NHL Daily Gambling Preview – 3/25/23

I went 2-2 last night on the NHL, losing 0.78 units in juice. After that small three game slate last night, we have a giant 15 game slate with almost every team in action. Let’s bounce back with some big wins!

Bruins vs. Lightning (1:00)

We start off the day with a great matchup between two of the top three teams in the Atlantic Division. The Bruins are easily the best team in the NHL, setting a record already for the fastest team to 50 wins and they’re projected to finish the year with the best record in the NHL history, as they come into today’s game with a 55-11-5 record and an even more impressive 29-3-3 record at home. Coming off a 4-2 win against the Habs on Thursday, they’re on a five game win streak. Boston is second in the NHL in scoring this season behind just the Oilers and they’re easily the best defensive team in the league. The Lightning are comfortably in third place in the Atlantic with a 42-25-6 record, with another first round matchup pretty much set against the Leafs, which I actually expect them to lose this year. They’re on a three game losing streak, coming off a 7-2 loss in Ottawa on Thursday night. Tampa has been just as fantastic offensively as they have been the last several years, but their defense (which is still good), took a significant step back, as evidenced by the seven goals they gave up on Thursday. This will be the fourth and final game of the regular season between these teams, with the B’s going 2-1 in those games, winning 5-3 in Tampa on November 21st, winning 3-1 at home on November 29th, but then losing 3-2 on the road on January 26th. I’d expect another Bruins win here and will take them for a unit.

Flyers vs. Red Wings (1:00)

Not a great game here with two teams FAR out of playoff contention in the East. The Flyers have been quite disappointing this season with a 27-32-12 record but they’ve kept winning lately, coming into today’s game on a four game point streak, going 3-0-1 in those games (and I lost on all four), coming off a 5-4 shootout win at home against the Wild on Thursday night. The Red Wings, coming off a 4-3 loss at home to the Blues on Thursday are 31-31-9 on the season. Detroit’s won just three of their last 14 games. Philly won both previous games between these teams this season, winning 2-1 on the road on January 21st and winning 3-1 at home on March 5th. Both of these teams have really struggled on both ends of the ice, but I’ve give a slight edge both offensively and defensively to the Red Wings. Despite that, I’d slightly lean the Flyers win at home as well as the over, but I’ll stay off this game completely. I won’t watch a minute of this one, but it might actually be a fun, yet shitty game.

Predators vs. Kraken (2:00)

This is an interesting Western Conference rematch from Thursday nights 2-1 shootout win for the Preds at home. The Kraken will try to answer back today as I broke down in depth in my article on StatSalt. As I said in that article, I’d slightly lean the Preds win at home again and dictate the pace of play to keep this game under, but not enough to bet on either. I’ll stay off this game entirely.

Kings vs. Jets (4:00)

This should be a fantastic game between two playoff teams in the West, the Kings and the Jets. Both previous games between these teams this season were electric wins on the road. I broke this game down in depth in my article on StatSalt and as I said there, I’d lean the Kings and the under. I think this is too close of a game to bet though, so I’ll just stay off it completely.

Flames vs. Sharks (4:00)

This isn’t a great matchup. The Sharks have the worst record in the NHL, coming into today’s game with an 19-38-15 record. After a 7-2 loss in Vancouver on Thursday, they’re on an eight game losing streak with just one win in their last 14 games. This team’s brutal on both ends of the ice. The Flames have been a disappointment this year, outside of the playoff picture with a 32-26-15 record. They’ve coming off a 3-2 loss at home to the Golden Knights on Thursday night. Calgary’s been alright defensively but they’ve been terrible offensively…but not nearly as terrible as San Jose. They won both previous games between these Pacific Division teams on the road in San Jose pretty easily, winning 5-2 on December 18th and 7-3 on December 20th. I’d expect them to win again pretty easily tonight at home. The moneyline at -315 is too expensive to me, but I’ll take them in regulation for a unit along with the over for half a unit.

Islanders vs. Sabres (5:00)

Last night the Sabres pulled off a great win at home, beating the Devils 5-4. We’re still outside of the playoff picture by six points with a 34-31-6 record, having won just two of our last ten games. Buffalo’s young offense has been fantastic this season but the defense has been horrendous. The Islanders hold the first Wild Card spot in the East with a 37-27-9 record. They’re coming off a 5-4 overtime loss in Columbus last night that ended a three game win streak for them. They play in the opposite style of the Sabres with lousy offense but fantastic defense and goaltending. These teams split both previous games in Buffalo this season, with the Sabres winning 3-2 in overtime (which I was in attendance for) on Ryan Miller night on January 19th and then the Isles answering back with a 3-2 win on March 7th. I’d lean the Isles win at home and the over in this game but not enough to bet on either with both of these teams in the second half of a back to back.

