Swept the board last night, going 8-0, winning nine units. Can’t get a better bounce back night than that. Tonight we have another big eight game NHL slate to keep rolling on that!
Hurricanes vs. Rangers (7:00)
This game’s between the two best defensive teams in the NHL. The Carolina Hurricanes are 26-8-2 with a 12-4-1 record at home. They’re allowing the fewest goals in hockey, an average of only 2.25 per game but have been good offensively as well, averaging 3.5 goals per game, fourth most in the NHL. The Rangers come into this game on a three game win streak after their come from behind 6-3 win at home against the Leafs on Wednesday night. They’re 26-10-4 and have just two losses in their last nine games. The Rags are averaging 2.93 goals per game and winning on their defense and goaltending from Igor Shesterkin, allowing 2.45 goals per game, second fewest in the NHL with only the Canes giving up less than them. The issue here is the goaltending in this matchup with Shesterkin getting the night off and Alexandar Georgiev starting for the Rangers instead. This won’t bode well for them against Carolina’s offense and the NY offense won’t be able to keep up. I don’t love the idea of laying the -205 on Carolina against a good Rangers team, but I think there’s still value in the Canes in regulation and will take that for a unit along with 1.5 units on the Carolina TT over 3.5, expecting Georgiev to give up goals against this offense.
Blue Jackets vs. Penguins (7:00)
Both of these teams are on the second half of a back to back with wins last night. The Penguins are one of the best teams in hockey over the last month and a half. They’re 24-10-5, with only two losses in their last 16 games. They’re averaging 3.33 goals per game, ninth most in the NHL and on Tristan Jarry’s play in goal, they’re allowing the fourth fewest in the NHL, only 2.56 per game. Tonight they’re likely starting backup Casey DeSmith though against the Jackets, a significant step back for them this season. Columbus, despite having three wins in their last five games, has been pretty bad. They’re 18-18-1 but only have six wins in their last 19 games. Their offense is decent, averaging 3.11 goals per game but their defense and goaltending has been completely awful, allowing a fifth most 3.54 goals per game. Even with DeSmith starting, the Penguins should win this game. I can’t see the Blue Jackets win two in a row. I’ll take the Pens in regulation for half a unit and the Pens TT over 3.5 for 1.5 units. I’d lean the over too but don’t think its worth laying the juice on a 6.5 line.
Red Wings vs. Stars (7:30)
Last night the Stars came back in fun fashion as my Buffalo Sabres blew two leads for a 5-4 Dallas win in a game where the Stars outshot the Sabres 47-24, lead by Jason Robertson and Tyler Seguin scoring two goals each. Dallas is 19-16-2 but have been bad on the road where they have a 5-12-1 record. They’re averaging just 2.84 goals per game and allowing a twelfth most, 3.08 per game. Not great. The Red Wings are also coming off a win against the Sabres. After their back to back wins against Buffalo on their home and home on Sunday and Tuesday, Detroit’s now 18-17-5 with a pretty good 13-6-2 record at home. They haven’t been good statistically on either end of the ice, averaging a ninth fewest in the NHL 2.68 goals per game and allowing a tenth most in the NHL, 3.23 goals per game. In Dallas on November 16th, the Stars beat Detroit 5-2. I think Dallas is the better team here but with them on the second half of a back to back on the road against a Red Wings team that plays significantly better at home, I think the best play on this game is no bets at all and I’ll skip this one.
Islanders vs. Coyotes (7:30)
The Arizona Coyotes are one of the worst teams in the NHL at 10-24-4, but they’re playing their best hockey right now, coming into this game on back to back losses against Jersey and Montreal, with four wins in their last seven games. The Yotes are scoring the second fewest goals in the NHL, only better than Montreal, averaging just 2.26 goals per game. They’ve been just as bad on the other end of the ice, allowing a third most in the league average of 3.61 goals per game. The Islanders are 13-13-6 and come into this game with five wins in their last six games, also playing their best hockey of the season. Their offense isn’t doing anything, just slightly better than Arizona, averaging 2.31 goals per game, third fewest in the league but they’re fantastic defensively, allowing the sixth fewest goals in the NHL, just, 2.66 goals per game. Even in their early season struggles, the Islanders beat the Yotes 3-0, getting a shutout in the dirty desert on October 23rd. The Isles should win this game at home tonight but no shot I’m laying -278 on a team that’s scoring the third fewest goals in the league. I’ll go with a unit on the Isles in regulation at a much reasonable price of -167.
