Had a great night yesterday, going 7-2 (+3.6u) with the two losses only being by a goal. Saw the board great. Tonight, a decent four game NHL slate to get back to even on the season.
Maple Leafs vs. Sharks (6:00)
Both backups in goal tonight in this backup with Adin Hill getting the nod for SJ and Hutchinson in goal for the Leafs. The Sharks are overachieving thus far this season with three straight wins to open the season. The Leafs are 2-2 and in typical Toronto fashion, have been pretty disappointing in all four of those games, only averaging 2 goals per game. Toronto should get the win here, but I have no trust to bet them, especially at the way too high price of -250, so I’m skipping this game.
Sabres vs. Bruins (7:00)
My Buffalo Sabres have been fun to watch in their three games with wins over Montreal, Arizona and Vancouver. They’ve looked pretty good in those game, averaging 3.67 goals per game and only allowing 1.33. None of those teams are as good as the big bad Bruins, who come to town. The Bruins opened their season with a lock down win against Dallas 3-1 and then lost to the Flyer 6-3 on Wednesday night where they actually played pretty solid and outshot the Flyers 40-25. The B’s have historically dominated Buffalo and I don’t see the Sabres making it four wins in a row to start the year. In addition, this is a revenge game with Linus Ullmark, who at one point was a possibility of Buffalo’s future in goal starting for the B’s. Buffalo is starting the old man Craig Anderson, who sucks. The Bruins ML is a bit too expensive for me and I don’t think this game ends up going to overtime anyway, so I’ll take Boston in regulation for a unit.
Stars vs. Kings (8:30)
Over the past few years, betting unders on the Dallas Stars has been one of the most profitable spots in hockey. Their defense locks down the teams they play against and they’ve had solid goaltending and their offense doesn’t generate enough to push games over the 5.5 that the OUs are set on. This season seems to already be going in that same direction, with it going 4-0. The Stars have only averaged 1.75 goals per game while allowing 2.25. So that trends to the under. The Kings have gone under in their two losses to Nashville and Minnesota, and going over in their surprising 6-2 win over Vegas in their opener (a game I feel was an outlier offensively for them and defensively for Vegas). I’m sticking with the under trend here and going with a unit on that. I don’t expect much from either of these teams offensively. I think the Stars are the better team here and should win in a low scoring game, but nothing statistically or game play wise this early in the season backs that up, so I’ll lay off betting either side of the matchup and just stick to the under.
Golden Knights vs. Oilers (10:00)
The injury bug has hit Vegas early this season with Mark Stone, Max Pacioretty, Alec Martinez and Mattias Janmark all out and the Knights disappointingly starting the season 1-2. The Oilers offense is firing at all cylinders with Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl picking up where they left off last year as two of the most talented guys in the NHL. Edmonton’s looking for their fifth straight win to open the season tonight on the second leg of a back to back after crushing Arizona 5-1 last night. The Oilers have averaged an impressive 4.5 goals per game while allowing 2.5. Vegas has done pretty much the opposite, scoring an average of 2.33 and allowing an average of 4. The Golden Knights will be the biggest test that the Oilers have faced so far this season and even without those four key players in the lineup, Vegas at home in the Fortress with Robin Lehner in goal is tough for any team in the NHL to go up against. I’d slightly lean the Oilers and the over here, but I’m not betting any side of this matchup. There’s too many different results that could come from how this game ends up flowing.
1u Bruins in regulation (-141)
1u Dallas/LA under 5.5 (-134)
Record (Regular Season): 24-19 (-2.5 units)