With wins in their final three games of the regular season, the Colorado Avalanche finished the season winning the President’s Trophy as the top overall seed in the NHL. Home ice throughout the playoffs will run through Denver for as long as the Avs are in it. The St. Louis Blues limped into the playoffs after a somewhat disappointing season only two seasons removed from winning their Stanley Cup.
Colorado’s one of the best teams in hockey and have the offense talent to win the Stanley Cup. It’s going to be difficult for any team to beat these guys. They struggled with a lot of injuries throughout the season but they’re a scary team to play when they are healthy. That first line of MacKinnon (who I think is easily a top 3 player in the NHL with McDavid and Crosby), Rantanen and Landeskog is the best in all of hockey.
Coming into the playoffs, the Avs are on a hot streak of five straight wins and eight wins in their last nine games. They actually had something to play for after they clinched their place in the playoffs so they’re in form and didn’t rest their stars in the last week of the season like a lot of the other playoff teams with nothing to play for did.
Colorado led the NHL in goals scored in the regular season with 197 goals, averaging an impressive 3.52 goals per game on an also impressive average 34.6 shots per game. This team gets pucks on goal and capitalizes on scoring opportunities. They’re also pretty good defensively and they’re third in the NHL in goals against, averaging 2.36 goals allowed on a low 25.4 shots allowed on average. So even though Grubauer isn’t the best goalie in the NHL, their defense steps up and keeps the puck from not going in the back of the net. The Blues are pretty much league average on both ends of the ice.
On the season, the Avs are 5-3 against the Blues with a wide range of results from game to game. I think the Blues might win a game or two of this series but Colorado’s a force and I can’t see them not getting out of this round in six games or less.
I have a nicely priced 2 unit future on Colorado to win the Stanley Cup from earlier this season at +650. They’re now the NHL favorite at +400. The price on the series at -500 is RIDICULOUS. No chance I’m betting that. I will take Colorado to win this series in six games or less for 2 units. Since the prices are pretty nice on these props, I’ll do a unit each on the Avs to win the series 4-0, 4-1 and 4-2. At their prices, that would mean I’d make a profit of 2.5 units if they sweep the Blues, a unit if they win the series in 5 games or 2 units if they win it in six games, in addition to the six games or less prop that would cash with any of those results.
For Game 1 I’m on the Avs in regulation for 2 units. Go Avs Go!
2u Colorado to win series in 6 or less games (-190)
1u Colorado to win series 4-0 (+450)
1u Colorado to win series 4-1 (+300)
1u Colorado to win series 4-2 (+400)
2u Game 1: Colorado in regulation (-190)
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