NHL Daily Gambling Preview – 11/29/22

Third profitable day in a row last night on the NHL, capped off by an Oilers goal with 4.4 seconds left to hit their over, as I went 3-3 to win 0.8 units. I’ll take it. Tonight we have a good sized nine game slate. Let’s win again!

Bruins vs. Lightning (7:00)

Last night the Lightning came back from a two goal deficit in the final five minutes of their game in Buffalo, winning 6-5 in overtime. They got outplayed by the Sabres five on five the entire game but capitalized on the power play three times against a weak Sabres PP to get the win. They’re buzzing right now, winning six of their last seven games with that one loss coming the first time these teams played a little over a week ago with the Bruins winning 5-3 in Tampa on November 21st. Boston’s the best team in the NHL. Coming off a 3-2 comeback win in overtime against Carolina, they’ve won eight of their last nine games and have an NHL leading 18-3 record with a perfect 12-0 record at home this season. They’re dominating on both ends of the ice. With the Bruins at home against a Lightning team on the second half of a back to back, I’ll take the B’s here for a unit.

Canadiens vs. Sharks (7:00)

Neither of these teams have been great. The Sharks are on a three game losing streak after a 4-3 overtime loss at home to the Canucks on Sunday and they’ve just picked up one win in their last six games to drop to 7-13-4 on the season. San Jose isn’t good. Montreal’s won three of their last four games to improve to 11-9-1 on the season but those wins didn’t come against tough competition, beating the Blackhawks and Flyers in shootouts and beating the Blue Jackets. These two teams match up pretty evenly from a stats perspective. I’d slightly lean the Habs win here at home in this cross conference matchup and would slightly lean the over but not enough to bet on either, so I’ll just lay off this game.

Penguins vs. Hurricanes (7:00)

The Canes finally got off their five game losing streak (with four of those losses coming in overtime) on Saturday night with a much needed 3-2 win over the Flames. That improves Carolina to 11-6-5 on the season with only their third win in their last eleven games. I still think this is a good team but while their defense and goaltending has been pretty good, they’ve struggled offensively. The Penguins had their five game losing streak come to an end on Saturday, losing 4-1 at home to the Leafs. They’re now 11-8-3 on the season. They’ve played well offensively but have struggled defensively. I’d lean the Penguins win this game at home and would lean the under but not enough to bet on their on this Metro Division matchup. I’ll skip it. This could potentially be a great game.

Flyers vs. Islanders (7:30)

This is a huge mismatch to me for the second half of a home and home after these teams just played on Saturday on Long Island, getting an easy win for me with a 5-2 Isles win. I’d expect nothing different tonight. The Islanders are now on a four game win streak to improve to 15-8 on the season, playing well on both ends of the ice. The Flyers are now 7-10-5 and on a ten game losing streak. Their offense has been completely abysmal and even with Carter Hart playing well in goal, they haven’t been good defensively either. The Flyers offense has been terrible and with Ilya Sorokin likely to start in goal for the Isles, I don’t see Philly being able to score much. I will go with the Islanders in regulation here for 2 units along with a unit on the Flyers team total under 2.5 in regulation.

Predators vs. Ducks (8:00)

The Ducks are the worst team in the NHL with a 6-15-1 record with only one regulation win all season. They’ve won just twice in their last ten games. They’re coming off a 5-4 loss to the Kraken on Sunday that was quite a sweat for me but luckily cashed my big bet on Seattle that night. Anaheim has been one of the worst teams in the NHL on both ends of the ice. The Preds are struggling as well this season with a 9-9-2 but they have played better recently. After two postponed games due to a water main break in their arena, Nashville’s back home tonight, coming off a 3-0 shutout loss in Detroit on Wednesday. Prior to that loss though they were playing pretty well with a 4-1-1 record in their last six games. Nashville’s averaging the same abysmal amount of goals as the Ducks. Even though they haven’t been great on the back end, they’ve at least been better than Anaheim. I’d expect the Predators to win tonight at home in Smashville but not enough to lay the -240 price on this game or trust them to get it done in regulation. I’ll just skip this game.

