Last night’s slate of Game 2’s started great on the early games but ended poorly on the late games. Connor Ingram put on a hell of a performance in goal in his first playoff start for Nashville (which they ultimately lost in overtime) for the big loss of last night on the Avs TT over. I ended up going 7–6-1 to lose 4.58 units. Tonight we have Game 3s as four series shift to the lower seed home arenas. I crushed Game 2s in all of these series on Wednesday and I’m looking for a big bounce back tonight.
With the Penguins backup goalie Casey DeSmith now confirmed to be out for the rest of the playoffs and starter Tristan Jarry still out with injury the Pens will likely have to rely on their third string goalie Louis Domingue for the rest of their series against the Rangers. I already have the Rangers to win the series for 2.5 units and I’m going to add another unit to that today as it’s still got a decent price.
Game 3: Bruins vs. Hurricanes (7:00)
The Hurricanes took care of business at home in Games 1 and 2 of this series with a 2-0 lead as this series shifts to Boston tonight. I lost by a late goal on the unders in both of those games and that cost me a big six leg parlay win on Wednesday when that empty net goal went in the net with 41 seconds left. I think I’m done with chasing the unders in this series but I’m also not switching over to betting overs here either. The B’s find themselves in their first 0-2 hole to start a series since the 2011 Stanley Cup Finals against Vancouver…where they went on to win the Cup in 7. It’s not looking great for them though as they’ve been outscored by Carolina now 26-4 in the five games that these teams have played this season. With the series going to Boston, the Bruins have to make several adjustments tonight. Jeremy Swayman will start in goal at home tonight after Linus Ullmark got the nod for the first two games of the series. In Game 2, Bruce Cassidy reunited the Perfection line, moving David Pastrnak up to the first line with Brad Marchand and Patrice Bergeron. Bergeron scored both goals for the B’s on Wednesday after the lines got switched up. Boston also took a blow to their back end, losing Hampus Lindholm to injury. This game’s a must win for the Bruins at home. If they go down 3-0, this series is as good as over along with my series bets in this game. The energy in the Garden tonight should help the B’s get past Carolina and hold off elimination. A series doesn’t start till you lose on home ice. I’ll take the Bruins ML for a unit and the Bruins TT over 3 for a unit.
Game 3: Lightning vs. Maple Leafs (7:30)
In Game 1 of this series in Toronto, the defending back to back Stanley Cup champion Lightning played their worst playoff game I can remember, getting shut out 5-0. They answered back with a fantastic 5-3 win on Wednesday night in Game 2 to steal a win on the road, going back to Amalie Arena in Tampa with the series knotted at 1-1. The final score doesn’t indicate how dominant the Bolts were, just letting their foot off the gas a bit as they had a 5-1 lead with just around eight minutes left in the game. In Game 2, I went right back to the same bets I had go 0-3 in Game 1 with the Lightning ML, Lightning TT over and the over and it went 3-0. Big winners. Yesterday I added on another unit for the Bolts to win this series and expect them to win both games at home to go back to Toronto with a 3-1 series lead which would guarantee at worst a split on my series bets. For tonight, I’ll take the Lightning ML for 2 units and the Lightning TT over 3 for a unit. I’d lean the over, but not enough to bet on it.
Game 3: Blues vs. Wild (9:30)
After getting embarrassed in a 4-0 shutout loss in Game 1 on home ice, the Minnesota Wild came out hard in a must win Game 2 and put on a clinic for their fans in a 6-2 win to even up the series heading to St. Louis. Minnesota’s offense has been electric all season and they showed that again quickly on Wednesday night with a 3-0 lead in the first period. Karill “the thrill” Kaprizov showed he’s the best player in this series with a hat trick to answer to David Perron’s in Game 1 for the Blues. I think this is the most evenly matched series of the first round and still expect this to be a long 6-7 game series. I’d slightly lean the Blues win Game 3 tonight as home, but not enough to bet on it for how closely matched this series is. I’d expect both teams to light the lamp and I’ll take the over 6 for a unit.
Game 3: Kings vs. Oilers (10:00)
The Oilers tied up their series against the Kings in a crucial Game 2 on Wednesday night in Edmonton with a huge 6-0 shutout win. After losing 4-3 on a Mike Smith blunder to the Kings in Game 1, it was good to see him bounce back from that game with a shutout and the Oilers offense dazzled. I got a big win in that game with two units on the Oilers to win in regulation, a nice bounce back to get back to positive in this series after my Game 1 loss on Edmonton. Tonight the series shifts back to LA tied at 1-1. I still think the Oilers are the way better team in this series and we’re getting a much cheaper price than we did in Games 1 and 2 with them on the road. I’ll take the Oilers ML for 1.5 units. I’ll also take the over 6 for half a unit.
1u Bruins ML (-134)
1u Bruins TT over 3 (-121)
2u Lightning ML (-118)
1u Lightning TT over 3 (-150)
1u Blues/Wild over 6 (-136)
1.5u Oilers ML (-143)
.5u Oilers/Kings over 6 (-120)
1u Bruins (+104)
2u Bruins/Hurricanes over 5.5 games (-162)
2u Lightning (-107)
2u Lightning/Maple Leafs over 5.5 games (-162)
2u Wild/Blues over 5.5 games (-175)
1u Wild/Blues over 6.5 games (+220)
.2u Wild win series 4-2 (+490)
.2u Wild win series 4-3 (+475)
.2u Blues win series 4-3 (+600)
2u Oilers in six games or less (-114)
2.5u Rangers (-118)
1u Rangers (-150)
2.5u Panthers in six games or less (-152)
1u Avalanche in five games or less (-117)
1u Avalanche win series 4-1 (+230)
1u Avalanche win series 4-0 (+290)
3u Flames in six games or less (-157)
1u Bruins: Stanley Cup Champions (+1800)
1u Wild: Stanley Cup Champions (+1600)
.5u Blues: Stanley Cup Champions (+2200)
Record: 825-624-35 (+5.94 units)
Regular Season: 809-605-32 (+19.61 units)
Playoffs: 16-19-3 (-13.67 units)
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