NHL Daily Gambling Preview – 12/1/22

I kept rolling last night on the NHL with my fifth profitable day in a row, going 5-1 to win 4.02 units, a goal short of sweeping the slate. Tonight we have a huge eleven game slate to keep cashing in the wins.

The fucking Leafs probably would’ve scored another goal to hit my team total and give me 2.5 unit win on that game instead of breaking even if they didn’t keep trying to get Mitch Marner touches to extend his point streak and tie Toronto’s franchise record (which he did as he scored the empty net goal to put the Leafs up 3-1) but can’t complain too much since they won in regulation to cash that one.

Sabres vs. Avalanche (7:00)

I’ll be in attendance tonight as the Sabres take on the defending Stanley Cup champions, which I don’t expect to be an easy win. Last night the Sabres got a 5-4 shootout win in Detroit after blowing a 4-1 lead in the third period but they finished with a win with a beautiful goal from Jack Quinn to end the game. The penalty kill that’s struggled big time was able to kill off seven penalties including a late 5 on 3 to keep the game tied and go to overtime. Buffalo’s now 10-12-1 on the season. We’ve been phenomenal offensively but have struggled mightily on the back end. The Avs are coming off a 5-0 shutout loss in Winnipeg on Tuesday where they got dominated but the champs have played good hockey with a 12-7-1 record and just three wins in their last eleven games. The Avs have played great on both ends of the ice. As much as I hate to say it, I don’t think the Sabres have a chance to win this game. Even though I’ll be in attendance, I’ll take the Avs in regulation for a unit and the over for half a unit.

Devils vs. Predators (8:00)

The Devils are incredible. They kept rolling with a 5-3 win in MSG against the Rangers on Monday for their third win in a row, improving to a very impressive 19-4 on the season. They’ve lead the NHL in expected goals and high danger scoring chances all season and have been fantastic defensively as well. The Preds are playing slightly better lately with a 5-1-1 record in their last seven games to improve to 10-9-2 on the season. This team hasn’t played great on either end of the ice. I’d expect New Jersey to win pretty easily tonight at home and will take them in regulation for 2 units.

Flyers vs. Lightning (7:00)

With the Islanders now showing up whatsoever and preventing me from sweeping Tuesday night’s slate, the Flyers got a 3-1 win at home against the Isles to end their ten game losing streak. This team blows again this season with an 8-10-5 record on the season and will likely be a lottery team. They’ve struggled on both ends of the ice with an abysmal offense and even with good play in goal from Carter Hart, Philly’s had their issues defensively in front of him as well. After coming from behind to beat the Sabres 6-5 on Monday night, the Lightning lost 3-1 in Boston on Tuesday to move to 13-8-1 on the season with just their second loss in their last eight games, both coming against the NHL leading Bruins. The first time these teams played this season on October 18th in Tampa, somehow the Flyers still riding hot on Torts taking over behind the bench got a 3-2 win. These are very different teams now and especially with Philly coming off a win on Tuesday. I’ll take the Lightning in regulation here to get a win on the road for 2 units.

Penguins vs. Golden Knights (7:00)

This is a fun cross conference matchup. The Golden Knights are still leading the Western Conference with a 17-6-1 but they needed a shootout to beat the Blue Jackets on Monday after losing back to back games on Friday and Saturday against the Canucks and Kraken at home. They’ve played fantastic hockey this season on both ends of the ice. The Penguins are coming off a 3-2 overtime loss on Thursday for their second loss in a row after going on a five game win streak. They’ve played good hockey offensively, but have struggled on the back end. Pittsburgh got shocking news yesterday that long time defenseman Kris Letang will be out indefinitely after suffering the second stroke of his career. Scary news. I’d lean the Golden Knights on the road and the over in this game but not enough to bet on either, so I will lay off this game. If I wasn’t going to the Sabres game and the Bills weren’t playing tonight I would definitely be tuning in to watch this game.

Wild vs. Oilers (8:00)

Last night the Oilers capped off my night with a big win on the over in their 5-4 victory in Chicago in a game that had six third period goals to once again bring the over back to life. Edmonton’s on a three game win streak but they haven’t been great this season. They’ve been good offensively with Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl leading the way with pretty lousy depth behind those two and they’ve struggled defensively. The Wild haven’t been excellent either with a 10-9-2 record with three wins in their last four games, coming off a 4-3 win against the Coyotes on Sunday. I’d lean the Wild win here at home in a pretty close, back and forth high scoring game but not enough to win on it. I do like the over a lot here though which I will take for a unit, expecting both teams to be able to score.

Blues vs. Hurricanes (8:00)

Both of these teams have underachieved from their preseason expectations. The Blues, coming off a 4-1 loss at home to the Blues on Monday have just one win in their last four games, which needed a hell of a comeback to beat the Panthers in overtime. They’ve been very streaky with an 11-11 record and haven’t played great on either end of the ice. Carolina’s won their last two games in a row to get off a five game losing streak, coming off a 3-2 overtime win in Pittsburgh on Tuesday, their fifth time going to overtime in their last seven games. They’ve played well defensively but their offense has struggled quite a bit. I’d lean the Hurricanes and the over in this game but neither enough to bet on so I’ll just lay off this matchup. 

