Third winning night in a row yesterday going 2-1 for +0.44 units. Colorado beat the Kraken in a 7-3 blowout to easily win and hit the TT over less than than halfway through the game and the Jets came up a goal short in a 3-2 loss to the Canucks. Let’s make it four winning days in a row with today’s twelve game NHL slate!
No video today. Didn’t have time.
Lightning vs. Devils (4:00)
Tampa’s rounding into the team we expected them to be coming into the season, they’re 9-3-3, come into this game on a three game win streak and have won seven of their last nine games. Their offense is averaging 3.07 goals per game and allowing 2.8 goals per game. The Devils are 7-5-3 and on a three game losing streak coming into this game. Their offense is averaging 2.8 goals per game and their defense is allowing 2.93 goals per game. I like Tampa to win at home here but the ML is too expensive at -200 and they’ve kept way too many games close for me to bet the in regulation line on here with four of their nine wins this season coming in overtime or a shootout. So I’ll skip this game. I’d slightly lean the under.
Kings vs. Hurricanes (4:00)
Carolina is one of the best teams in hockey with a 13-2 record and they’re on a three game winning streak. They have the best defense in hockey allowing an average of just 1.87 goals per game with great goaltending from Freddy Anderson (1.71 GAA, .941 save percentage). Their offense is the sixth best in the NHL, averaging 3.4 goals per game. LA is 8-6-2, losing their last two games. Their defense has been very good as well, allowing a third fewest 2.25 goals per game with a good tandem in goal of Quick and Petersen. The Kings offense sucks though, scoring just 2.44 goals per game, sixth fewest in the NHL. I like Carolina on the road here and the under and will take them both for half a unit each.
Panthers vs. Wild (6:00)
Both of these teams are having pretty good season with Florida at 12-2-3 and the Wild at 11-5. Both of their offenses are fantastic. Florida as the most goals per game in the NHL, averaging 3.88 per game and Minnesota is just behind them, fourth in the NHL with an average of 3.44 goals per game. They’re quite off defensively though. Florida has the sixth best defense, allowing 2.41 goals per game but Minnesota is eleventh worst, allowing 3.06 goals per game. I like the over here and will take that for half a unit. I also like Florida to win this game at home but like the TT better, but I’ll take them both for a half unit each as well.
Maple Leafs vs. Penguins (7:00)
The Toronto Maple Leafs are a fucking WAGON. They’re on a five game winning streak and they’ve won ten of their last eleven games. The Leafs offense is still still struggling to score, averaging just 2.67 goals per game with a very low 7.9% scoring percentage. Their defense has been bailing them out big though, and they’re allowing a fifth fewest 2.39 goals per game. Jack Campbell’s the best goaltender in hockey right now with a 1.63 GAA and .944 save percentage. Pittsburgh on the other hand has struggled at 6-6-4. Their offense has scored 3 goals per game but their defense has also allowed an average of 3 goals per game. When these teams played October 23rd, the Penguins kicked the shit out of Toronto 7-1. I think the result of this game is the opposite of that with the Leafs getting their revenge. I’ll take Toronto for half a unit.
Canadiens vs. Predators (7:00)
The Habs fucking blow. They’re 4-13-2 an on a four game losing streak coming into this game. They have the second worst offense in hockey, averaging only 2 goals per game and have allowing the third most goals in hockey, allowing 3.53 goals per game. Nashville’s a good team defensively and Juuse Saro’s a great goaltender. They’re allowing a tenth fewest 2.63 goals per game. Their offense hasn’t been great, averaging 2.69 goals per game. I like the Preds to shut down the Habs here and win a low scoring game. I’ll take Nashville for half a unit.
Islanders vs. Flames (7:00)
The Islanders finally open their new barn tonight in their very late home opener now that UBS Arena in Belmont is ready. The Isles haven’t been great this season with a 5-6 record and have gotten blown out in their last four games. Their offense is putrid, scoring a third fewest 2.23 goals per game. Their defense and goaltending has been good though, allowing an average of 2.92 goals per game. Calgary has exceeded my expectations this season at 9-3-5, averaging 3.18 goals per game and allowing the second fewest goals in hockey, averaging 2 goals allowed per game. I’d lean Calgary and the Isles TT under but that arena is going to be fucking rocking which should be significant enough that we could see a whole recharged Islanders team tonight so I will completely skip betting this game.
