Last week for conference championship weekend I went 5-7 to lose 2.12 units, dipping pretty much back to even on the season. This week let’s bounce back with one of the most special games every year, Army vs. Navy. The only game where guys playing on field are willing to die for those watching game.
With only one game for this week, I figured I’ll write a full breakdown of it. This is a pretty close matchup today at Lincoln Financial Field in Philly and these two teams have played very similar football all season.
The Army Black Knights are 5-6, coming off a 44-7 blowout win at UMass on October 26th. They’ve scored an average of 29.4 points per game this season and have allowed an average of 23. Their passing offense has been completely abysmal, averaging on 81.1 yards per game but they’ve run the ball well, averaging 304.4 yards per game on the ground. Defensively they haven’t been great. They’ve allowed an average of 172.3 passing yards and 193.5 rushing yards per game.
The Navy Midshipmen are 4-7 on the season, coming off a surprising 17-14 upset against UCF on November 19th. They have scored an average of 22.4 points per game while allowing an average of 24.7. Just like Army, their offense is pathetic, averaging just 91.4 yards in the air every game. They’ve been decent rushing the ball, averaging 239.5 yards rushing per game. Defensively, they’ve been pretty bad in the air, allowing an average of 270.4 yards passing per game but their rushing defense has been quite good, giving up an average of only 85.6 yards on the ground per game.
After Navy won 14 straight games between these teams, Army has since won four of the last six with Navy winning 17-13 last year at MetLife.
I’d expect Navy’s defense to shut down the Army running game with the passing offenses pretty much non existent for both teams and get the Midshipmen a win today at the Linc. I will take Navy -3 here for half a unit.
The under has hit in every one of the last 16 meetings between these teams. That makes sense since both teams rely heavily on the run game so this game flys by with very few passing yards with the clock continuing to tick down. Neither team is great offensively either, so I expect the under to hit again this year which is pretty much an auto bet, even at the very low number at 32.5. I’ll take the under for 1.5 units.
This game’s always so much fun to watch and I can’t wait to see it play out this season.
Go Navy, beat Army!
.5u Navy -3
1.5u Navy/Army under 32.5
Record: 208-203-10 (-0.03 units)
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