Panthers vs. Rangers (5:00)

I’d expect an awesome game here between these teams. The Panthers are one of the hottest teams in the NHL right now, sitting a point behind Pittsburgh for the second Wild Card spot in the East with a 36-29-7 record but they’re coming off two losses in a row after losing 6-2 at home to the Leafs on Thursday night (nice win for me on the over). Florida has once again been fantastic offensively this season but they’ve had plenty of struggles on the back end. The Rangers are coming off a huge 2-1 win in Carolina on Thursday night to improve to 42-20-10 on the season, comfortably in third place in the Metro Division. They’ve been great on both ends of the ice and the Rags have won five of their last six games with a 7-1-1 record in their last nine. The Rangers won both previous games between these teams by several goals, winning 5-3 in Florida on New Years Day and 6-2 at home in MSG on January 23rd. I’d give them the edge in this game defensively to get it done on the road and I see a good amount of value to betting them as a dog here, but not enough for me to actually bet it. The play I really like on this game is the over, which I’ll take for a unit.

Wild vs. Blackhawks (5:00)

The Wild let me down to start off Thursday night, losing 5-4 in a shootout in Philly. Minnesota’s been having a great season, in second place in the Central Division with a 41-22-9 record, just a point behind the Stars. They’ve gone 13-1-4 in their last 18 games. They have been fantastic defensively all season and although they’ve struggled offensively at many points this season, relying much more on the play of their defense, the offense has come alive lately, even without Karill the thrill in the lineup. The Blackhawks on the other hand sit on the opposite end of the Central Division standings, having a horrible season with a 24-41-6 record. They’re on a three game losing streak, coming off a 6-1 loss in Washington. This team’s god awful on both ends of the ice. Minnesota won both previous games between these teams this season, winning 4-3 in a shootout on the road in Chicago on October 30th and then 4-1 at home on December 16th. I’d expect this evening’s game to be closer to the latter and an easy win for the Wild. I can’t bet the -360 moneyline or even the -215 regulation line but I’ll take the Wild puck line for a unit. I’d slightly lean the under but not enough to bet it.

Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs 7:00)

Two great teams in this matchup. The Hurricanes lead the Metro Division with a 46-16-8 record, the second team to 100 points and to clinch a playoff spot this season. They’ve coming off a 2-1 loss at home to the Rangers on Thursday but have three wins in their last five games. The Leafs are comfortably in second place in the Atlantic Division with a 43-19-9 record and I expect them to finally beat Tampa in the first round of the playoffs. They’re coming off a 6-2 win in Florida on Thursday and have three wins in their last four games. Both of these teams have played great hockey on both ends of the ice, giving a slightly edge to Toronto offensively and a slight edge to Carolina defensively. The Leafs won both previous games between these teams winning 3-1 in Carolina on November 6th and 5-2 at home last Friday. I’d lean the Canes avoid a season sweep with a win on home ice tonight, but not enough to bet it. I’d also slightly lean the under since I think Carolina dictates the pace of play, but not enough to bet that either. I’ll lay off this game completely.

Stars vs. Canucks (7:00)

This is a pretty interesting matchup that although it doesn’t look it on paper could be a lot of fun. The Stars with a point lead over Minnesota, lead the Central Division with a 39-19-14 record on the season. They’re coming off a 3-2 win at home against the Penguins on Thursday night and have played really good hockey on both ends of the ice this season. Despite having a disappointing year, the Canucks are playing easily their best hockey of the season. Coming off a 7-2 blowout win at home against the Sharks on Thursday night (easy double winner for me), they improve to 32-34-5 on the season with eight wins in their last ten games. Vancouver’s been a solid offensive teams but they’ve struggled defensively a ton this year. Even with how much these teams are separated in the standings, the Canucks won both previous games between these teams this season, winning 5-4 in overtime in Dallas on February 27th and then winning 5-2 at home on March 14th. I’d lean the Stars answer back with a win on home ice tonight to avoid the season sweep but not enough to bet it, especially with the price on this game north of -200. I’ll stay off the side. I like the over a good amount though and will take the alternate over 6 here for a unit.

Canadiens vs. Blue Jackets (7:00)

This is such a shitty matchup and both these teams suck this season. The Blue Jackets are right in the Bedard sweepstakes with a 23-41-7 record this season. They’ve won their last two games in a row though, beating the Caps 7-6 in overtime on Tuesday and are in the second half of a back to back tonight after a 5-4 overtime win at home against the Islanders last night. The Habs are coming off a 4-2 loss in Boston on Thursday, falling to 23-41-7 on the season, in last place in the Atlantic Division. These teams split their first two games in Columbus, with the Blue Jackets winning 6-4 at home on November 17th and the Canadiens answering back with a 3-1 win on the road on November 23rd. Both of these teams have been horrible on both ends of the ice with the Habs having a edge both offensively and defensively. I’d lean they win tonight at home, especially with the Jackets in the second half of a back to back on the road but not enough to bet it. I do like the over though which I will take for half a unit.

