I completely broke even, hitting my bigger play but going 1-2 on last night’s boring NHL slate. Kind of a small slate for a Tuesday night with just seven games on the board tonight, let’s crush it!
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche (7:00)
Kind of an interesting cross conference game here to start off the night with both of these teams underperforming through the first month and a half of the season. The Leafs won the first game between these teams 6-3 on the road a month ago and I like the Avs to answer back here on the road. I’ll take Colorado for half a unit. I’d lean the over, but not enough to bet it with both teams trending under recently.
Canadiens vs. Wild (7:00)
Great cross conference matchup. Both of these teams have played very good hockey though the starts of their seasons. I like the Wild are the slightly better team here, and I’d slightly lean they win on the road, but I didn’t even consider betting it. I do like the over though, which I’ll take for half a unit.
Senators vs. Capitals (7:00)
Fun game here in the East. These teams have both played very well this year, a bit of a surprise to me for Ottawa, but just as expected for the Caps. Washington’s clearly the better team and I like them to get the win here on the road, which I’ll take for a unit at a pick’em. I also like the over, which I’ll take for half a unit.
Jets vs. Devils (7:00)
Lot of drama in this cross conference reference, as Connor Hellebuyck returns to Winnipeg for the first time after this summer’s ordeal with him requesting a trade that went on and on from the Jets. He won’t be playing tonight though, which got announced in a statement this weekend by Devils GM Sunny Mehta. Although I thought that was quite weird that he released a whole thing on it, I do agree with the organization that “in our estimation, playing in this game would potentially give us a reduction in our expected win probability.” I think they should have just let him play tonight to close out this whole situation, but from a hockey perspective alone, it makes sense. For a goalie after going through that headache and a half for the last five months, theres no chance he has his head completely into just playing the game going right back to Winnipeg. Jake Allen has been fine with the best defense in the league thats giving up the fewest expected goals in the league. So all the bullshit of Connor going back to Winnipeg, better off just sitting him that game, especially with how hot the Devils have been. Outside of that drama, this is a pretty lousy mismatch. Jersey looks like a Cup contender while the Jets blow. I still like the Devils to win here on the road and I’ll take them for a unit. I’d lean the under, but not enough to bet it.
Blue Jackets vs. Panthers (7:30)
Big mismatch here in the East despite the Panthers struggling a bit their last few games. Florida’s the way better team here and in the first game between these teams on the road, the Panthers blew out Columbus 7-3. I like them to win again here on the road and I’ll take them for a unit. I’d lean the under, but not enough to bet it at 5.5.
Blues vs. Red Wings (8:00)
This isn’t a great cross conference matchup. Neither of these teams have been good this year, especially struggling offensively. In the first game between them in Detroit on Halloween, the Blues came back from a 4-2 deficit in the third period to come back and win 5-4 on the road. I’d lean the Blues win here again at home, but not enough to bet it. I’d lean the user slightly, but not enough to touch that either at 5.5, so I’ll stay off this game entirely.
Kings vs. Predators (10:00)
Lousy game in the West to close out the night. I don’t think either of these teams are great, but the Preds come into tonight on a four game win streak and have been playing decent hockey lately. I’d lean they win here on the road, with the Kings looking awful, but I don’t think it’s worth betting on. The total’s a toss up, so I’ll lay off this game completely too and have my night finish early.
Bets
.5u Avalanche ML (-170)
.5u Wild/Canadiens over 6.5 (+105)
1u Capitals ML (-110)
.5u Capitals/Senators over 6.5 (-102)
1u Devils ML (-145)
1u Panthers ML (-120)
Regular Season Record: 169-133 (+8.47 units)
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