My winning streak that feels like its gone all week came to an end last night as I went, 4-5 for -2.88 units. Not the end of the world after the great week I’ve had. Let’s bounce back with a win on this six game NHL slate!
Even though I’m still counting it on my record for the year as a loss, I also noticed after the game ended that I never put in my Calgary bet last night (which lost)…so that’s pretty much a win. Nice surprise when that kind of thing happens.
Hurricanes vs. Capitals (1:00)
These are two of the best teams in the NHL this season. The Caps are 13-3-5 on an 8-1-1 run in their last ten games. They’re scoring the fifth most goals in the NHL, averaging 3.52 per game lead by Ovi’s 36 points and 18 goals (second in the NHL in both of those categories behind Leon Draisaitl). They’ve been great on the backend too, allowing a fourth fewest 2.38 goals per game. Carolina is 15-3-1 and even better defensively, allowing a second fewest in the NHL 2.05 goals per game. They have the seventh best offense, averaging 3.37 goals per game. I’d slightly lean the Canes win this one but no chance I’d bet it as I’d expect this to pretty much be a coin toss, one goal game. I’ll take the over for half a unit. Even with the good goaltending and defenses, I’d expect both these teams to be able to score.
Wild vs. Lightning (2:00)
The Tampa Bay Lightning are 12-4-3 and come into this game off back to back shutout wins for Andrea Vasilevskiy. They’re averaging an eleventh best 3.16 goals per game and allowing a tenth fewest 2.68 goals per game. Minnesota’s been good too and 13-6-1. They have the fourth best scoring offense, averaging 3.6 goals per game but they’re struggling defensively, allowing an eleventh most 3.05 goals per game. Last week when these teams played in Tampa, the Lightning won 5-4 in a shootout. I think the Bolts are the better more rounded team here and at a pick em, I’ll take them for half a unit. I’d lean the over as well but not enough to bet on it.
Bruins vs. Canucks (7:00)
The Vancouver Canucks blow. They’re 6-13-2 and come into this game tonight with only one win in their last nine games. They have the fourth worst offense, averaging only 2.29 goals per game and allowing the sixth most, 3.29 goals per game. Jaroslav Halak, who’s confirmed in goal for this revenge game against his old team hasn’t been great this year and doesn’t have a win in his four starts this season, not bailing out the abysmal Canucks defense like Thatcher Demko has at times. The Bruins have been pretty good at 10-7 and come into this game with four wins in their last six games. Statistically they’ve been a middle of the pack team, averaging 3.06 goals per game and allowing 2.88 per game. I think the moneyline is too expensive at -250, but the B’s should have a pretty easy win at home in this matchup. I’ll take the Bruins in regulation for a unit.
Devils vs. Flyers (7:00)
Both of these teams still have winning records on the season but have played miserable hockey as of late. The 8-7-4 Philadelphia Flyers are on a five game losing streak, averaging a seventh fewest 2.47 goals per game but allowing a 13th fewest 2.84 goals per game. The NJ Devils are 8-6-4 and come in losing five of their last six games. They’re scoring an average of 2.83 goals per game and allowing 2.94 goals per game. I think the Flyers are the better team here and slightly would lean the under as well but not enough to want to bet anything on this one. This could surprisingly be a fun game to watch.
Blackhawks vs. Sharks (7:00)
The Chicago Blackhawks aren’t a good team but they’re sure playing a hell of a lot better than they were in their pathetic 1-9-2 start to the season. They’re now 7-11-2 with six wins in their last eight games. Statistically they’re still bad on both ends of the ice, averaging a third fewest 2.2 goals per game and allowing a seventh most 3.25 goals per game. The 10-9-1 Sharks haven’t impressed anyone lately. Their offense is slightly better than the Hawks, averaging an ninth fewest 2.65 goals per game but they’ve definitely been better defensively and in goal, allowing an average of 2.85 goals per game. I’d slightly lean the Blackhawks at home and the under here but not enough to bet on either of them.
Ducks vs. Maple Leafs (8:00)
The Toronto Maple Leafs are the hottest team in hockey (until they’ll ultimately lose in the first round of the playoffs). They’re 15-6-1 and have only two losses in their last 15 games. Their offense has gotten better in that run, now averaging 2.77 goals per game and they have one of the best back ends in hockey backstopped by Jack Campbell, who already has three shutouts on the year. They’re allowing a third fewest 2.18 goals per game. Even though they come into this game with three losses in their last four games, the Ducks are highly overachieving this season at 11-7-3. They’re scoring the tenth most goals in the NHL, averaging 3.29 per game and allowing the seventh fewest 2.62 per game. I like the Leafs on the road here tonight in what could be a very fun game to watch and will take Toronto for half a unit.
.5u Hurricanes/Capitals over 5.5 (-129)
.5u Lightning ML (-110)
1u Bruins in regulation (-157)
.5u Toronto ML (-180)
Record (Regular Season): 123-119-4 (-16.86 units)
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