Devils vs. Senators (7:00)

Last night the Devils comeback fell short in Buffalo, losing 5-4 to the Sabres. Although Jersey has only one win in their last six games, they’re still having a fantastic season with a 45-19-8 record. They’re in second place in the Metro Division, just two points back from Carolina and can clinch a playoff spot with a win tonight. The Devils have played excellent hockey on both ends of the ice. The Senators are coming off a huge 7-2 win at home against the Lightning on Thursday night but they’ve only won two of their last eight games, falling to 35-32-5 on the season. Ottawa’s been decent offensively this year, but they’ve struggled on the back end. The Devils won both previous games between these teams this season, winning 4-3 at home in overtime on November 10th and then 5-1 on the road on November 19th. Even in the second half of a back to back, I’d lean they win tonight at home to clinch a playoff spot and bounce back from their loss to the Sabres yesterday, but not enough to bet on them at the -200 price. I’d slightly lean the over but not enough to bet that either, so I’ll just stay off this game completely.

Penguins vs. Capitals (8:00)

Its always fun when these two Metro Division rivals face off. The Penguins are the better team this season with a 35-27-10 record with a point lead over Florida for the second Wild Card spot in the East. They’re struggling a bit right now though, with just one win in their last six games, coming off a 3-2 loss in Dallas on Thursday night. They’ve been decent offensively but inconsistent defensively. The Caps are coming off a 6-1 easy win against Blackhawks on Thursday night at home to end a three game losing streak, improving to 34-31-8, still four points back from Pittsburgh and likely out of a playoff spot. They’ve been decent defensively, but have struggled offensively a bit. Even though their seasons have likely different trajectories (unless neither team makes the playoffs with how much Florida is surging up the standings at the perfect time), these teams actually match up pretty evenly this year. These teams split their two previous games in Washington this season, with the Pens winning 4-1 on the road on November 9th and the Caps winning 3-2 in a shootout on January 26. I’d slightly lean the Penguins win on home ice tonight and would slightly lean the under, but not enough to bet either. I’ll just stay off this one.

Oilers vs. Golden Knights (10:00)

This should be a great game in Edmonton tonight between two of the top three teams in the Pacific Division. The Golden Knights lead the Western Conference with a 45-21-6 record. They’re on a three game win streak, coming off a 3-2 win in Calgary and they have just one loss in their last eight games. Vegas has played well on both ends of the ice. Edmonton’s in third place in the division with a 41-23-8 record. Coming off a 4-3 overtime win against the Coyotes at home on Wednesday night (electric finish in that one from none other than McJesus), they’re on a five game win streak with just one loss in their last eight games as well. Led by the best hockey player in the world in Connor McDavid, the Oilers offense is easily the best in the NHL, but they’ve been very inconsistent defensively. The Oilers won both previous games between these teams this season, both by 4-3 scores, at home on November 19th in overtime and then in regulation on the road in Vegas on November 14th. I’d slightly lean the Oilers win at home again but in no way should they be worth the -190 price on this game and I actually see way more value to betting the Knights as a dog, but the right play on a side in this matchup is none at all. I do like the over though and will take the alternate over 6.5 here for half a unit.

Ducks vs. Blues (10:30)

Shitty game to finish off the huge slate tonight. The Blues have had a disappointing season, coming into tonight’s game with a 32-33-6 record and they were big sellers before the deadline. They’ve played alright recently though, on a four game point streak, coming off a 4-3 win in Detroit on Thursday with a 5-2-1 record in their last eight games. St. Louis has been decent offensively this year, but they’ve really struggled on the back end. The Ducks are one of the worst teams in the NHL this season with a 23-39-10 record. They’re on a three game losing streak with just one win in their last six games, coming off a 3-2 loss at home to the Jets on Thursday night (winner for me on the Jets in regulation). Statistically Anaheim has been one of the worst teams in the league on both ends of the ice, especially defensively. The Blues won both previous games between these teams at home this season, winning 6-2 on November 19th and 3-1 on November 21st. I’d slightly lean the Blues complete the season sweep with a win on the road and the over in this game but not enough to touch this matchup from a betting perspective, so I’ll just lay off it.

Game Bets

1u Bruins ML (-170)

1u Flames in regulation (-186)

.5u Flames/Sharks over 6.5 (-120)

1u Panthers/Rangers over 6.5 (-130)

1u Wild -1.5 (-141)

1u Star/Canucks over 6 (-130)

.5u Canadiens/Blue Jackets over 6.5 (-110)

.5u Oilers/Golden Knights over 6.5 (-143)

Futures

1u Boston Bruins – Stanley Cup Champions (+1000)

1.5u Boston Bruins – Stanley Cup Champions (+1100)

2u Vegas Golden Knights – Stanley Cup Champions (+1200)

1.5u Carolina Hurricanes – Stanley Cup Champions (+1300)

1u New York Rangers – Stanley Cup Champions (+1300)

1u New Jersey Devils – Stanley Cup Champions (+1600)

Record: 613-514-24 (-64.62 units)


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