AT&T Byron Nelson – Gambling/DFS Preview 2021

TPC Craig Ranch – Dallas, TX

Course Breakdown

Par 72, 7468 yards, 6 of the Par 4s are over 450 yards, 3 of the Par 3s are over 216 yards, all four Par 5s are driveable as well as the 330 yard Par 4 14th, Zoysia grass (most prevalent in Asia and Australia) fairways, trees and bunkers in play off the tee and water is in play on 13 holes with a creek running through a majority of the course, above average sized bent grass greens with bunkers in play, looks like its going to be an easy birdiefest

Tournament Notes

  • First year this event is being held here at TPC Craig Ranch, used to be held at Trinity Forest Golf Club and TPC Four Seasons prior to that
  • This event was cancelled last year due to the coronavirus pandemic
  • This course previously hosted the Nationwide Tour Championship (now Korn Ferry Tour) in 2012 (James Hahn and Adam Hadwin came 2nd and 3rd that week) and 2008 (Leishman came T7)

Key Stats

SG: OTT, SG: Approach, SG: T2G (I generally go with more generic stats on new courses)

Main proximity distance range on approach: 175+ yards

Field

156 players, pretty decent field

Defending Champion (2019 at Trinity Forest): Sung Kang (-23)

Runner Up Last Year (2019 at Trinity Forest): Matt Every, Scott Piercy (-21)

One and Done: Bryson DeChambeau

Alternate: Will Zalatoris

One and Done Considerations: Bryson, Rahm, Zalatoris

Players

Jon Rahm: 11000: +875 – 1st in SG: T2G, 3rd in SG: OTT, 4th in approach, 31st in SG: ARG (18th in last 50 rounds), 21st in Par 4 scoring 450-500 yds (10th in last 50 rounds), 5th in proximity 175-200 yds, 4th in proximity 200+ yds (2nd in last 50 rounds), 31st in Par 4 scoring under 350 yds (26th in last 50 rounds)

Daniel Berger: 10100: +1800 – 13th in SG: T2G (10th in last 50 rounds), 15th in SG: OTT (10th in last 50 rounds), 9th in approach, 13th in Par 4 scoring 450-500 yds, 11th in proximity 175-200 yds, 15th in proximity 200+ yds, 2nd in Par 4 scoring under 350 yards, 3rd in putting

Will Zalatoris: 9700: +2200 – 4th in SG: T2G, 1st in approach, 29th in SG: OTT (24th in last 50 rounds), 30th in Par 4 scoring 450-500 yds (21st in last 50 rounds), 14th in proximity 175-200 yds (3rd in last 50 rounds), 16th in proximity 200+ yds (5th in last 50 rounds)

Sergio Garcia: 9000: +4500 – 7th in SG: T2G, 2nd in SG: OTT, 39th in approach, 40th in SG: ARG, 7th in proximity 200+ yds, 31st in Par 4 scoring under 350 yards

Carlos Ortiz: 7800: +6600 – 26th in SG: T2G, 22nd in SG: OTT, 4th in SG: ARG, 25th in Par 4 scoring 450-500 yds, 41st in proximity 175-200 yds, 11th in proximity 200+ yds, 29th in putting

Doug Ghim: 7500: +7000 – 9th in SG: T2G (5th in last 50 rounds), 34th in SG: OTT (30th in last 50 rounds), 3rd in approach, 25th in SG: ARG in last 50 rounds, 6th in Par 4 scoring 450-500 yds, 1st in proximity 175-200 yds, 11th in Par 4 scoring under 350 yards (9th in last 50 rounds), terrible at putting so needs to have a hot putting week

James Hahn: 7100: +12500 – 2nd place here in 2012 for the Nationwide Tour Championship (not putting too much stock into this), 36th in SG: T2G, 32nd in approach, 4th in Par 4 scoring 450-500 yds, 24th in proximity 175-200 yds, 9th in putting

All stats based on last 36 rounds unless otherwise noted


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