NHL Daily Gambling Preview – 12/23/22

Yesterday I finished the day 5-4 on the NHL, pretty much breaking even with a slight 0.02 unit profit. Tonight we have an eleven-game slate tonight before a three-day Christmas break. Let’s crush it and go into the break with a huge winning day!

Hurricanes vs. Flyers (7:00)

The Hurricanes are a fucking powerhouse. Coming off a 4-3 overtime win in Pittsburgh last night they’re on a seven game winning streak to improve to 21-6-6 on the season and in first place in the Metro Division. They’ve picked up at least a point in their 13 games and 16 of their last 17 games with wins in eleven of their last twelve. Their offense hasn’t been all that spectacular but they’ve been decent enough to win and their defense is elite, shutting down opposing teams. The Flyers ruined my puck line bet on the Leafs yesterday afternoon with a 4-3 loss in Toronto, but they’ve been horrible with just four wins in their last 22 games to tank down to 11-16-7 on the season. They’ve been pathetic on both ends of the ice. This should be a pretty easy win at home for the Canes going into the break. The first game between these teams this season was a 4-3 overtime win for the Canes in Philly on October 29th. I think the moneyline at -335 is pretty ridiculous and even the -200 juice on Carolina in regulation is expensive. I will take the Hurricanes ML parlayed with the Stars ML for 2 units (to win 1.5 units).

Devils vs. Bruins (7:00)

The Devils finally ended their six game losing streak on Wednesday night with a 4-2 win in Florida. Prior to that losing streak, the Devils had been phenomenal this season, coming into tonight’s game with a 22-9-2 record. They’ve been very good on both ends of the ice this year. The Bruins lead the NHL with an impressive 26-4-2 record. They’re coming off a 3-2 win against the Jets last night and are on a three game win streak picking up points in their last six games. Boston’s been the best team in the NHL defensively and the second best offensively, behind my Buffalo Sabres. The Bruins are unstoppable this season and even on the second half of a back to back, they should get a win tonight. I’ll take them for half a unit with one of the best prices we’ll see on the B’s all season. I’d lean the under but not enough to bet it.

Capitals vs. Jets (7:00)

Last night the Jets blew a 2-0 lead after the first period in Boston, losing 3-2. Winnipeg has been very good this season, in second place in the Central Division, trailing the Stars by a point with a 21-11-1 record. They’ve been very good on both ends of the ice this year. They’re projected to start David Rittich in goal tonight rather than their world class goaltender Connor Hellebuyck. The Capitals have played their best hockey of the season recently. Coming off a 3-2 overtime win in Ottawa last night, they’re on a three game win streak with eight wins in their last nine games to improve to 18-13-4 on the season. Washington has improved on both ends of the ice in that span. In the first matchup between these teams this season on December 11th, the Caps got a 5-2 win in Winnipeg. I think the Jets are the better team here but I’d slightly lean the Caps win and would slightly lean the under, but neither enough to bet on. I’ll stay off this game entirely.

Islanders vs. Panthers (7:30)

The Islanders have had a decent season so far, coming into tonight with an 18-14-2 record but they’ve struggled recently. Coming off a 5-3 loss at MSG against their rival Rangers last night, they’ve only picked up one win in their last six games. Overall they’ve been better than league average on both ends of the ice this season. The Panthers have struggled a bit too after winning the President’s Trophy last year. They’re 15-15-4 on the year, coming off a 4-2 loss at home to the Devils on Wednesday night 

The Isles are projected to start veteran goalie Cory Schneider in goal tonight. I don’t have a whole lot of faith in him. Florida’s been good offensively this season but they’ve struggled quite a bit on the back end. The Panthers won both prior games this season against the Isles, beating them 3-1 on Long Island on October 13th and 3-2 at home on October 23rd. With Schneider likely in goal and the Isles on the second half of a back to back, I like the Panthers to complete the season sweep at home tonight. I’ll go with half a unit each on the Panthers ML and the alternate over 6 in this game.

Stars vs. Canadiens (8:00)

Dallas has been very good this season. They lead the Central Division with a 19-9-6 record. They’re coming off a 6-3 loss to the Oilers at home on Wednesday and look to rebound tonight against a weak Habs team. The Stars have been quite good on both ends of the ice this year, impressing me from my preseason expectations for them to be a bubble team trying to make a wild card spot. Montreal’s improved quite a bit from their last place finish last year, coming into tonight’s game with a 15-15-3 record. They’ve struggled as of late though. Wednesday night, they lost 2-1 in overtime in Colorado and they only have one win in their last five games (in overtime in Arizona). The Habs have struggled on both ends of the ice this year. In the first game between these teams this season in Montreal on October 22nd was an easy 5-2 win for the Stars. The moneyline at -300 is way too expensive, but I’ll take my two unit parlay on the Stars ML with the Canes moneyline. Additionally, I’ll take the Stars in regulation for half a unit.

