Not the worst night yesterday on the NHL, going 5-5 and losing 1.18 units. Great week though so let’s cap it off with a bounce back winner going into the weekend on tonight’s seven game slate!
Sabres vs. Rangers (7:00)
The Buffalo Sabres are a pathetic organization. They’re current 8-14-3 and on a five game losing streak, with only one win in their last ten games and three wins in their last 18 games. Just like everyone expected coming into the season, they’re a joke. They are averaging 2.76 goals per game and have allowed the second most goals per game in hockey, an average of 3.68 per game. The Rangers on the other hand have been fantastic this season with a 17-5-3 record and before their 7-3 loss to Colorado on Wednesday night with their third string rookie goalie getting his first start against the highest scoring offense in hockey, they were on a seven game win streak and had only one loss in twelve games. They are averaging 3.04 goals per game and allowing a tenth fewest in the NHL average of 2.64 goals per game. The Rangers won 5-4 the first time these teams met this season but I think the win comes way easier for them here tonight. I’ll take the Rangers in regulation for a half unit. Along with that I will lay my biggest parlay on the season here for 2 units on the Rangers, Avalanche and Panthers MLs.
Capitals vs. Penguins (7:00)
Every time Sidney Crosby and Alex Ovechkin meet it’s an entertaining game between by far the two best players of a generation. The Capitals have been the better team this season coming into tonight’s game with a 16-4-6 record. Ovi (41 points, 20 goals) and his Caps have scored the fourth most goals per game in the NHL, an average of 3.5 goals per game while their defense and goaltending has also been great, allowing a third fewest average of 2.46 goals per game. Crosby’s Penguins are 12-8-5 and have a 7-2-1 record their last 10 games. Tristan Jarry has been surprisingly very good in goal for them, with the Penguins allowing a sixth fewest 2.56 goals per game and Pittsburgh’s averaging 2.96 goals per game. When these teams played on November 14th, the Caps won in a 6-1 blowout. I’d expect the Penguins to keep it a lot closer here today but still think Washington pulls out the win. I’ll take the Capitals for half a unit.
Devils vs. Predators (7:30)
Last night the Predators scored the game winner against the Islanders with only twelve seconds remaining for a 4-3 win, their third in a row and fourth in their last five games. The Preds are averaging 2.92 goals per game and allowing an average of 2.81 goals per game. The Devils got their first win in five games and just their third in their last twelve with a 3-0 win over Philly on Wednesday night to go to 10-9-5 on the season. This team hasn’t played great hockey lately, averaging 2.88 goals per game and allowing an average of 3.13 per game on the season. The first time these teams played this season on November 26th, the Preds won 4-2. Even though it worries me a little bit with them on their third road game in four nights, but I’ll take the Preds for half a unit.
Avalanche vs. Red Wings (9:00)
Last night I took a stab on the Red Wings as a dog in St. Louis and it never had a chance as they took their second straight loss 6-2 (pretty easily hit the over though). So at least that wasn’t a sweat. Detroit hasn’t been terrible this season with a 13-11-3 record. They’ve averaged a tenth fewest 2.74 goals per game and have allowed an eighth most 3.30 goals per game. The Avs are 14-7-2 with the highest scoring offense in all of hockey coming into this game with back to back wins against the Rangers and Flyers were they scored SEVEN goals in each of those games. Insane. They’re scoring significantly the most goals in hockey this season, an average of 4.26 goals per game (second is Florida, averaging 3.8 per game). That outruns their defensive problems and issues in goal, since they’re allowing the sixth most goals in the NHL, 3.44 per game. Obviously I’m not betting the highest ML of the season at -400 straight up here but have to get in on the Avs for more than just the parlay with the Rangers and Panthers. There’s not even any value on the puck line (-175) or the regulation line (-240), so I will take the Avs TT over 3.5 in regulation for a unit and the alternate over 6 for a half unit.
Coyotes vs. Panthers (9:00)
The Coyotes are still the worst team in the NHL with a record of 5-18-2. They’re averaging the fewest goals in hockey, just 1.76 goals per game and allowing the third most goals in hockey, an average of 3.64 per game. This game’s very lopsided with the 17-4-4 Panthers being one of the best teams in the NHL this season. They’re averaging the second most in the NHL 3.8 goals per game and allowing a twelfth fewest 2.76 goals per game. Florida should cruise through this game, but I’m not laying the juice on this game by itself so along with the parlay with Colorado and the Rangers, I’ll take the Panthers in regulation for half a unit.
Canucks vs. Jets (10:00)
The Canucks are now 2-0 with new head coach Bruce Boudreau with a 2-1 shootout win over Boston on Wednesday and a 4-0 shutout win over LA on Monday. They’ve now won four of their last five games to go to 10-15-2 on the season. On the season, they’ve struggled to score, averaging a sixth fewest 2.37 goals per game and they’ve gotten better defensively recently but on the season are allowing an average of 2.96 goals per game. Winnipeg is 13-9-4 on the season coming into this game with three wins in their last four. The Jets are averaging 2.88 goals per game and allowing an eighth fewest 2.62 goals per game. They are starting Eric Comrie though in goal tonight, who’s a step back from one of the best goaltenders in the NHL, Connor Hellebuyck. With how Boudreau has Vancouver playing these last two games I’d slightly lean them at home tonight but I’ll just skip this game. I’ll take the under for half a unit.
Golden Knights vs. Flyers (10:00)
The Philadelphia Flyers come into the Fortress tonight on the worst run in hockey, losing their last ten straight games to drop to an 8-12-4 record. This team straight up blows. Their offense if fifth worst in the NHL, averaging 2.33 per game and allowing a seventh most 3.33 goals per game. Vegas hasn’t been great, allowing the twelfth most goals in hockey, an average of 3.08. They’re outscoring those problems though, scoring a sixth most 3.4 goals per game. Vegas is likely starting Laurent Brossoit in goal tonight, who actually hasn’t been bad this season with a 5-1 record, 2.41 GAA and .921 save percentage. Vegas should win this game pretty easily and I’ll take the Knights in regulation for a unit.
2u parlay: Rangers ML/Avalanche ML/Panthers ML (+148)
.5u Rangers in regulation (-118)
.5u Capitals ML (-150)
.5u Predators ML (-110)
1u Avs TT over 3.5 in regulation (-177)
.5u Avs/Red Wings over 6 (-136)
.5u Panthers in regulation (-205)
.5u Canucks/Jets under 6 (-120)
1u Vegas in regulation (-162)
Record (Regular Season): 171-146-7 (-10.32 units)
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