Jets vs. Avalanche (8:00)

This is a fun Central Division matchup between two good teams that are both rolling. Coming off a 4-1 win at home against Dallas on Saturday, the defending Cup champs have improved to 12-6-1 on the season with eight wins in their last ten games. After they got off their Cup winner hangover, they’ve been rolling and playing great hockey on both ends of the ice. The Jets have played great too under new head coach Rick Bowness this year. On Sunday they blew out the Blackhawks 7-2 for two very easy wins for me. They only have three losses in their last 15 games. Their offense is producing at a solid level and they’re backstopped by one of the best goaltenders in the NHL in Connor Hellebuyck. I’d lean the Avalanche get a win on the road tonight and would slightly lean the under, but neither enough to bet on this matchup that I expect to be a close game. I’ll lay off it but this is the best game on tonight’s slate.

Flames vs. Panthers (9:00)

Last night in a game that came back to life for me on the over, the Panthers blew a 3-2 lead with just 4.4 seconds left in regulation before Leon Draisaitl ended the game 22 seconds into overtime from none other than Connor McDavid. That was Florida’s second overtime loss in a row where they blew late leads and they’ve only picked up one win in their last six games to drop to 10-8-4 on the year. Their offense has had produced at a pretty high level and they’ve gotten a ton of shots and scoring chances but they can’t outrun their defensive issues as they bleed goals away every game and to make matters worse, they can’t stay out of the box. On the second half a back to back tonight, the Panthers are projected to start Sergei Bobrovsky in goal tonight, who’s been pretty bad in his eleven starts this season with a 3.62 GAA and .888 save percentage. The Flames come in on a three game losing streak as well with a 9-9-3 record that makes me pretty happy that I stayed off betting futures on this team preseason to win the Cup. They’ve struggled a bit on both ends of the ice while also running into a good amount of bad puck luck from the way they’ve played. The first time these teams played this season in Florida, it was a GREAT back and forth game with the Flames ultimately winning in a shootout. I like Calgary to get a win here at home with Florida playing back to back nights on the road and will take them for a unit along with the alternate over 6 for a unit.

Canucks vs. Capitals (10:00)

Plagued by injuries in the first quarter of the season, the Capitals are starting to get healthier now. After winning two games in a row against the Flames and Flyers, they got blown out 5-1 in New Jersey on Saturday and are now 9-11-3 on the season with only four wins in their last 14 games. I expect that and their play on both ends of the ice to start to improve now though that they’re getting most of their team back. The Canucks have played really well lately after their horrendous start to the season. They return home tonight on a three game win streak after rattling off wins in San Jose (4-3, OT), Vegas (5-1) and Colorado (4-3). They’ve only lost once in their last six games to improve to 9-10-3 on the season (still not great). Their offense has been quite good this season but their defense and goaltending has sucked all year. These teams played early in the season in Washington with the Caps picking up a 6-4 win at home on October 17th. I’d lean the Canucks answer back with a win here at home to extend their winning streak against a still depleted Caps team and would lean the over as well, but not enough to bet it. I’ll skip this game.

Kings vs. Kraken (10:30)

The Kraken have really been impressive this year to me. After their horrible inaugural season last year, they’re now second in the Pacific Division with a 13-5-3 record. They’re coming off a 5-4 win in Anaheim on Sunday that was a bit of a sweat for me, but they still cashed that regulation bet and they’re on a fantastic five game win streak with a 10-1-1 record in their last twelve games. This team’s sneaky fucking good. Their offense has been fantastic and they’ve improved quite a bit defensively as well. The Kings, coming off a 3-2 overtime loss on Sunday to the Senators (glad I stayed off that game) only have one win in their last five games, dropping to 12-9-3 on the year. Their offense has played relatively well on the season but they’ve struggled defensively. These Pacific Division teams, currently separated by just two points in the standings have already played twice this season with the Kraken winning both of those games with a 4-1 victory on the road on opening night on October 13th and 3-2 in overtime at home on November 19th. I love the price on Seattle here as a dog and will take them for 1.5 units against a struggling Kings team at even money.

Game Bets

1u Bruins ML (-180)

2u Islanders in regulation (-117)

1u Flyers TT under 2.5 in regulation (-148)

1u Flames ML (-150)

1u Flames/Panthers over 6 (-134)

1.5u Kraken ML (+105)

Futures

1u Boston Bruins – Stanley Cup Champions (+1000)

1.5u Boston Bruins – Stanley Cup Champions (+1100)

2u Vegas Golden Knights – Stanley Cup Champions (+1200)

1.5u Carolina Hurricanes – Stanley Cup Champions (+1300)

1u New Jersey Devils – Stanley Cup Champions (+1600)

Record: 150-138-2 (-15.18 units)


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