Last week in Dallas I went 3-2 on the PLL to make a slightly profit, winning 0.3 units. This week the league goes to Denver with some crucial games with teams continuing to play for playoff seeding with just three weeks left in the regular season.
And this weekend, the whole league is wearing dope throwback jerseys that remind me of Mikey Powell doing backflips while putting the ball in the back of the net.
Cannons vs. Redwoods (8/5 9:00)
The only game for Friday night isn’t a great one. The last place 1-6 Cannons take on the 2-5 Redwoods. The Cannons have easily been the worst team in the league and they haven’t won since opening weekend. Last week, they were down significantly to the Waterdogs but had a great fourth quarter comeback that still ultimately fell short as they lost 15-14 (double winner for me). While Lyle Thompson, the best lacrosse player in the world and the Cannons offense haven’t been terrible, averaging 11.6 scores per game but their defense has been absolutely atrocious. They’ve allowed the most scores in the league, an average of 14.7 scores per game. The Redwoods aren’t much better at 2-5, coming off a 14-12 loss to the Chaos last week. They’ve been slightly better defensively than the Cannons, allowing an average of 12.4 scores per game but they have the lowest scoring offense in the PLL, averaging only 10.4 scores per game. These two teams haven’t played each other since opening weekend of last season where the Redwoods won 12-11. This game tonight matches up the worst offense in the league against the worst defense in the league. I have zero interest in betting anything on this game. I think the team that dictates play ends up winning the game.
Chaos vs. Chrome (8/6 11:30)
The first game of Saturday’s double header we have the 4-3 Chrome going up against the 2-5 Chaos. The Chaos are still trying to make the playoffs this season to have the chance to defend their championship from last year, but this season hasn’t gone well for them. They’re 2-5 and coming off a big win last week, beating the Redwoods 14-12 to keep their playoff hopes alive with two wins in their last three games. Their offense has been the second lowest scoring in the PLL, averaging just 10.7 scores per game and they’ve allowed the second most scores in the league, an average of 13.1 scores per game. I know they got hot at the end of last season on the way to their championship win, but I don’t see that happening again. Not their year. After being the only team to miss the playoffs last year, the Chrome started off their season real hot going 4-0 but they’ve dropped their last three, losing to the Atlas, Waterdogs and Whipsnakes to come into this weekend with a 4-3 record. Their young new look offense has been pretty solid this season, averaging 11.9 scores per game and they have been allowing an average of 10.3 scores per game. Last season when these teams played in Week 7, the Chaos won 14-12. They’ve gotten worse and the Chrome have gotten better. I think the Chrome end their losing streak this week and I’ll take them for a unit.
Waterdogs vs. Atlas (8/6 2:00)
The Waterdogs are the hottest team in the PLL, coming into this game on a four game winning streak after starting the season 0-3 to improve to 4-3 on the year. Last week they held on in a great game to beat the Cannons 15-14. They’ve been very well rounded, averaging 12.9 scores per game and allowing an average of 12.6 scores per game. The Atlas have been very good this season with a 5-2 record. Last week they bounced back from their loss to the Redwoods in Week 7 with a big 14-9 victory against the Archers. Big loss on the over in that game for me. The Atlas have the best offense in the PLL, averaging 13.6 scores per game and they’ve been pretty good defensively as well, allowing an average of 11.1 scores per game. Their big factor to their wins, Trevor Baptiste, the best face off athlete in the world has an insane 70% win percentage, locking up crucial possessions for the Atlas. Last season when these teams played in Week 8, the Waterdogs edged out the Atlas with a 10-9 win. I think the Atlas end up getting the win though this season to end the Waterdogs win streak and I’ll take them for half a unit. I’ll also take the over here for a unit, expecting both teams to be able to score.
Archers vs. Whipsnakes (8/6 4:40)
I’d expect a great game to close out this matchup this weekend. The Whipsnakes, the champions of the first two seasons of the PLL lead the league this season with a 6-1 record, still in control of their own faith for the first round bye for the playoffs. Although the Whips haven’t been all that impressive offensively, averaging just 11.1 scores per game but they’ve been the best team in the league defensively, allowing an average of only 10 scores per game. The Archers haven’t beaten anyone with a winning record this season, just beating up the lousy teams on their way to a solid 4-3 record. They have a very good and very deep offense with a ton of contributors that could score and lead an attack line on any team in this league and they’ve averaged 13.1 scores per game, second most in the PLL. Defensively they’ve been good too, allowing an average of 11 scores per game. They just haven’t been able to put away the good teams. These teams played in the preseason this year with the Archers winning 12-9. I don’t see that happening again and I’ll take the Whipsnakes ML for half a unit. I’d lean the under but not enough to bet on it.
1u Chrome ML (-155)
.5u Atlas ML (-155)
1u Atlas/Waterdogs over 24.5 (-121)
.5u Whipsnakes ML (-115)
Record: 20–18 (-6.24)
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