On yesterday’s huge 13 game slate I ended up going 9-6-1 on the night, but losing 0.74 units. For the first Sunday without football, we have a six game NHL slate today. Let’s bounce back and keep this solid run going.
Wild vs. Predators (2:00)
I expect this game to be a defensive battle with two teams that have struggled offensively but have been good on the back end. I broke it down in depth with my article on StatSalt. As I said in that article, I’d lean the Wild win here at home with the Preds in the second half of a back-to-back, but don’t think it’s worth betting on at the price over -200. I like the under though, and I’ll take the alternate under 6 here for a unit.
Senators vs. Blues (2:00)
This isn’t a great matchup. I wrote an article on StatSalt, breaking it down in depth. Like I said in that article, I like the Senators to win at home and will take them for half a unit (which I wish I would have locked in yesterday at -155). I also like the over in this game and will take the alternate over 6 in this game for half a unit too.
Avalanche vs. Oilers (3:00)
This should be a great game for the second rematch of the year of last season’s Western Conference Finals. In the first game, the Avs needed overtime but got a 3-2 win on the road in Edmonton on January 7th. The Avs are rolling right now, in third place in the Central Division with a 30-19-5 record. Coming off a 4-1 win (double winner for me) in St. Louis yesterday, they’ve won three of their last four games, picking up at least a point in all of them, with a 10-2-2 record in their last 14 games. Colorado hasn’t been great offensively but they’ve been elite defensively. The way the Oilers are set up is the opposite. Their defense and goaltending has been a struggled but their offense has been incredible, leading the league with the best two players in the NHL in McJesus and Draisaitl. They’re in a bit of a slump though right now. After blowing a 4-2 lead to the Rangers in the third period to lose 5-4 in a shootout on Friday night, they are on a three game losing streak with just one win in their last five games. With the Avs in the second half of a back to back, I’d slightly lean the Oilers bounce back from this losing streak, but not enough to bet on it. I’d also slightly lean the over but the best bet is to just stay off this one completely.
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs (6:00)
This is a huge mismatch here. When these teams played just a few days ago, the Leafs were the heaviest favorite we saw all season, beating the Blackhawks 5-2 at home and cashing in as -500 favorites. Tonight they’ve be significantly cheaper (still expensive though) on the road. Toronto’s having a great season. Coming off a 5-1 win at home agains the Habs yesterday with the new additions of Noel Acciari and Ryan O’Reilly, they’re 34-14-8 on the season and pretty much locked into a first round matchup against the Lightning again. They’ve been great on both ends of the ice, especially defensively this season. The Blackhawks on the other hand have been horrible, with a 17-32-5 record on the season. They’re coming off a 4-3 overtime win against the Senators on Friday night that ended a three game losing streak for them. Chicago’s been one of the worst teams in the league on both ends of the ice. Even in the second half of a back to back, I expect an easy win for the Leafs here so I’m loading up on this game with 2 units on the Leafs in regulation and 1.5 units on the Leafs team total over 3.5.
Devils vs. Jets (7:00)
I’d expect a really fun cross conference matchup in this game. Both of these teams are having great seasons. The Devils are in second place in the Metro Division and after a 5-2 win in Pittsburgh last night are 36-14-5 on the season with a 12-2-2 record in their last 16 games. They’ve been great on both ends of the ice this year. The Jets are second in the Central with a 34-20-1 record and will look to bounce back tonight from a shocking 3-1 loss in Columbus on Thursday. They’ve played well on both ends of the ice and with one of the best goalies in the NHL in Connor Hellebuyck, their defense has been elite. I’d slightly lean the Jets here just because the Devils are in the second half of a back-to-back but not enough to bet a side. I do like the under though and will take the alternate under 6.5 in this game for a unit.
Coyotes vs. Blue Jackets (8:30)
This is a pretty terrible matchup between two of the organizations tanking for Connor Bedard. The Coyotes are showing that organizations tank, players don’t. They coming into tonight’s game with a 19-28-9 record but after a 6-5 shootout loss in LA yesterday, where they came back from a 5-1 deficit to force overtime, they’ve picked up at least a point in each of their last eight games. The Blue Jackets are 18-34-4 but after a 4-1 win in Dallas yesterday (big double loser for me that swung my night to the negative), they’ve won three of their last four games in shocking fashion. In the first game these cross conference teams played this season, the Yotes got a 6-3 win in Columbus on October 25th. Both of these teams have been two of the worst in the league on both ends of the ice. I’d slightly lean the Coyotes in this game but not enough to bet it. I’ll stay off this one entirely.
Game Bets
1u Wild/Predators under 6 (-130)
.5u Senators ML (-175)
.5u Senators/Blues over 6 (-139)
2u Maple Leafs in regulation (-177)
1.5u Maple Leafs TT over 3.5 (-167)
1u Devils/Jets under 6.5 (-121)
Futures
1u Boston Bruins – Stanley Cup Champions (+1000)
1.5u Boston Bruins – Stanley Cup Champions (+1100)
2u Vegas Golden Knights – Stanley Cup Champions (+1200)
1.5u Carolina Hurricanes – Stanley Cup Champions (+1300)
1u New Jersey Devils – Stanley Cup Champions (+1600)
Record: 453-378-14 (-30.7 units)
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