Broke even last night going 3-3. The Flyers got crushed by the Leafs in a 3-0 shutout at home, the Nashville Preds beat Dallas pretty easily although the under missed on an empty net goal with just 43 seconds remaining in the game and then the Minnesota Wild blew out the Yotes 5-2 to close out the night with a double winner. Not a bad night. Tonight there’s a huge eleven game NHL slate!
Bruins vs. Oilers (7:00)
The Oilers are coming into this game off a disappointing 4-2 loss to Detroit on Tuesday night. Edmonton still leads the league in offense, averaging 4.18 goals per game, lead by the top two scoring players in the NHL (McDavid and Draisaitl). This team can score at will and their power play is deadly, capitalizing on an insanely high 46.9% of their chances (by far the best in the NHL). So they’re scoring most of their goals on the PP and not 5 on 5. The Bruins have won three of their last four games and have won their last five games at home at TD Garden. The B’s are scoring a low average of 2.7 goals per game and allowing an average of 2.8 goals per game. I’d expect this to be a pretty close game. If the Oilers dictate play it’ll be a high scoring contest that Edmonton likely wins and if the B’s dictate play and they stay out of the box it’ll be more of a defensive game that the Bruins win. I’ll skip this game entirely but it should be a fun one to watch.
Canadiens vs. Flames (7:00)
The Habs have sucked this season. They’re second worst in the league in scoring, averaging just 2 goals per game, only better than the Arizona Coyotes and they’re not much better defensively, fifth worst in the NHL, allowing an average of 3.43 goals per game. Calgary’s having a great season but they’re coming into this game with three losses in their last four games including a 4-1 loss at home to the SJ Sharks on Tuesday night. The Flames are sixth in the NHL, averaging 3.42 goals per game. Jacob Markstrom has been one of the best goaltenders in hockey this season and they’ve been allowing an average of just 2.17 goals per game, second best in the NHL. This feels like the perfect “get right” spot for the Calgary. I’ll take the Flames ML for a unit and the puck line for half a unit.
Senators vs. Kings (7:00)
These teams couldn’t be coming into this game on more opposite streaks. LA’s on a six game heater after starting the season 1-6. Ottawa is on a five game losing streak and have only won one game in their last nine games. Not good. Ottawa isn’t scoring, they’re fifth worst in the NHL, averaging just 2.5 goals per game. They’ve been bad defensively too, third worst in the league, allowing 3.58 goals per game. LA hasn’t scored much either, averaging 2.69 goals per game, even though they’re getting a ton of shots (34.54 shot per game, sixth in the NHL). The Kings have been very good defensively, allowing a seventh best 2.62 goals per game. I like the Kings to win this game to continue their winning streak and Ottawa’s losing streak, especially with eight players on the Sens out tonight in COVID protocol. I’ll take LA for a unit here. I’d lean the under here as well but I’ll skip it tonight.
Devils vs. Islanders (7:00)
This is an interesting game to me. The Devils are coming into this game off a shocking 7-3 win over Florida at home on Tuesday night. They’re 6-3-2 and averaging 2.91 goals per game and allowing 2.91 goals per game. Pretty much right in the middle of the pack on both of those. The Isles have one of the best defenses in all of hockey and top notch goalies. They’re fifth best in goals allowed per game, allowing an average of just 2.4 goals per game. They haven’t scored much though, averaging just 2.7 goals per game. I think the Isles are the better team here but I don’t really see any edge in betting it. I sort of like the under, but not enough to bet on it. Skipping this game.
Penguins vs. Panthers (7:00)
Florida had a great start to the season, looking like the best team in hockey with their 10-0-1 start but they come into this game off back to back losses where they got killed 7-3 against the Devils on Tuesday night and lost 4-3 to the Rangers on Monday. Not great. They’re still sitting at the top of the stat sheets offensively, trailing just Edmonton and scoring an impressive average of 4 goals per game. Defensively, they’ve had great goaltending from their tandem of Bobrovsky and Spencer Knight, eighth in the NHL, allowing 2.62 goals per game. Pittsburgh hasn’t been great while missing their top players, at 4-3-4 on the season and losing five of their last six games. Statistically the Pens haven’t been too bad, averaging 3.18 goals per game (ninth best in the NHL) and allowing 2.91 goals per game. I like the Panthers to get off this losing streak with a win here and I’ll take them for half a unit tonight.
