NHL Daily Gambling Preview – 11/30/22

Made it four profitable days in a row yesterday on the NHL, going 4-2 to win 0.76 units. I was a game short of sweeping the board with a double loser on the Islanders, who were a complete dud yesterday, but those were the right bets. Tonight we just have a quick four game slate. Let’s make it five days in a row!

Red Wings vs. Sabres (7:00)

The Sabres lost 6-5 in overtime at home to the Lightning on Monday night in disappointing fashion. They dominated the Bolts at 5 on 5 play but gave up three power play goals to Tampa and blew a two goal lead in the final five minutes of the game before losing in OT. Disappointing way to lose, especially with that they played so well at five on five and the PK unit killed us. The Sabres offense has been very good all season but the defense, goaltending and especially the penalty kill has struggled coming into tonight’s game with a 9-12-1 record. Tonight they’re in Detroit to face off against a Red Wings team that’s much improved from last year at 11-6-4. They’re coming off a 4-2 loss at home to the Leafs on Monday that ended their four game win streak. Detroit has played pretty well on both ends of the ice. Tonight they’re giving goalie Ville Husso the night off with Alex Nedeljkovic confirmed in goal, who’s struggled this season with a 4.01 GAA and .880 save percentage. On Halloween these Atlantic Division teams played the first time this season with the Sabres dominating at home with an 8-3 win, outshooting the Red Wings 46-18. I like my Sabres to bounce back from their loss on Monday and score on Nedeljkovic tonight. I’ll go with 1.5 units on the Sabres team total over 3, a unit on the game over 6.5 along with half a unit on the Sabres ML.

Senators vs. Rangers (7:00)

After going all the way to the Eastern Conference finals last year, the Rangers have been pretty disappointing this season, coming into tonight’s game with a 10-9-4 record. Coming off a 5-3 loss at home to the Devils on Monday (big winner for me), they’re on a three game losing streak. They’ve been okay on both ends of the ice but haven’t been spectacular either offensively or defensively, putting them currently outside of the playoff picture as a very average team. The Rangers are likely to start backup Jaro Halak tonight in goal, who’s been awful this season. He hasn’t won a game yet in his six starts and has a 3.2 GAA and .881 save percentage. The Senators after going on a stretch of winning only two games in 13, they’ve since won their last two in a row on the road, beating the Kings 3-2 in overtime on Sunday and blowing out the Ducks 5-1 on Friday night to move to 8-12-1 on the season. They’ve been decent offensively but have struggled defensively. I’d lean even with Halak starting tonight, the Rangers win on the road, but not enough to bet on it. I’d also lean the over but not enough to bet that. This is a boring game to me and I’ll just lay off it entirely.

Maple Leafs vs. Sharks (7:00)

The Leafs are rolling right now. Coming off a 4-2 win in Detroit and a four game win streak on the road, they return home tonight with a 14-5-5 record, picking up at least a point in each of their last nine games with only one regulation loss in their last 15 games. They’ve played well on both ends of the ice in that stretch. The Sharks are on the second half of a back to back, ending a three game losing streak with a 4-0 shutout win on the road in Montreal last night (a game I’m glad I stayed off of entirely). Their offense has improved from how pathetic they were earlier this season but their defense has still been pretty terrible. Backup Aaron Dell will likely get his first start of the season tonight in goal for the Sharks. As a Sabres fan that had to watch Dell start for us last year, this guy stinks. In his twelve starts last season, he got only one win and had a 4.03 GAA and .893 save percentage. When these teams played in San Jose on October 27th, the Leafs came back from down 3-1 to force overtime but the Sharks got the 4-3 win at home. I like the Leafs to win here but the moneyline at -350 is way too expensive. I will lay some juice on the Leafs in regulation for 1.5 units along with a unit on the Leafs TT over 3.5. I’d lean the game over but not enough to bet on it.

Blackhawks vs. Oilers (9:30)

The Blackhawks have been horrendous. Coming off a 7-2 loss to the Jets on Sunday (easy double winner for me) they’re now on a seven game losing streak with only two wins in their last 15 games to tank down to 6-11-4 on the season. They’re easily a lottery team this year and I’m sure Patrick Kane will get dealt at the deadline. They’ve struggled pretty badly on both ends of the ice. The Oilers have won their last two games, coming off a big 4-3 overtime win at home against the Panthers on Monday. That game had a fantastic third period that saw four goals to bring the over back to life for me (winner) with Evan Bouchard scoring the tying goal with just 4.4 seconds left in regulation to force OT and Leon Draisaitl scoring the game winner just 22 seconds into overtime in a game they outshot Florida 40-28. Edmonton has had their own struggles and they’re 12-10 on the season. They have two of the best offensive players in the world in McDavid (who leads this NHL with 39 points) and Draisaitl but they’ve don’t have much depth behind those two and they’ve struggled defensively all season. The Oilers are projected to start Jack Campbell tonight, who’s struggled a lot this season with a 4.04 GAA and .875 save percentage in his twelve starts this year. The first time these teams played this season, in Chicago on October 27, the Oilers got the win 6-5 with Leon Draisaitl scoring the game winner with just 38 seconds left in regulation in a game that was way more entertaining than I expected with both teams trading goals and neither ever having more than a one goal lead. I’d lean the Oilers win again tonight but with how inconsistent they’ve been, I don’t think they’re worth the -225 price. I do like both teams to score though and I’ll go with a unit on the over in this game.

Game Bets

1.5u Sabres TT over 3 (-127)

1u Red Wings/Sabres over 6.5 (-140)

.5u Sabres ML (+115)

1.5u Maple Leafs in regulation (-180)

1u Maple Leafs TT over 3.5 (-155)

1u Oilers/Blackhawks over 6.5 (-110) 

Futures

1u Boston Bruins – Stanley Cup Champions (+1000)

1.5u Boston Bruins – Stanley Cup Champions (+1100)

2u Vegas Golden Knights – Stanley Cup Champions (+1200)

1.5u Carolina Hurricanes – Stanley Cup Champions (+1300)

1u New Jersey Devils – Stanley Cup Champions (+1600)

Record: 154-140-2 (-14.42 units)


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