The Avalanche started off slow in Game 4 but finished strong dominating overtime and winning 3-2 on a controversial goal from Nazim Kadri. I went 1-1, pretty much breaking even, losing 0.3 units. The Stanley Cup’s in the building tonight in Ball Arena for Game 5 in Denver. Let’s close the season with a big winner!!
Game 5: Avalanche vs. Lightning (8:00)
The Colorado Avalanche are a game away from winning their first Stanley Cup since 2001 after beating the Lightning 3-2 in overtime on the road in Tampa on Wednesday night in Game 4. The Bolts started off as the much better team in the first period of Game 4, scoring just 36 seconds into the game and they outshot the Avs 17-4 through the first period with Darcy Kuemper playing great to keep it a one goal game. Both teams scored in the second period. The Avalanche tied it up early in the third period and were the better team in the closing period, forcing overtime. With a bizarre ending, Nazim Kadri scored the game winner in his first game in 18 days, coming back from having surgery on his thumb after a hit into the boards from Evander Kane in the Western Conference Finals. After the game, Lightning head coach Jon Cooper only answered one question during the press conference and pointed out that the game winner should’ve not been a goal due to too many men on the ice for Colorado. He was right since the guy getting off the ice was the one Kadri got on for during that change and going early gave him some extra separation. But at the end of the day, let’s be real, Tampa would’ve had to get pretty lucky not to lose with the way the Avalanche controlled overtime. The Avs would’ve likely won anyway with the way they dominated overtime. The Bolts barely touched the puck. Tampa blew the lead twice and never trailed in the game until losing in OT and couldn’t put the game away, at that point they deserved to lose. Tonight the series goes back to Colorado for Game 5 and gives the Avalanche the chance to win the Stanley Cup at home in front of their fans. Tampa has been significantly worse on the road through these playoffs. The Bolts have allowed 25 five on five goals in eleven games on the road while limiting teams to only eight five on five goals through ten home games. In Games 1 and 2 of this series in Colorado, the Avs outscored Tampa 11-3. I think the Avs get it done at home and win it. Along with letting my bet ride on the Avs in five games or less hedge (2.2 units risked), I’m doubling down on the Avalanche here. I’ll go with 1.5 units on the ML, 1.5 units on the Avs TT over 3 and half a unit on the puck line. Along with that, since this is an elimination game that I think the Avs are leading late in the game, I’ll take the over 5.5 for a unit. Let’s lift Lord Stanley tonight boys!!
1.5u Avalanche ML (-176)
1.5u Avalanche TT over 3 (-162)
.5u Avalanche -1.5 (+145)
1u Avalanche/Lightning over 5.5 (-130)
Open Series Bets
3u Avalanche/Lightning over 5.5 games (-150)
2u Avalanche (-165)
4u Avalanche in five games or less (-130)
Record: 922-706-38 (+14.91 units)
Regular Season: 809-605-32 (+19.61 units)
Playoffs: 113-101-6 (-4.7 units)
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