Last week I went 4-3 on the PLL to lose 0.96 units for Week 2. Another week where I lost on my biggest bet of the week (Atlas/Cannons over 24.5) by the hook to make it a losing weekend. This week the league is back in NY, playing in Long Island for Week 3. Let’s win and try to get back in the green for the season.
Waterdogs vs. Chrome (6/17 6:00)
The Chrome are surprisingly 2-0 coming into tonight’s game. They opened the season with a one goal surprising win in an 11-10 game over the Archers and then last week they were incredible defensively, limiting the Redwoods to only three scores in a 12-3 blowout win in a great defensive effort, limiting the Woods to only 13 shots with a 70% save percentage from Sean Sconone. The Chrome have now averaged 11.5 scores per game while limiting scoring to an average of only 6.5 scores per game, easily the best in the PLL. The Waterdogs, who finished first in the PLL regular season last year have struggled mightily through the first two weeks of the season, losing both of their games. The Dogs got crushed in Week 1, giving up 16 scores to the Cannon in a 16-10 game then they played much better last week, taking the Whipsnakes to overtime before losing 12-11 (winner for me on the Whips ML). The Waterdogs have scored an average of 10.5 scores per game but they’ve missed their world class goalie Dillon Ward, who’s still out this week as he plays indoors for the final game of the NLL Championship for his Colorado Mammoth against my Buffalo Bandits tomorrow night. Last season these teams played twice with the Waterdogs winning both matchups. They won 14-9 in Week 2 and then again 12-6 in Week 5. I like the Chrome to limit scoring enough for them to get revenge on the Waterdogs and get the win tonight to go 3-0 and will take the Chrome ML for half a unit. I’d lean the under here but not enough to bet on it.
Atlas vs. Whipsnakes (6/17 8:45)
The Atlas have shown that they’re clearly the best team in the PLL this season, especially offensively, leading the league at 2-0 with the best score differential. Jeff Teat has been the best played in the league so far this season with 12 points and 8 goals through two games. His Atlas lead the PLL with an average of 16.5 scores per game while allowing an average of just 9.5 scores per game. On Opening Weekend they crushed the Redwoods 17-11 and then last week they beat the Cannons 16-8 (I went 2-1 on that game, winning on the Archers ML and score line but losing on the over in my biggest bet of the season by the hook). The Whipsnakes, who won both of the first two championships in PLL history are 2-0 this season but have done tonight to impress in either of those games. They trailed the severely shorthanded Chaos through the entire game on opening weekend before tying the game with 1:57 remaining and then getting the game winner from Mike Chanenchuk with just three seconds left in regulation and last week need overtime to beat the Waterdogs 12-11. They haven’t lead in the first half the entire season. Last season these teams played pretty close in their only matchup in Week 3, with the Whipsnakes just getting the edge over the Atlas in a 12-11 win. I like the Atlas to keep on rolling and I’ll go with a unit on the Atlas ML tonight. I’d lean the over but not enough to bet on it.
Cannons vs. Archers (6/18 1:00)
Both of these teams are 1-1 going into the second week of the season. The Archers lost by a goal, 11-10 to the Chrome on opening weekend but bounced back last week with a big 17-12 win against the Chaos. The Cannons opening the season with an offensive showcase from Lyle Thompson, beating the Waterdogs 16-10 but then got dominated 16-8 by the Atlas last week. Through two weeks, the Archers have averaged 13.5 scores per game and allowed an average of 11.5 per game. The Cannons have scored an average of 12 scores per game while allowing an average of 13 per game. With Grant Ament still out with injury for the Archers, I think this could end up being a closer game than the line shows. Last season in Week 5, the Cannons got a 13-12 win over the Archers. I like the Archers to get the win though this week against them. If the price was cheaper on them here, I’d probably jump on the Archers ML but I don’t think its worth betting on at -200 and don’t love the idea of betting on the -1.5 either. I will take the over though for half a unit.
Redwoods vs. Chaos (6/18 4:00)
These two teams are both looking for their first win of the season. The Redwoods offense has looked horrible through the first two weeks of the season, averaging only seven scores per game while allowing an average of 14.5 scores per game, the worst in the PLL in both of those categories for the worst scoring differential in the league. The Chaos still don’t have a majority of their starting offense in the lineup, who are playing in the final game of the NLL Championship series for the Buffalo Bandits (let’s go Bandits!!!) but the defending champs haven’t looked bad through the first two weeks, despite losing both games. On opening weekend they lead the Whipsnakes for a majority of the game before giving up the tying goal with under two minutes left in the game and losing in the final three seconds but last week lost 17-12 to the Archers. They have scored an average of 10 scores per game while allowing an average of 13 per game. I like the Chaos to get their first win of the season this week over the struggling Redwoods and will bet them a little safer with the +1.5. I’d lean the under, but not enough to bet it.
Bets
.5u Chrome ML (-159)
1u Atlas ML (-180)
.5u Archers/Cannons over 24.5 (-113)
.5u Chaos +1.5 (-134)
Record: 6-6 (-2.78 units)
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