Red Wings vs. Capitals (7:30)
Detroit’s not a great team but they’re on a three game win streak with wins over the Oilers, Vegas and Sabres. Nothing that great there considering that Edmonton started their backup, Vegas is missing half their team and Buffalo blows. Offensively the Wings haven’t been bad, averaging 3.07 goals per game (eleventh in the NHL) but they’ve also been allowing a high average of 3.29 goals per game (seventh worst). The Caps offense continues to be hot and always will be when the greatest goal scorer of all time is in the lineup. Ovi’s not showing any signs of slowing down, leading the league in scoring with 11 goals and third in points (21) only trailing McJesus and Draisaitl (23). As a team Washington is fifth in the NHL, averaging 3.5 goals per game. They’re tenth in the NHL defensively, allowing 2.67 goals per game. Tonight they’re starting Zach Fucale in goal, making his NHL debut which keeps me off of betting the Caps ML but I do like the over here and will take it for a unit.
Blues vs. Predators (8:00)
The Blues are definitely the better team offensively in this game, averaging 3.55 goals per game, fourth best in the NHL. Binnington’s also been fantastic in goal and the Blues are allowing a third best 2.36 goals per game. Nashville’s a completely average team to me, coming into this game off of last night’s 4-2 win over the Dallas Stars (I split those, winning the ML but losing the under with 43 seconds left on an empty net goal). They’re 7-5-1, scoring an average of 2.69 goals per game as well as allowing 2.69 goals per game. I like the Blues to win this game but not enough to bet them at -195, especially with the goalies not confirmed. If Saros starts for the Preds on the second night in the row, I’d lean the under as well.
Jets vs. Sharks (8:00)
Both of these teams have been decent this year and they’re winning in the opposite ways. The Sharks are getting great goaltending from James Reimer, who’s leading the NHL in GAA (1.60) and a second best .946 save percentage. They’re seventh best in the NHL in goals allowed, allowing an average of just 2.5 goals. They’ve also been scoring, averaging 3 goals per game (twelfth in the NHL). The Jets have been decent offensively as well, averaging 2.92 goals per game. Their defense wasn’t great to start the season but has improved as they’re now tenth in the NHL, allowing 2.67 goals per game. I’d slightly lean the Sharks and the over here but not enough to bet either. I think this ends up being a one goal game that ends up being around 5-6 total goals so there’s no edge in betting it to me.
Avalanche vs. Canucks (9:00)
The Colorado Avalanche are way underperforming this season, at 4-5-1, they don’t look like a cup contender. They’re losing mainly on the defensive end of the ice, as they’re allowing 3.6 goals per game which is second worst in the NHL, only better than the brutal Arizona Coyotes. They’ve been underperforming offensively too, averaging 2.9 goals per game. They’ll be without their best player for a few weeks with the Nate Dogg out with a lower body injury. The Canucks are a middle of the road team, 5-6-2, averaging 2.62 goals per game and allowing 2.69 goals per game. The Avs are the better team here but it isn’t worth betting on to me. I’d lean the over unless Demko and Kuemper steal it away. I’ll skip this game completely.
Golden Knights vs. Wild (10:00)
Last night Minnesota blew out the Arizona Coyotes 5-2 for their fourth straight win. Minnesota’s been pretty good in their 9-3 start to the season, averaging a fifth best 3.42 goals per game. They haven’t been great defensively though and they’re 24th in the league allowing an average of 3.17 goals per game. Vegas has been decent in their 7-6 start to the year despite having half of their team out with injuries and getting surprising wins. This decimated Vegas team isn’t playing great, averaging 2.77 goals per game and allowing 3.08 goals per game so they’re essentially getting lucky with these wins. I’d lean the Wild on the road on this back to back and they should be able to beat the Knights but I’ll skip this one. It never shocks me when Vegas wins in the fortress.
Kraken vs. Ducks (10:00)
The Anaheim Ducks, a team I expected to be a lottery team (and they still might be) have been playing pretty well and they’re on a five game win streak coming into tonight. Offensively lead by Troy Terry, who’s fifth in the NHL in points (16) and third in goals (9), the Ducks are buzzing, averaging 3.21 goals per game (currently eighth in the NHL). John Gibson’s been good in goal and as a team they’re allowing an average of 2.71 goals per game (14th in the NHL). The Kraken haven’t been that good this year, they’re 4-8-1 with four losses in their last five games. Defensively and in goal they’ve been bad, allowing a sixth worst 3.39 goals per game. Offensively they haven’t been great either, averaging 1.77 goals per game. I think Seattle has the better roster in this game but the Ducks are playing better. I’d lean Anaheim wins this game but not enough to bet on it with them on the road in Seattle. I do like the Ducks TT over 2.5 though, which seems to cheap to me, so I’ll take that for half a unit.
1u Flames ML (-145)
.5u Flames -1.5 (+175)
1u Kings ML (-120)
.5u Florida ML (-130)
1u Capitals/Red Wings over 6 (-110)
.5u Ducks TT over 2.5 (-103)
Record (Regular Season): 76-83-3 (-16 units)
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