With some bad breaks, ended up breaking even last night but lost my Jets series bet for 2.86 units. The Habs swept the Jets so at least I was able to get some of that back, although that game going to overtime, losing my regulation bet. The Habs sweeping the Jets to be the first team to get to the semifinals was impressive with how bad their regular season was, but they’re going to get fucking steamrolled the next round by whoever comes out of the West between Colorado or Vegas. The over on the Bruins game came very easy but the Isles winning while getting outshot by the B’s 44-19 was a kick in the dick and bad officiating was partially to blame for that. Tonight the Lightning try to end the Central Finals and Knights and the Avs battle it out in what’s now a best of three series.
Game 5: Hurricanes vs. Lightning (6:30)
The Bolts had a great come from behind win on Saturday afternoon, scoring four unanswered goals to win 6-4 and take a commanding 3-1 series lead at home. Tonight they look to close out this series on the road in Carolina. I think they end this series tonight. Kucherov and Stamkos, who each had two goals and two assists on Saturday are too much for Carolina to shut down and Tampa has the better goal in Vasilevskiy. I’ll take the Lightning to close out this series today for a unit with a half unit on the puck line. If Carolina’s down in the third period there might be a lot of time with the empty net. In a non-elimination game scenario, I’d lean the under in this game but I’ll lay off it tonight. Let’s Go Bolts!
Game 5: Avalanche vs. Golden Knights (9:00)
This series is turning into a fantastic series as we anticipated it to be. Both teams won both their games at home and this seven game series is now a best of three. Going into this series, I thought Colorado would be the better team and have the edge in this series but after getting shit kicked in Game 1, I think Vegas has the better team the last three games including in the Game 2 loss on the road. Regardless of who wins this series, I think they both crush Montreal in the semifinals to get to the Stanley Cup and that these are the two best teams in hockey. I think Vegas has the chance to take a 3-2 series lead here on the road and there’s value to it at +120, but I’m not betting it since I think Colorado will be playing in more desperation mode for a win at home after losing 5-1 in the Fortress in Game 4. I have futures on both these teams to win the Cup so I’ll just sit back and enjoy this game as a fan of hockey with these teams showcasing the best the NHL has to offer. I’d lean the under but I’m not betting it.
1u Tampa ML (-122)
.5u Tampa -1.5 (+215)
2u Tampa (-140)
2u Stanley Cup Champions: Vegas Golden Knights (+700)
2u Stanley Cup Champions: Colorado Avalanche (+650)
1u Stanley Cup Champions: New York Islanders (+1300)
1.5u Stanley Cup Champions: Boston Bruins (+900)
2u East Division Champions: Boston Bruins (+180)
Record: 349-267-2 (-31.09 units)