Stars vs. Ducks (8:30)

The Ducks are by far the worst team in the NHL. They are on a three game losing streak, coming off a 2-1 overtime loss in Nashville on Tuesday and have just regulation win on the season, coming into tonight with a 6-15-2 record. This team blows on both ends of the ice. To make matters worse, backup Anthony Stolarz is confirmed in goal for the Ducks tonight and has sucked this season with a 3.75 GAA and .894 save percentage.  Dallas is pretty good this season with a 13-6-4 record, coming off a 4-1 win in St. Louis on Monday. They’ve over exceeded my expectations this season and have played really well on both ends of the ice. I love the Stars to win here but the price on this game at -315 is way too expensive. I’ll lay the juice here on Dallas in regulation for 1.5 units.

Flames vs. Canadiens (9:00)

The Flames ended a three game losing streak with a dominant 6-2 win (winner for me) on Tuesday night. They’ve underachieved this season with a 10-9-3 record, with decent offense thats run into a decent amount of lousy puck luck and sort of lousy defense and goaltending. The Habs are coming off a 4-0 shutout loss at home to the Sharks on Tuesday in a game I’m very glad I completely stayed off. They’ve improved a lot from last season with an 11-10-1 record this year but they’re not world beaters by any means. I’d lean the Flames win tonight at home and like them quite a bit tonight. The price on this game with a -286 moneyline isn’t even close to worth betting but I’ll take the regulation line here for half a unit. I’d slightly lean the under but not enough to bet it. 

Kraken vs. Capitals (10:00)

Tuesday night on the road in LA, the Kraken put on an excellent show in the most fun game to watch all year, beating the Kings 9-8 to extend their win streak to six games in a row. With an 11-1-1 record in their last 13 games, Seattle’s 14-5-3 on the season and sneaky really fucking good. They’ve improved immensely on both ends of the ice, playing fantastic offense this year and getting by on their defense. Backup Philipp Grubauer is confirmed to start in goal tonight for Seattle. He’s only started three games this season and has a 1-1-1 record with a 3.35 GAA and .870 save percentage in those starts. The Capitals have started to get healthier from all of their early season injury issues and coming off a 5-1 win in Vancouver on Tuesday, they’re 10-11-3 with three wins in their last four games. They’ve underachieved on both ends of the ice, which can easily be attributed to their injuries. I like the Kraken to keep the win streak going at home tonight and will take them for half a unit along with a unit on the over.

Canucks vs. Panthers (10:00)

The Canucks are coming off a 5-1 loss on Tuesday at home against the Capitals to end their three game win streak. After being horrendous to start their season, they’ve won five of their last seven games to improve to 9-11-3 on the year. They’ve played well offensively all season but have struggled defensively all season as well. The Panthers, coming off a 6-2 loss in Calgary on Tuesday are on a three game losing streak, dropping to 10-9-4 on the season, a far cry from the team that won the President’s Trophy a year ago. They’ve been really solid offensively but have struggled defensively. Both of these team have been able to score but have bled away goals which lines them up perfect for betting overs. I like the over in this game which I will take for 1.5 units.

Kings vs. Coyotes (10:30)

The Kings lost what was the most entertaining game of the year on Tuesday, losing 9-8 in overtime to the Kraken in a fantastic back and forth game. That was LA’s second consecutive overtime loss and they’ve only been able to muster up one win in their last six games, dropping them to 12-9-4 on the season. Their offense has improved a bit from last year but their defense and goaltending has definitely taken a step back. The Coyotes are easily a lottery team again this year with a 7-10-3 record but they’ve stayed competitive in games. They’re coming off a 4-3 loss in Minnesota on Sunday and have only one win in their last seven games. The Yotes suck on both ends of the ice. I’d lean the Kings win here at home tonight but at the price with how poorly they’ve played, I’ll just lay off this game.

Game Bets

1u Avalanche ML (-185)

.5u Avalanche/Sabres over 6.5 (-110)

2u Devils in regulation (-129)

2u Lightning in regulation (-132)

1u Wild/Oilers over 6.5 (-110)

1.5u Stars in regulation (-190)

.5u Flames in regulation (-167)

.5u Kraken ML (-120)

1u Kraken/Capitals over 6 (-110)

1.5u Canucks/Panthers over 6.5 (-140)

Futures

1u Boston Bruins – Stanley Cup Champions (+1000)

1.5u Boston Bruins – Stanley Cup Champions (+1100)

2u Vegas Golden Knights – Stanley Cup Champions (+1200)

1.5u Carolina Hurricanes – Stanley Cup Champions (+1300)

1u New Jersey Devils – Stanley Cup Champions (+1600)

Record: 159-141-2 (-10.4 units)


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