Lost my only NHL bet yesterday as the Capitals came up short in a 4-2 loss to the Canucks, losing 2.7 units. Today, there’s eight games spread throughout the whole day to bounce back with some wins!
Sabres vs. Red Wings (1:00)
These two shitty teams just played each other two days ago on Saturday in Detroit, a 4-0 shutout win for the Red Wings. Detroit’s 17-17-5 on the season and that win against the Sabres ended their four game losing streak. They’re averaging only an eighth fewest 2.67 goals per game and allowing a tenth most 3.26 goals per game. Buffalo’s even worse at 11-20-6 with only one win in their last eight games and three in their last 17 (four in their last 22). They’re also worse in both stat categories, averaging a seventh fewest 2.54 goals per game and allowing a sixth most 3.49 goals per game. With all their goalies injured, Aaron Dell will get his third straight start in goal. Dell is one of the worst tendies in the NHL with a 1-6 record, 3.89 GAA and .889 save percentage. Saturday was the third time that these teams played this season, with Detroit winning all four matchups, 4-0, 3-2 in overtime and 4-3 in overtime. I would think the Red Wings end up sweeping the Sabres on the season with a win tonight and I’ll take Detroit for a unit here on the road.
Avalanche vs. Wild (3:00)
This should be a really fun game between two of the top three highest flying offenses in the NHL. The Avs are 24-8-3, with only one loss (5-4 to Nashville in overtime) in their last eight games since coming back from the Christmas break and a 12-1-1 record in their last 14 games. They lead the NHL in scoring, averaging 4.29 goals per game but haven’t been good defensively and in goal, allowing 3.68 goals per game, twelfth most in the NHL. Minnesota’s finally gotten healthier and have won their last three straight games, most recently a 7-3 blowout against Anaheim on Friday night to improve to 22-10-2 on the season. The Wild are scoring the third most goals in the NHL, an average of 3.68 per game. Their defense and goaltending hasn’t been much better than Colorado’s, allowing a 13th most 3.03 per game. When these teams met earlier this season on October 30th, the Avs won 4-1. I’d lean that they win this one again as well, but not enough to bet on it. Although that first matchup stayed under, I’d think the Wild should one able to score a few more goals today to push the total over the 6.5. I’m not a huge fan of betting 6.5 lines but I don’t think its worth the -165 to buy this one down to 6 for the push. I’ll go with the over 6.5 for 1.5 units.
Coyotes vs. Canadiens (4:00)
This NHL season has seen a lot of shitty matchups, but none as bad as this one between the two worst teams in the league, Arizona and Montreal. The Yotes come into this game at home today with a 8-24-4 record and shockingly two wins in their last five games. The Habs are 7-24-5 and come into this game on a five game losing streak with just one win (3-2 in a shootout against Philly) in their last 13 games. Arizona’s averaging only 2.14 goals per game, second worst in the NHL with you guessed it, only Montreal worse than them, scoring an average of 2.08 per game. Both of these teams are atrocious on the back end too, with the Canadiens allowing the third most goals in hockey, an average of 3.64 per game and the Coyotes allowing the most, 3.72 per game. I’d slightly lean Arizona at home and the under in this shit game, but no shot I’m betting either of them. I’d rather bet on coin flips or dice rolls than this.
Sharks vs. Kings (4:00)
LA’s on a nice little winning streak, with four straight to improve to a decent 20-13-5 on the season. They’ve been very good defensively and in goal, allowing the third fewest goals in hockey, an average of just 2.45 per game. They just haven’t gotten much done offensively, scoring an eleventh fewest 2.76 goals per game. The Sharks are an average team, coming into today with a 20-17-2 record off back to back losses to Pittsburgh (winner) and the Rangers (winner). They’ve been even worse offensively than the Kings, averaging a tenth fewest 2.69 goals per game and haven’t been great on the back end, allowing an average of 3.03 goals per game. I like the Kings to keep the win streak going here and I’ll take them for a unit today on the road. Shop this line across books. I’ll also take the under here for a unit.
