on the over.
.5u Oilers ML (-175)
1u Golden Knights/Capitals over 6 (-135)
2u Avalanche in regulation (-190)
1u Avalanche TT over 3.5 (-170)
.5u Avalanche/Kraken over 6.5 (-114)
Record: 765-557-30 (+33.42 units)
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