Slightly profitable night on the NHL yesterday, going 4-1 to win 0.7 units as I scaled back quite a bit. Let’s stack up two winning days with tonight’s five game slate.
Lightning vs. Predators (7:00)
The Predators started their season horrendously but have played much better as of late. Coming off a 4-1 win on Long Island last Friday, they’re on a three game win streak with a 7-1-1 record in their last nine games to improve to 12-9-2 on the season. Nashville’s offense has really struggled all season but their defense and the goaltending from Juuse Saros has improve a ton lately, to the same level that I expected them to going into the season. The Lightning are coming off a 4-2 loss to the Red Wings at home on Monday but have been great this year and could definitely compete for their fourth straight Eastern Conference championship. They’re 15-9-1 on the season with just three losses in their last eleven games. Tampa’s offense has been fantastic but they’ve struggled a bit defensively with shaky goaltending that you wouldn’t expect from Vasilevskiy. Additionally, tonight they have backup Brian Elliot confirmed in goal, who isn’t great. When these cross conference teams played on October 19th in Smashville, the Lightning got a 3-2 overtime win in a back and forth game where the Bolts outshot the Preds 39-32. I’d expect the Bolts to win against them again here at home but don’t think this game is worth betting on at the price of -186. I’d slightly lean the under as well but not enough to bet that, so I’ll just lay off this game.
Maple Leafs vs. Kings (7:00)
The Leafs are on a hell of a tear right now. Coming off a 4-0 shutout win in Dallas on Tuesday, Toronto’s picked up at least a point in each of their last twelve games going 12-1-4 in their last 17 games to come into tonight’s game with a 16-5-6 record on the year. They’re playing decent offense and have been fantastic on the back end with great goaltending from Samsonov. The Kings are coming off a 5-2 win in Ottawa on Tuesday but haven’t been great lately with only three wins in their last nine games to drop to 14-10-4 on the season. LA’s offense has been very good but they’ve struggled immensely on the back end. When these teams played in LA on October 29th, the Kings got. 4-2 win. I like the Leafs to keep their win streak going tonight and answer back with a win on home ice. I’ll take the Maple Leafs for half a unit.
Panthers vs. Red Wings (7:30)
This is an interesting matchup to me. The Red Wings have won their last two games, against the Lightning on Tuesday and Blue Jackets on Sunday, improving to 13-7-5 on the season, a big improvement for them from last year. The Panthers have taken a step back from their President’s Trophy winning season last year. Coming off a 5-2 loss in Winnipeg on Monday after 5-1 wins in Seattle and Vancouver, they’re 12-10-4 on the season. Both of these teams have been quite good offensively but have definitely struggled on the back end. I’d lean the Panthers win at home but don’t think they’re worth betting on at -200. I do like the over though, expecting both teams to score and will take it for half a unit.
Blues vs. Jets (8:00)
The Winnipeg Jets have flown under the radar playing some fantastic hockey this season. Coming off a 5-2 win against the Panthers on Tuesday, they’re 16-7-1 to lead the Central Division and only have one loss in their last six games. Winnipeg’s offense has been very good and their defense and goaltending has been superb. Connor Hellebuyck’s been one of the best goalies in the game and is confirmed in goal tonight. The Blues on the other hand, after giving the Avs the best series they faced in the playoffs last year have sucked this year with a 12-14 record. They’re coming off a big 7-4 win on Long Island on Tuesday to end their four game losing streak with just their second win in their last eight games. St. Louis’ offense has been decent enough but they’ve struggled immensely on the back end with bad defense and poor defense. They’ll be starting backup Thomas Greiss tonight. The first time these Central Division teams faced each other in Winnipeg on October 24th, the Blues got shut out with an easy 4-0 Jets win where the Jets poured it out, outshooting St. Louis 3-25. I’d expect a similar result tonight and I’ll take the Jets here for half a unit.
Stars vs. Senators (8:30)
Jason Robertson’s 18 game point streak came to an end on Tuesday as his Stars got shut out in a 4-0 loss at home to the Leafs, the second loss for Dallas in a row after Sunday’s 6-5 shootout loss to the Wild. The Stars are having a great season though with a 14-7-5 record. They’ve played fantastic hockey on both ends of the ice, really exceeding my expectations for them to be a wild card team on the brink of the playoffs. After a horrible start to the season, the Sens have played pretty well lately. They’re coming off a 5-2 loss to the Kings on Tuesday but they’ve four of their last six games to improve to 10-14-1 on the year. All season they’ve been pretty good offensively but have had plenty of issues defensively and can’t keep the puck out of their own net. On October 24th in Ottawa, with an action packed four goal third period after going into the second intermission with a 1-1 tie, the Senators beat the Stars 4-2. Dallas is the way better team in this game and they should answer back with a win at home tonight. I think the moneyline at -200 is too expensive but I will take the Stars in regulation for half a unit.
.5u Maple Leafs ML (-175)
.5u Panthers/Red Wings over 6.5 (-110)
.5u Jets ML (-125)
.5u Stars in regulation (-122)
1u Boston Bruins – Stanley Cup Champions (+1000)
1.5u Boston Bruins – Stanley Cup Champions (+1100)
2u Vegas Golden Knights – Stanley Cup Champions (+1200)
1.5u Carolina Hurricanes – Stanley Cup Champions (+1300)
1u New Jersey Devils – Stanley Cup Champions (+1600)
Record: 181-165-2 (-26.38 units)
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