Another lousy day on the NHL yesterday, going 2-6 to lose 4.82 units. Two shitty days in a row. With tonight’s seven game slate I’ll be scaling back to try to win it back on the best plays.
Flyers vs. Capitals (7:00)
Both of these teams have struggled this season. The Flyers are 9-12-5, coming off a shocking 5-3 win against the Avalanche on Monday night (big loser for me), just their second win in their last 14 games. They have been one of the worst teams in the NHL in offensive production and have struggled defensively even with Carter Hart’s decent play in goal. The Capitals have been the most injured team of this season and aren’t all that great with an 11-12-4 record, coming off a 3-2 win in Edmonton on Monday night and they’ve played okay as of late with a 4-2-1 record in their last seven games. The Caps haven’t been all that great on either end of the ice this year. The first time these teams played this season on November 23rd in DC, the Capitals needed an Ovi game winner in overtime to beat the Flyers 3-2 in a game that they outshot Philly 32-23. I like Washington to win here on the road, not expecting the Flyers to get two wins in a row and will take them for half a unit.
Blue Jackets vs. Sabres (7:30)
The Sabres are coming off a 6-3 win at home on Sunday against the Sharks with the offense once again playing fantastic hockey and outshooting San Jose 38-29. Buffalo’s now 11-13-1 on the season. We’ve been really solid offensively but continue to struggle on the back end. The Blue Jackets are on the second half of a back to back after a 4-1 loss in Pittsburgh last night (winner for me). They’re a terrible team right now with only one win in their last six games to drop down to a miserable 8-14-2 on the season. Columbus was already one of the worst defensive teams in the NHL but now their offense is struggling as well. I like my boys to win at home tonight and will take the Sabres ML and Sabres team total over for half a unit each. I’d lean the over on the game but not enough to bet it with the last six Jackets game staying under due to their inability to score.
Flames vs. Wild (8:00)
The Wild have been riding hot lately. On Saturday they blew a 5-1 lead in the third period of their game in Dallas but ultimately got the 6-5 shootout win for their fourth straight win, improving to 13-9-2 on the season with just one loss in their last seven games. They’ve played much better offensively as of late, averaging 4.83 goals in their last six games. They still haven’t been great defensively either. After a 3-2 win against the Coyotes on Monday, the Flames have won three of their last four games to improve to 12-10-3 on the season but they’ve still struggled a bit this season. They’ve been underwhelming on both ends of the ice this season, especially since going into the season this team was my pick to win the Stanley Cup. I’d lean the Wild get a win on the road tonight to keep the win streak going and the over in what I think ends up being a pretty good, close game but not enough to bet on either. I’ll lay off this game.
Avalanche vs. Bruins (9:00)
The Bruins took their first home loss of the season on Monday night as they came back from down 3-0 to force overtime against the Golden Knights before losing in the fifth round of a scoreless shootout. Boston’s has had a historical start to their season coming into tonight’s game with a 20-3-1 record. They’ve lead the NHL as the best team in the league on both ends of the ice and I think at this point it’ll be a disappointment to Bruins fans if this team doesn’t win the Cup. Tonight they face the reigning Stanley Cup Champions. The Avs are coming off a disappointing 5-3 loss (big loss for me) in Philly on Monday and just have one win in their last four games dropping to 13-9-1 on the year. They have a ton of injuries right now and yesterday it was announced that they’ll be without Nathan MacKinnon out for a month as he’s out with injury as well. The Avalanche have played well on both ends of the ice but I’d expect all those injuries start to take their toll. When these teams played in Boston just four days ago, the Bruins dominated with a 5-1 win where they outshot Colorado 40-25. I like the Bruins to bounce back from their loss Monday with a win on the road tonight and will take them for half a unit.
Oilers vs. Coyotes (9:30)
The Coyotes are one of the worst teams in the league at 7-12-4 and come into tonight’s game on a five game losing streak with only one win in their last ten games after a 3-2 loss in Calgary on Monday night. They have played competitive hockey though, with a lot of their games lately being decided by just a goal. The Yotes haven’t been great statistically on either end of the ice but they stay in games. The Oilers are coming off a 3-2 loss to the Capitals on Monday and are 14-12 on the season. Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl have driven them to the have a great offense but behind those two there isn’t much depth. Edmonton’s also struggled quite a bit on the back end with really lousy goaltending. I’d expect the Oilers to win here but don’t think its worth betting on. I’d also lean the over but not enough to bet it. I’ll skip this game.
Golden Knights vs. Rangers (10:00)
In a preview of what could easily be the Stanley Cup finals this year on Monday night the Golden Knights gave Boston their first home loss of the season with a 4-3 shootout win. Bruce Cassidy and his Knights got out to a 3-0 lead early in the game against his former team and blew that lead with the B’s forcing overtime but they still ended up victorious as Reilly Smith scored the only goal in five rounds of a shootout to give Vegas the win. The Knights lead the Western Conference with a 19-7-1 record and they’ve played phenomenal hockey on both ends of the ice this year after missing the playoffs for the first time in their franchise history last year. The Rangers on the other hand have struggled immensely for a team that made a great run to the Eastern Conference finals last season. They’re coming off a much needed 6-4 win against the Blues on Monday and are 12-10-5 on the season. The Rags haven’t produced enough offensively and Igor Shesterkin isn’t playing to the insane level him and their defense were last year. I’d probably hammer this game (responsibly) if I wasn’t in a hole but I’ll still take the Golden Knights for a unit.
Sharks vs. Canucks (10:30)
The Canucks got a crazy 7-6 overtime win on Monday night at home against the Habs. They were down 4-0 in the first period, put came back with five straight goals to take a 5-4 lead. Montreal answering back with two goals late in the third but Vancouver scored the equalizer with just 1:25 left in the game to force OT and then just 13 seconds into overtime won on a goal from Elias Pettersson. Insane game. Vancouver hasn’t been great this season with an 11-12-3 record. They’ve played really well offensively but have struggled a ton on the back end. The Sharks, coming off a 6-3 loss in Buffalo on Sunday night are on a three game losing streak with only one win in their last seven games to tank down to 8-16-4 on the season. They’ve been pretty lousy on both ends of the ice. A few weeks ago on November 27th in the first game played between these two Pacific Division teams in San Jose, they played an entertaining back and forth game with the Canucks winning 4-3 in overtime. I’d lean the Canucks here and the over but not enough to bet on either of them. I’ll lay off this game completely.
.5u Capitals ML (-140)
.5u Sabres ML (-160)
.5u Sabres TT over 3.5 (-129)
.5u Bruins ML (-180)
1u Golden Knights ML (-130)
1u Boston Bruins – Stanley Cup Champions (+1000)
1.5u Boston Bruins – Stanley Cup Champions (+1100)
2u Vegas Golden Knights – Stanley Cup Champions (+1200)
1.5u Carolina Hurricanes – Stanley Cup Champions (+1300)
1u New Jersey Devils – Stanley Cup Champions (+1600)
Record: 177-164-2 (-27.08 units)
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