Flyers vs. Bruins (7:00)
These are both pretty good teams that will likely end up in the playoffs. The Bruins are 8-5, averaging 3.08 goals per game and allowing 2.85 goals per game. The Flyers are 8-4-3 and although their offense has cooled down, averaging 2.73 goals per game their defense has been good, allowing an eighth fewest 2.47 goals per game. Both backups are in goal tonight which makes me lean more towards the over on this game. The first time these teams played this year, the Flyers won 6-3. I’d slightly lean the Bruins to tie up the season series but not strongly enough to have any action on this game so I’ll skip it entirely.
Stars vs. Blues (8:00)
The 9-5-2 St. Louis Blues ended their four game losing streak with a 4-1 win over the SJ Sharks on Thursday night. Their offense is solid, averaging 3.38 goals per game (eighth best in hockey) and their defense has as well, allowing a tenth fewest 2.63 goals per game. The Dallas Stars aren’t great at 6-7-2. Their offense sucks, scoring an eighth fewest 2.53 goals per game and their defense has been just as bad, allowing an eighth most 3.27 goals per game. I like the Blues to win this one on the road and I’ll take them for a half unit as an even money dog.
Coyotes vs. Red Wings (8:00)
Arizona’s the worst team in hockey with a 2-13-2 record. They have the worst offense in hockey, averaging only 1.76 goals per game and the second worst defense in hockey (after last night’s 7-3 loss by the Kraken to Colorado), allowing 3.82 goals per game. This team sucks in every aspect of the game. Detroit isn’t awful at 8-9-2 but come into this game with three straight losses and four losses in their last five games. Their offense is decent, scoring 2.79 goals per game but their defense sucks, allowing 3.42 goals per game. I like Detroit to end their losing streak here and I’ll take them for half a unit.
Oilers vs. Blackhawks (10:00)
The 12-4 Edmonton Oilers come into this game off a 2-1 shootout win against Winnipeg on Thursday night where the best player in hockey, Connor McDavid knotted it up going coast to coast with five minutes left in regulation. Their offense is the second best in hockey, averaging 3.81 goals per game and their power play is unreal, scoring on 40.8% of those chances (significantly the best in all of hockey). Draisaitl (33 points, 17 goals) and McDavid (30 points, 19 assists) lead the NHL. The Blackhawks are on a four game win streak after firing Colliton after their 1-9-2 start to the year. They’re a bad team, scoring a fourth fewest 2.25 goals per game and allowing a seventh most 3.31 goals per game. The Oilers should pretty easily win this game at home but I don’t think its worth the -220 price. I’d lean the over too but at 6.5, I don’t think its worth betting either. So I’ll skip this game.
Golden Knights vs. Blue Jackets (10:00)
The Vegas Golden Knights are getting healthier and becoming better and better each game as more guys get inserted back in the lineup. They’re 10-7 and have won four of their last five games. They’re scoring an average of 3.12 goals per game and allowing 3.06 goals per game. Columbus has been pretty good this season at 9-5. Their offense is averaging the ninth most goals per game (3.29) but their defense and goaltending has been a bit shaky, allowing 3.14 goal per game (tenth worst in hockey). I’d lean Vegas wins this game at home but there isn’t any value to it at -150.
Sharks vs. Capitals (10:30)
Ovi (26 points, 14 goals) and his Caps are having a fantastic season at 10-2-5 with five wins in their last six games. Their offense is scoring the fifth most goals in hockey, averaging 3.41 goals per game and their defense and goaltending has been good, allowing a fourth fewest 2.29 goals per game. The Sharks have had a decent start at 8-7-1 but they’ve lost three of their last four and only have two wins in the last seven games. Their offense is averaging 2.75 goals per game and allowing 2.81 goals per game. I like Washington to win this one and will take them for half a unit.
.5u Carolina ML (-165)
.5u Carolina/LA under 5.5 (-130)
.5u Florida ML (-140)
.5u Florida TT over 3 (-148)
.5u Florida/Minnesota over 6 (-110)
.5u Leafs ML (-160)
.5u Nashville ML (-120)
.5u Blues ML (+100)
.5u Detroit ML (-150)
.5u Caps ML (-125)
Record (Regular Season): 90-95-4 (-18.36 units)
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