Kraken vs. Blackhawks (5:00)
Another shitty game on today’s slate, but not as bad as Montreal/Arizona. Seattle hasn’t been good at all. They’re 10-23-4 on the season and come into this game on a nine game losing streak, with just one win in their last 13 games. They’re averaging a ninth fewest 2.68 goals per game and allowing the second most goals in the league, an average of 3.65 per game. The Blackhawks aren’t good either, but they’ve been better than the Kraken have (not saying much). Chicago’s on a four game win streak and have a 15-18-5 record. They’re even worse offensively than Seattle, averaging a fourth fewest 2.37 goals per game. On Fleury’s decent play in goal, even with a non existent defense, they’re slightly better defensively, allowing an eleventh most average of 3.24 goals per game. When these teams played earlier this season, the Hawks won 4-2 in Seattle on November 17th. I’d think they win this one again and I’ll take the Blackhawks for a unit here at the pick em price. I’d lean the over as well but not enough to bet on it.
Islanders vs. Flyers (7:30)
The Flyers have been atrocious this season. They’re 13-17-7 and have lost their last seven straight games. Philly’s been lousy on both ends of the ice, scoring just a sixth fewest in the NHL average 2.54 goals per game and allowing a ninth most 3.3 goals per game. On top of that, they’ve got backup Martin Jones confirmed in goal tonight instead of Carter Hart. The Isles haven’t been too much better. They’re 11-13-6 and have three wins in their last four games. They’ve been pretty good defensively, allowing an eight fewest average of 2.7 goals per game but haven’t done anything on offense, averaging a third fewest in the NHL 2.23 goals per game. The Islanders should win this game at home here today but I don’t think the -200 is worth it on them, but they should be able to win this within 60 minutes and I’ll take them in regulation for a unit. I also like the under here, expecting neither team to score much and will take the under for 1.5 units.
Blues vs. Predators (8:00)
This should be a real fun game. The Nashville Predators hot run seems to have taken a little dip with them coming into this game with back to back losses to the Bruins and the Sabres. The Preds are having a great season at 24-12-3. They’re averaging 3.08 goals per game and with Juuse Saros leading the way in goal, they’re allowing a tenth fewest 2.72 goals per game. The Blues are having a great season as well. They’re 22-11-5 this season with a 15-4-2 record at home. They come into this game off a 6-5 loss to Toronto on Saturday night and have won five of their last seven games, with a 10-3-1 record in their last 14 games. Their offense is riding hot this season, scoring a fifth most in the NHL average of 3.45 goals per game and they have the third best power play in the league, converting on 29.1% of their man up chances. They’ve been good defensively too, allowing a ninth fewest average of 2.71 goals per game. St. Louis is giving Binnington the night off tonight with Ville Husso confirmed in goal. Husso hasn’t been such a liability this year and has actually been pretty good, with a 5-2-1 record, 2.13 GAA and .935 save percentage. Not bad for a guy that was pretty much an automatic loss last year whenever he started. I’d lean the Blues win this game but it’s too close for me to bet. I like the over though, expecting both teams to score, and I’ll take the alternate over 5.5 for a unit.
Golden Knights vs. Penguins (10:00)
The Golden Knights have had a decent season so far at 23-14-2 while dealing with a ton of injuries. They’ve struggled as of late, with four losses in their last five games. Vegas has the fourth highest scoring offense in the NHL, averaging 3.46 goals per game and have allowed an average of 2.97 goals per game. Saturday night the Penguins capped off my perfect 12-0 day with a 2-1 overtime win in San Jose. The Penguins are 22-10-5 this season, riding hot. They’re averaging an eleventh best 3.22 goals per game and they’ve been fantastic defensively, allowing a fourth fewest 2.51 goals per game on the back of the best season in Tristan Jarry’s career with an 18-7-4 record, 2.05 GAA and .929 save percentage. After getting the night off Saturday, Jarry’s confirmed back in goal tonight, which is likely necessary against the Vegas high powered offense. This is Pittsburgh’s sixth straight road game and I could see the fatigue seeming to set in for them their last few games on this west coast road trip. I’ll skip this game, I’d lean the Pens but just don’t see enough of an edge in betting anything on this game on either a side or a total, especially with Vegas on almost a full week of rest.
1u Red Wings ML (-130)
1.5u Avalanche/Wild over 6.5 (-115)
1u Kings ML (+100)
1u Kings/Sharks under 5.5 (-125)
1u Blackhawks ML (-110)
1u Isles in reg (-115)
1.5u Isles/Flyers under 5.5 (-130)
1u Blues/Predators over 5.5 (-143)
Record (Regular Season Total): 306-215-12 (+24.02 units)
Regular Season Pregame: 306-214-12 (+24.59 units)
Regular Season Live: 0-1 (-0.57 units)