I had a solid day on yesterday’s NHL slate, going 6-1 to win 2.81 units capped off by my Sabres win! Today we have a five game slate on this NFL Sunday. Let’s stack up the wins!
Blackhawks vs. Kraken (2:00)
The Kraken impressed me on Friday night as they went into Colorado and were the better team against the defending Stanley Cup champion Avalanche, beating them 3-2 and being the better team throughout the game, outshooting them 28-20 and making the champs look completely flat. That win ended a three game losing streak for Seattle moving them to 2-2-2 on the season. Through their six games the Kraken have scored an average of 2.83 goals per game on an average of 33.2 goals per game and have struggled a bit defensively, allowing an average of 3.67 goals per game on an average of 27.7 shots allowed. The Blackhawks are surprisingly coming into today’s game off back to back wins, beating the Red Wings 4-3 in overtime after coming back from down 3-1 in the third period on Friday. They’re 2-2 to start their year off. Chicago’s both scored and allowed an average of 2.75 goals per game while getting outshot by an average of 24.5-31.5 in their first four games of the year. Last year Seattle won two of the three games between these teams. I like the Kraken to get a win here on the road and I’ll take them for half a unit.
Red Wings vs. Ducks (5:00)
On Friday night the Red Wings blew a 3-1 lead in the third period to the Blackhawks to end up losing 4-3 in overtime, their second OT loss in a row after losing 5-4 at home to the Kings on Monday. They’re now 2-0-2 on the season and Detroit has scored an average of 3.75 goals per game on an average of 30.8 shots on goal. Defensively they’ve allowed an average of 2.75 goals per game on an average of 33.3 shots they’ve given up. The Ducks might be one of the worst teams in the NHL, coming into today’s game with a 1-3-1 record on a four game losing streak. They’re coming off a 2-1 shootout loss in Boston on Thursday night, hanging in there with the Bruins and just getting outshot 36-31. Anaheim has struggled on both ends of the ice. They’ve only scored an average of 2.6 goals per game, just generating an average of 24.6 shots on goal. They’ve been even worse on the back end, allowing an average of 4.4 goals per game while giving up 41.2 shots on average. Last season these two teams split their games, both decided by a goal. I’d expect the Red Wings win this game at home with Ville Husso shutting down the Ducks offense and will take them for half a unit.
Panthers vs. Islanders (5:00)
This is a fun matchup that’s the second game between these teams this season. They opened the season with a 3-1 Panthers win on Long Island on the 13th with the Isles outshooting Florida 33-29. The Panthers come into today’s game off a 3-2 overtime loss in the Battle of Florida on Friday night and they’re now 3-1-1 on the season. The Panthers offense has scored an average of 3.2 goals per game on an average of 36.2 shots on goal. The Isles are coming off a loss to Tampa as well, losing 5-3 on the road last night. They’re now 2-3. Their offense hasn’t been bad at all, averaging 3.4 goals per game on an average of 33.8 shots on goal. Defensively both of these teams have allowed an average of 3 goals per game, Florida on an average of 31.8 shots allowed and New York on an average of 29.8. Last season in the three games these Eastern Conference teams played, the Panthers swept the season series. I’d lean Florida wins this game at home with the Isles on the second half of a back to back but I think this matchup should be much closer to around -150 and the -210 line I think is ridiculous with value on the side of the Islanders. I’ll just stay off this game. I’d lean the under as well but not enough to bet on it.
Rangers vs. Blue Jackets (5:00)
The Rangers let me down big time on Thursday night as they lost 3-2 at home to the Sharks in overtime. They’re now 3-1-1 on the season and have looked pretty solid so far this year for a team with high expectations. Through their five games New York has scored an average 3.8 goals per game on an average of 36.2 shots on goal. They’ve allowed an average of 3 goals per game on an average of 29 shots on goal allowed. Igor Shesterkin will get the day off today with Jaroslav Halak confirmed in goal for the Rangers. After back to back wins against the Canucks and Reds, the Blues Jackets are coming off a 6-3 loss to the Penguins last night (winner for me there). Columbus sucks so far in their 2-4 start to the season one both ends of the ice. They’ve scored an average of 2.83 goals per game on an average of 32 shots on goal and they’ve allowed an average of 4.33 goals per game on 34.5 shots allowed. Last season the Rags won two of the three games these teams played. I’d definitely expect them to win here at home tonight but at the expensive -250 line, I don’t trust Halak enough to lay the juice on this one. I’d lean the over but not enough to bet it.
Flyers vs. Sharks (7:00)
Philly has to be the most shocking team in the NHL to start off the season 4-1 under the new coaching of John Tortorella. He’s got his boys motivated and they’re coming off a huge 3-1 win in Nashville last night on a bounce back from their first loss of the season in Florida on Wednesday night. They’ve been good on both ends of the ice, scoring an average of 3.4 goals per game on an average of 27.6 goals per game while giving up an average of just 2.2 goals per game on an average of 34.6 shots allowed. On the second half of a back to back today they’re likely giving Carter Hart the night off with a much inferior Felix Sandstrom projected to start in goal. Sandstrom got his first start of the year in their loss and had a 4.32 GAA and .889 save percentage. The Sharks might be the worst team in the NHL this season, coming into this game with a 1-6 record on the second half of a back to back as well after they lost 2-1 in New Jersey last night. San Jose’s offense is pathetic, averaging only 1.71 goals per game on an average of 26.6 shots on goal. They’ve been a bit better defensively but not much, allowing an average of 3.29 goals per game while giving up 30.7 shots per game on average. Last year the Sharks won both games these teams played both by a 3-2 score and both in overtime. I’d lean the Flyers win at home today but still don’t trust this team enough to bet on them especially with Sandstrom likely in goal, even in this pretty favorable matchup for them. I’d lean the over as well but not enough to bet on it.
.5u Kraken ML (-146)
.5u Red Wings ML (-130)
Record: 45-37-1 (-6.17 units)
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