Blackhawks vs. Wild (8:30)
The Blackhawks are playing decent hockey lately and prior to their 3-2 shootout win in Seattle on Monday night, they were on a four game win streak. They’re now 15-18-6 on the season, averaging a fourth fewest in the NHL 2.36 goals per game and allowing an eleventh most 3.21 goals per game. On Monday night the Wild played in an awesome game against the Avs, ultimately losing 4-3 in a shootout for their first loss in four games. Minnesota’s 22-10-3 with the third highest scoring offense in the NHL, averaging 3.66 goals per game. They haven’t been as great defensively though, allowing an average of 3.03 goals per game. I like Minnesota to win here on the road, especially at the pretty cheap -120 price and will jump on them for a unit. I’d lean the over as well but not enough to bet it.
Canucks vs. Panthers (10:00)
Last night the Panthers started slow but came alive late, with four third period goals to beat the broken Oilers 6-0. With that win, Florida is 27-8-5 with a wild 9-1-1 record in their last eleven games since coming back from the Christmas break. They have the second highest scoring offense in the NHL, only behind Colorado, averaging 4.1 goals per game. They’ve been pretty good defensively too, allowing an average of 2.83 goals per game. The Canucks are 18-18-3, coming into this game with back to back wins in Washington and Nashville. On the season, they haven’t gotten much offensive production, averaging only 2.51 goals per game, sixth fewest in the NHL. They have been solid defensively goal, allowing an average of 2.8 goals per game. With Thatcher Demko and Jaro Halak both out tonight, Spencer Martin will be getting his first start in goal this season, his first since his three starts (all losses) when he got called up by Colorado in 2017. They’ll also have several other players out of the lineup tonight. When these teams played ten days ago, Florida won 5-2. With the depleted lineup tonight, I don’t think the Canucks will be able to hang with a Florida team that I think will feast on Martin in goal. I’ll take Florida in regulation for a unit, the Florida TT over 3.5 for 2 units and the Florida third period TT over 1 for 1.5 units. Let’s crush this game. I’d lean the over, but I’m not laying the -125 on a 6.5 line with the Canucks struggling to score much.
Ducks vs. Lightning (10:00)
The Lightning are still riding just as hot as they have the last two seasons with a 27-9-5 record and coming into this game on a four game win streak with just one loss in their seven. The Bolts are averaging 3.39 goals per game, seventh most in the NHL and they’re allowing an average of 2.78 goals per game, twelfth fewest in the league. The Ducks are slumping since their hot start to the season, coming into this game on a four game losing streak with just two wins in their last eleven games, dropping to 19-16-7 on the year. The Ducks are averaging 2.79 goals per game and allowing an average of 2.83. I like Tampa to keep their winning streak going on the road tonight and although I won’t lay the -275 here on the ML, I’ll take the Bolts in regulation for 1.5 units.
Kraken vs. Blues (10:00)
The Blues are having a very good season at 23-11-5, coming into this game with only two losses in their last eight games. Their offense has been very good, averaging 3.49 goals per game, fifth most in the NHL and allowing a ninth fewest 2.72 per game. They’re likely starting Ville Husso in goal, who’s been much improved this season with a 6-2-1 record, 2.22 GAA and .933 save percentage. They go against the shitty 12-23-4 Seattle Kraken tonight. Last night, they beat SJ 3-2 for their second straight win after coming off a nine game losing streak. The Kraken are averaging just an eighth fewest 2.67 goals per game and been even worse defensively with horrible goaltending, allowing a fourth most 3.56 goals per game. To make matters even worse for them on the second half of a back to back, they’re going with third string goalie Joey Daccord tonight (0-2, 3.81 GAA, .866 save percentage). The Blues offense should feast on him and I’ll go with 1.5 units on the Blues ML along with 2.5 units on the Blues TT over 3.
1u Carolina in regulation (-125)
1.5u Carolina TT over 3.5 (-113)
.5u Penguins in regulation (-137)
1.5u Penguins TT over 3.5 (-143)
1u Isles in regulation (-167)
1u Wild ML (-120)
1u Florida in regulation (-129)
2u Florida TT over 3.5 (-150)
1.5u Florida 3P TT over 1 (-182)
1.5u Lightning in regulation (-165)
1.5u Blues ML (-185)
2.5u Blues TT over 3 (-162)
Record: 323-226-12 (+22.71 units)