Predators vs. Avalanche (8:00)

Despite dealing with a ton of injuries, the Avalanche continue to win games as the Cup champs have improved to 18-11-2 on the season. Coming off a 2-1 overtime win against the Habs on Wednesday, they’re on a three game win streak with five wins in their last six games. Although they haven’t performed to the level they did to win the Stanley Cup last season, the Avs have been decent enough on both ends of the ice to keep winning. The Preds haven’t been great this season. They ended their six game losing streak with wins in their last two games against Chicago on Wednesday (4-2) and Edmonton on Monday (4-3 in OT) to improve to 14-13-4 on the season. Their defense and the goaltending from Saros has been pretty good but Nashville’s offense has been completely abysmal. The Avs won both prior matchups this season between these teams with a 5-3 win at home on November 10th and a 3-1 win at home on December 17th. I’d lean they win again on the road tonight but don’t think its worth betting on. I don’t expect many goals by either team in this matchup and will take the alternate under 6 for half a unit.

Blackhawks vs. Blue Jackets (8:30)

What a shitty matchup this is between two very bad teams this season. One of these teams will end long losing streaks tonight. The Blackhawks are the worst team in the NHL this year with a 7-20-4 record and they’ll only get worse at the deadline with Kane and Toews close to their way out of Chicago. Coming off a 4-2 loss in Nashville on Wednesday, they’re on an eight game losing streak with just one win in their last 17 games. Chicago’s been abysmal on both ends of the ice with the worst offense in the NHL and the fourth worst defensive play in the league. Columbus hasn’t been much better. They’re 10-20-2 and after a pathetic 5-3 loss to Philly on Tuesday, they’re on a five game losing streak of their own with only three wins in their last 14 games. Their offense has been pathetic and their defense is the second worst in the NHL. I’d slightly lean the Blue Jackets get a win on the road here and would lean the under, not expecting either team to score much but neither enough to bet on this garbage game. I’ll lay off it.

Oilers vs. Canucks (9:00)

Both of these Pacific Division teams have been a bit tough to figure out this year as they’ve underperformed. The Oilers are 18-14-2 on the season, coming off a surprising 6-3 win in Dallas on Wednesday night to end their three game losing streak. They have picked up points though in ten of their last 14 games. With the phenomenal play from two of the best players in the NHL in Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, the Oilers offense has been good but there isn’t a whole lot of depth behind them. Their defense and goaltending has been horrendous. The Canucks have been even worse. They’re coming off a 6-5 shootout win against the Kraken at home last night for their tenth win in their last 16 games, improving to a still lousy 14-15-3 on the season. Similar to Edmonton, Vancouver’s offense has been good but their defense and goaltending has been some of the worst in the NHL. Early in the season in the first matchup between these teams in Edmonton on October 12th, the Oilers got a 5-3 win against the Canucks. I’d lean that happens again here tonight but not enough to bet it. I do like the over a lot though. It’s set to 7, which I still think is insane but I’ll lay the juice and take the alternate 6.5 for a unit.

Coyotes vs. Kings (9:30)

I broke down this game in depth on StatSalt. As I wrote in that article, I’d lean the Kings get their fifth straight win and would lean the over. I just don’t see enough value to actually bet them. If LA wasn’t on the second half of a back to back I would definitely be jumping on the price for the Kings against Arizona but I’d rather just stay off this game.

Golden Knights vs. Blues (10:00)

This is a fun matchup out in Vegas tonight. The Golden Knights lead the Western Conference with a 23-11-1 record, coming off a 5-2 win against the Coyotes on Wednesday night (easy winner for me). They’ve been quite good on both ends of the ice this year. The Blues have been a very streaky team this season. They’re 16-16-1, coming off a 5-2 loss in Seattle on Tuesday that ended their four game win streak. The Blues offense has been good enough to win but their defense and goaltending has struggled quite a bit this year. St. Louis won the first matchup this season between these teams in Vegas on November 12th with a 3-2 win on the road. I’d expect the Knights answer back with a win at home tonight in the Fortress and will take them for half a unit. I’d lean the under in this game but not enough to bet it.

Ducks vs. Flames (10:30)

Last night the Flames took a 4-3 overtime loss to the Kings in LA. They came back from down 3-1 early in the third period but fell short in OT. They’re 15-12-7 on the season, far underachieving from my preseason expectations of them as my pick to win the Cup. Calgary has only picked up two wins in their last eight games but they’ve gotten at least a point in nine of their last eleven games. They’ve been good offensively this season but have been struggling on the back end. The Ducks have been one of the worst teams in the NHL with a 9-22-3 record. They’re coming off a 4-1 loss to the Wild on Wednesday (easy winner for me) and only have three wins in their last 13 games. Anaheim’s been absolutely horrible on both ends of the ice, with the second worst offense in the NHL and allowing the most goals in the league. I don’t think the Flames are worth betting on the ML at -225 but I’ll take a bit of a risk here with Calgary in regulation for half a unit. I’d lean the over but not enough to bet it.

Game Bets

2.06u parlay: Hurricanes ML & Stars ML (-137)

.5u Bruins ML (-120)

.5u Panthers ML (-125)

.5u Panthers/Islanders over 6 (-130)

.5u Stars in regulation (-175)

.5u Avalanche/Predators under 6 (-134)

1u Oilers/Canucks over 6.5 (-135)

.5u Golden Knights ML (-165)

.5u Flames in regulation (-134)

Futures

1u Boston Bruins – Stanley Cup Champions (+1000)

1.5u Boston Bruins – Stanley Cup Champions (+1100)

2u Vegas Golden Knights – Stanley Cup Champions (+1200)

1.5u Carolina Hurricanes – Stanley Cup Champions (+1300)

1u New Jersey Devils – Stanley Cup Champions (+1600)

Record: 218-199-5 (-33.54 units)


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