Valero Texas Open – Gambling/DFS Preview 2021

TPC San Antonio, Oaks Course – San Antonio, TX

Course Breakdown

7435 yard, Par 72, Greg Norman design (with Sergio Garcia), overseeded Bermuda grass throughout, plays very long, the Par 5s are long, all of them around 600 yds with only one reachable in 2 by most golfers (Par 5s here play the hardest of any course on tour), 3 of the Par 3s are between 150-175 yds, 58 bunkers and water hazards on 3 holes, very hard to hit narrow tree lined fairways (~56%) with large bunkers in play, native areas will be very hard to get out of if you miss the fairways, very hard to hit greens (~56%), average speed greens that are multitiered with lots of undulation, closely mowed edges of greens (like Augusta), it can get very windy here

Tournament Notes

  • There isn’t as much of a difference between SG: OTT and Approach as there usually is, so you need to be good off the tee here and SG: OTT becomes more influential the higher the finish
  • Last chance to get into The Masters by winning this tournament, this is only the second year that it’s been the tournament the week before The Masters
  • One of the 10 hardest courses on tour
  • Besides Landry in 2018 who didn’t play the year before he won, the last 5 winners have a T30 the year before here
  • Last 3 winners here were 1st, 1st and 2nd in SG: Approach for the week
  • Besides Ben An, everyone that finished T10 in 2019 had played the year previous (and of those 13 golfers, only Scott Brown had MC’d the previous year)

Key Stats

SG OTT, Driving Distance, SG Approach, Ballstriking

Main proximity distance range on approach: 150-175 yds.


144 players, better strength field than expected

Defending Champion (2019): Corey Conners (-20)

Runner Up Last Year (2019): Charley Hoffman (-18)

One and Done: Corey Conners

Alternate: Cameron Champ


Corey Conners: 9500: +2000 – Defending champ and T26 the year before, 1st in ballstriking, 3rd in SG: Approach, 4th in SG: OTT, 2nd in SG: T2G, 5th in Par 5 scoring, 4th in opportunities gained, 7th and 3rd in his last 2 events

Charley Hoffman: 9200: +2800 – Last 5 years here, 2,T64,T40,1,T11, 2nd in SG: Total here the last 5 years, 8th in ballstriking, 8th in SG: Approach, 16th in SG: OTT, 13th in SG: T2G, 18th in driving distance, 23rd in proximity 175-200 yds, 4th in opportunities gained, 1st in Par 3 scoring 150-175 yds, has played pretty well recently

Cameron Davis: 8800: +3300 – 4th in ballstriking, 5th in SG: OTT, 18th in SG: Approach, 14th in SG: T2G, 13th in driving distance, 14th in Par 5 scoring, 29th in proximity 150-175 yds, 7th in proximity 175-200 yds, 3rd in opportunities gained, 32nd in Par 3 scoring 150-175 yds

Keegan Bradley: 8400: +4000 – 2nd in SG: Approach, 3rd in ballstriking, 3rd in SG: T2G, 12th in SG: OTT, 3rd in Par 5 scoring, 9th in proximity 150-175 yds, 22nd in proximity 175-200 yds, 7th in opportunities gained, 36th in SG: ARG

Sam Burns: 8000: +4000 – 7th in ballstriking, 9th in SG: OTT, 16th in SG: Approach, 18th in SG: T2G, 17th in Par 5 scoring, 8th in driving distance, 2nd in opportunities gained, 2nd in Par 3 scoring 150-175 yds, 6th in putting (not looking into this stat much)

Jhonnattan Vegas: 7400: +8000 – 2nd in SG: OTT, 10th in driving distance, 22nd in ballstriking, 25th in SG: T2G, 10th in Par 3 scoring 150-175 yds, 36th in opportunities gained

Cameron Champ: 7000: +10000 – 1st in SG: OTT, 1st in driving distance, 20th in ballstriking, 11th in opportunities gained, 32nd in Par 3 scoring 150-175 yds

Luke List: 7000: +12500 – WD last week in Punta Cana which is some concern, 3rd in SG: OTT, 4th in driving distance, 9th in ballstriking, 9th in SG: T2G, 7th in Par 5 scoring, 8th in opportunities gained

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